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Why Maple Leafs’ Kyle Dubas earned a clear win in the Nick Ritchie trade

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We all make mistakes.

It’s how we deal with them that can define us.

In his annual summertime spree through the NHL’s bargain aisle, Kyle Dubas plucked four forwards with varying attributes he believed could complement his core. Michael Bunting and his greasy goals. David Kämpf and his defensive prowess. Ondrej Kase and his kamikaze-ness. And Nick Ritchie with his physicality and (fingers crossed) offensive upside.

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Three out of four ain’t bad.

So, when Ritchie failed to seize his opportunity — producing two goals in 33 games featured mostly in the Toronto Maple Leafs’ top six and on the second unit of hockey’s most lethal power-play — Dubas realized he’d made an error.

Worse: the general manager’s misfire was signed through 2022-23, when Ritchie’s overpriced cap hit ($2.5 million) would be anchored by an even more cumbersome salary ($3.3 million).

Dubas tried giving away Ritchie’s contract, waiving him on Jan. 6.

No takers.

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He’d either need a sweetener or salary retention.

That Dubas attached a conditional draft pick — a choice of either Toronto’s 2023 third-rounder or its 2025 second-rounder — to send Ritchie to the Arizona Coyotes late Saturday was unsurprising.

That Dubas received two useful pieces with a combined cap hit ($2.45 million) lower than Ritchie’s, plus cleared all of Ritchie’s money off the books for next season, is a heist.

Seldom does a hockey trade go down as an outright victory, but with the Maple Leafs locked in win-now mode, this is a fantastic bit of business by an executive who faces great obstacles in chasing the deadline’s marquee bait (Jakob Chychrun, John Klingberg, Claude Giroux, Ben Chiarot, et al.)

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Let’s look at all the advantages for the Leafs in this deal.

• First on our list is Ilya Lyubushkin, hardly a household name but a desirable second-tier rental target that fits the club’s needs. (We listed Lyubushkin last month when surveying the pending UFAs the Leafs should explore.)

The 27-year-old is a boring, stay-at-home right shot having a solid campaign in relative obscurity. The 6-foot-2 Russian carries a modest $1.35-million cap hit. He kills penalties and throws hits. He skates more than 18 minutes nightly and starts the vast majority (61 per cent) of his shifts in the D-zone yet drives play forward. He was a minus-6 on a tanking team with a minus-74(!) goal differential.

Surely his metrics enticed Dubas. When Lyubushkin is on the ice at 5-on-5, the opposition averages 2.16 expected goals per 60. That’s stingier than every Leafs defenceman not named Timothy Liljegren.

“Boosh is a heart-and-soul player who played hard and laid it on the line for us,” Coyotes coach André Tourigny told Craig Morgan of PHNX Sports. “He doesn’t have a bad day. He showed up every day to work. He’s a great guy and I think Leafs nation will like his work ethic and his commitment to his team.”

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Lyubushkin has a career-high nine assists this season but has only scored once in 180 NHL appearances and has never touched the playoffs.

With coach Sheldon Keefe already experimenting with a split of Jake Muzzin and Justin Holl, we can see Lyubushkin getting some run with both Muzzin and Sandin down the stretch to find the best fit.

Ryan Dzingel has been a forward in sharp decline for the past three seasons. He does, however, have two more 20-goal seasons on his résumé than Ritchie.

Dzingel is a left shot with centre experience, and Toronto had been looking to add depth in his position after losing Kirill Semyonov, Michael Amadio and Adam Brooks (twice) this season.

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On an expiring deal and on his sixth team in four seasons, Dzingel should arrive hungry and inspired (think: Alex Galchenyuk), but Toronto should temper expectations.

We view Dzingel as injury insurance for the middle six’s left side, and he should have to battle his way into the lineup.

• The cap space Dubas saves will likely be more valuable than Dzingel.

Freeing up Ritchie’s $2.5 million in 2022-23 gives Dubas some fluidity to manoeuvre around Morgan Rielly’s well-deserved pay raise.

Re-signing Jack Campbell will be top priority, but the GM will also have to bump the paycheques of pending RFAs Sandin and Liljegren and consider keeping Pierre Engvall, Ilya Mikheyev and Kase — useful forwards who may be pricing themselves out of town.

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Every million counts.

• That Dubas is kicking the costly portion of the trade way down the road is key.

A trade for 2025 second-rounder — kids currently aged 14 or 15 — is four entry drafts into the future.

“This is the furthest into the future draft pick traded that we’ve seen since CapFriendly’s inception in 2015,” tweeted the website.

Stream the Leafs this season with new pricing options! SN NOW STANDARD and PREMIUM let you choose how much hockey you want to watch.
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Who knows who’ll be running the Leafs by then?

Arizona is likely the only team that would accept a payment so deferred.

The rebuilding Coyotes have a ridiculous eight picks in the first two rounds of 2022 and three second-round picks in 2024.

From GM Bill Armstrong’s perspective, he’ll be working with a near blank slate in 2022-23. He needs to collect some actual hockey players to reach the cap floor and, you know, play the games.

Ritchie gets a chance to stick in the show, and the Coyotes get assets for two players they weren’t ready to extend.

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“We are excited to have Nick join our roster,” Armstrong said. “He is a big, tough, strong winger who will add depth and physicality to our forward group.”

No, Armstrong didn’t lose the deal.

But unless that 14-year-old grows up to become the next Connor Bedard, Dubas was a massive winner.





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Raiders coach Josh McDaniels embracing Jimmy Garoppolo despite injury risk

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The Raiders coach says he has no anxiety about Jimmy G, but it’s fair to wonder if the QB can stay on the field and meet lofty expectations.



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What does Nikola Jokić need to do to carry Nuggets in the Finals? Nick answers | What's Wright?

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The NBA Finals are tied at 1-1 and the Heat will host the Nuggets Wednesday night for Game 3 in Miami. Nikola Jokić dropped 40-points in the Nuggets Game 2 loss Sunday, which brings up the question: What does Nikola Jokić need to do to carry the Nuggets in the Finals? Watch along as Nick Wright explains what Jokić will need to do in the remainder of the series to close out the Heat.



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Blue Jays Make A Shocking Decision On Alek Manoah

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(Photo by Mark Blinch/Getty Images)

 

In 2021, when he made his MLB debut with the Toronto Blue Jays, Alek Manoah looked like a star with a 3.22 ERA in 111.2 innings.

He fulfilled that promise last year, when his spectacular 2.24 ERA in 196.2 frames gave him a place among the three AL Cy Young finalists.

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Things went south in 2023, though.

South, as in really south.

After conceding a whopping six earned runs and seven hits while getting just one out in his most recent outing against the Houston Astros, the team decided to send him down.

It wasn’t to Triple-A or Double-A, though: the Jays are sending him to the rookie-level Florida Complex League.

Evidently, Toronto wants Manoah away from the spotlight at the moment as he works through some issues.

Mainly, he has had severe control issues (he has handed out 6.52 walks per nine innings this year, up from just 2.33 last season) and allowed too much hard contact.

It has all resulted in an ugly 6.36 ERA in 58 frames in the current campaign.

Manoah is much, much better than that, and if there is no injury, he should be able to bounce back eventually as the team and the pitcher spot what’s wrong.

The Blue Jays need the best version of Manoah if they are going to make a deep playoff push this year.

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There are other really talented pitchers on the staff but Manoah, when he is on, is probably the best of the bunch.

There is no word on how long he will stay in the Complex League, but no matter where he is, his priority should be getting himself right.

The post Blue Jays Make A Shocking Decision On Alek Manoah appeared first on The Cold Wire.





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