Connect with us

Uncategorized

Where could the Blue Jays look for next year’s Steven Matz?

Published

on


As the Toronto Blue Jays’ off-season begins in earnest, one of its most interesting figures in the early going is Steven Matz.

While it will be fascinating to see what the Blue Jays do about the potential departures of free agents Robbie Ray and Marcus Semien, in the immediate term the course with them is clear. On Sunday, the team will offer each a qualifying offer in expectation of seeing both decline to safeguard draft pick compensation if they sign elsewhere. It would be foolish for the Blue Jays to do anything but tender the offers and it would be foolish of the players to do anything but turn them down.

Matz is creating more intrigue because there are legitimate arguments to be made for both offering and not offering the southpaw a QO. Last year, the left-hander posted 2.8 WAR with 150.2 innings of 3.82 ERA ball, which FanGraphs valued at $22.1 million. If he repeats those numbers, he’d be good value on a qualifying offer and considering his age (30) there’s no reason to expect a precipitous decline.

Advertisement

That said, 2021 was Matz’s best season. He managed just 2.1 WAR in the prior four seasons combined, despite pitching over 400 innings. The former New York Met would likely accept a qualifying offer, and tendering one to him would be buying him at the price reflecting one of his best possible outcomes, when players are normally valued closer to their median projection.

Although payroll flexibility can feel more like a buzzword than a tangible concept at times, the way the Blue Jays value it also factors in. With Hyun-Jin Ryu and George Springer on the books — plus Vladimir Guerrero Jr., and Teoscar Hernandez looking at significant raises through arbitration —it’s harder to come by for Toronto these days. That makes it hard to see the club putting nearly $20 million aside for Matz.

Instead of locking down the 30-year-old, it seems more likely the Blue Jays will be in the market for a new Matz (who doesn’t preclude them from pursuing a higher-end starter). If Toronto wants to strike gold with a back-of-the-rotation starter again it could look to find someone with someone of the qualities Matz brought to the table prior to 2021, which include:

• A rough prior season that brings the price tag down (Matz posted a 9.68 ERA in 30.2 innings in 2020)

• Limited team control (if any) to ensure they’re available

Advertisement

• Some track record of success, as at least a back-of-the-rotation starter

• Young enough that their recent struggles aren’t likely to be caused by age-related decline

• Something intriguing in their repertoire (like Matz’s high-velocity sinker and above-average changeup)

Here are three guys who could fit the bill:

Dylan Bundy

Age: 28

Advertisement

Throws: Right

Contract status: Free agent

2021 stats: 8.34 K/9, 3.38 BB/9, 1.99 HR/9 with a 6.06 ERA and 5.51 FIP in 90.2 IP for 0.0 WAR

What went wrong last season: Basically everything. Bundy saw an across-the-board decline in 2021 after providing 65.2 exceptional innings in a shortened 2020. The right-hander’s contact management was particularly poor. After suppressing hard contact across the board in 2020…

Advertisement

… Bundy couldn’t recreate any of that magic in 2021:

Bundy saw his command and control waver in 2021 as his walk rate rose and he struggled with keeping his changeup and sinker down — leading to power spikes against those pitches.

Why he could be a Matz-type: Although Bundy’s raw stuff has declined significantly since he was a Baltimore Orioles wunderkind nearly a decade ago, it didn’t change much between 2020 and 2021. Now a soft tosser, Bundy actually picked up 0.7 mph on his fastball last year (up to a modest 90.7), and he still has four different pitches with above-average vertical movement and 89th percentile spin rate on his fastball.

He’s clearly not overpowering, but his stuff is compelling in its own way. It’s not hard to imagine him finding a level of success with it somewhere between the form that saw him rack up 2.0 WAR in just 11 starts in 2020 and the struggles that got him booted from an unimpressive Los Angeles Angels rotation last year.

Vince Velasquez

Age: 29

Advertisement

Throws: Right

Contract status: Free agent

2021 stats: 9.64 K/9, 4.67 BB/9, 2.19 HR/9 with a 6.30 ERA and 5.88 FIP in 94.1 IP for -0.3 WAR

What went wrong last season: Much like Bundy, Velasquez got hit around in 2021.

Unlike Bundy, Velasquez missed some bats along the way, but he also walked far too many batters. The combination of putting hitters on, then letting them make hard contact, was deadly and by the end of the year, he was toiling in a barren San Diego Padres rotation more than a month after the Philadelphia Phillies released him. He’s struggled with control and contact management at times throughout his career, but never as badly as he did in 2021.

Advertisement

Why he could be a Matz-type: Velasquez’s career numbers don’t jump off the page (particularly his 4.95 ERA), but he’s got two seasons of 2-plus WAR under his belt, and his 9.75 K/9 as a starter ranks 24th league-wide since 2015 — in between Luis Castillo and Noah Syndergaard.

His fastball is a particularly strong pitch with respectable velocity (93.2 mph), strong vertical movement (plus-13 percent above average) and excellent spin rate (75th percentile). As Devan Fink of FanGraphs pointed out in September, there’s reason to believe he could improve if he leaned on it more. Velasquez also has a biting slider with significantly above-average horizontal run (plus-22 percent):

The tools are there with Velasquez, but the Phillies were never able to help him convert them into consistent production. Perhaps another team employing a pitching coach with a growing reputation would have more luck.

Chad Kuhl

Age: 29

Throws: Right

Advertisement

Contract status: One year of team control with the Pittsburgh Pirates (projected arbitration salary $3 million)

2021 stats: 8.40 K/9, 4.71 BB/9, 1.46 HR/9 with a 4.82 ERA and 5.31 FIP in 80.1 IP for -0.1 WAR

What went wrong last season: After a mediocre start to the year, Kuhl was bumped from the rotation. The right-hander’s walk-to-strikeout ratio of 1.66 as a starter was well below league-average, eroding the Pirates’ faith in him (2.88) despite some superficially acceptable results. Once in the bullpen, he performed even worse (6.75 ERA and 6.31 FIP) on the way to a lost season.

Why he could be a Matz-type: Kuhl last strong season came in 2017, but he has a couple of factors in his favour. The right-hander pairs a solid fastball (67th percentile velocity) with a hard slider in the high 80s, touching the 90s at times:

That’s been his top strikeout pitch in each of his five MLB seasons. It’s never induced a whiff rate below 33.5 percent, and has been worth minus-38 runs since 2017 according to Statcast. Although it’s seldom used, he also wields a curveball with average movement but a gaudy spin rate (79th percentile).

Advertisement

There’s not a lot in Kuhl’s recent numbers to like, but his arsenal is intriguing. It’s no sure thing that it could be unlocked outside the confines of Pittsburgh, but considering the Pirates’ lacklustre reputation for developing pitching lately — and the modest price tag that would be attached to Kuhl — he’s the sort of guy who it could pay to pry loose.



Source link

Continue Reading
Advertisement
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

15 − 10 =

Uncategorized

Bowness not shying away from challenge ahead as Jets look stop tailspin

Published

on


WINNIPEG – Regrets?

Rick Bowness confesses to having a few over the course of his career in his chosen profession, especially when it comes to some of his eruptions on the bench, either directed at his players or occasionally to the men in stripes.

It’s virtually impossible not to want to take a moment or two back when you’ve been around as long as Bowness has.

Advertisement

With his team in the midst of a lengthy tailspin and in danger of falling out of a playoff spot that recently felt like a certainty, Bowness was quick to dismiss a question about whether he might actually regret his decision to put off retirement to become the head coach of the Winnipeg Jets.

“Oh my God. Never,” Bowness told reporters on Thursday morning. “I love it. I still love it. That’s why I’m still here.”

For the record, the question delivered by veteran Canadian Press reporter Judy Owen had nothing to do with the fact Paul Maurice tendered his resignation in December of 2021, seemingly at wits end in his search for answers.

.acf-block-preview .br-snippet {
display: grid;
grid-template-columns: 200px 1fr;
gap: 20px;
width: 100%;
margin: 0 auto;
padding: 16px;
border: 1px solid #CECECE;
background-color: #FFF;
border-radius: 4px;
}
.acf-block-preview .br-snippet-info a {
text-decoration: none;
}
.acf-block-preview .br-snippet-info .br-snippet-title {
color: #343434;
font-family: ‘roboto’;
font-size: 20px;
font-weight: 600;
line-height: 22px;
margin-bottom: 10px;
top: -3px;
}
.acf-block-preview .br-snippet-info .br-snippet-body {
color: #343434;
font-family: ‘urw-din’;
font-size: 16px;
line-height: 20px;
margin-bottom: 12px;
}
.acf-block-preview .br-snippet-info .br-snippet-link-title {
display: inline-block;
font-family: ‘urw-din’;
font-size: 16px;
list-style-type: none;
width: auto;
}
.acf-block-preview .br-snippet-info .br-snippet-link-title:not(:last-child):after {
content: ‘ | ‘;
color: #343434;
}

If you’ve been paying attention to the body language of Bowness on the bench during some of these challenging times for the 41-31-2 Jets of late or listened to the words spoken during his post-game press conferences, it’s natural to wonder if the veteran bench boss might prefer to be sitting at home watching games for enjoyment.

But that’s not how Bowness is wired – and it’s part of why his passion for the sport hasn’t waned after all of these years in it, first as a player and later in a variety of roles on a coaching staff.

Advertisement

When Bowness sees a challenge, he isn’t looking for an emergency exit or a trap door.

He’s ready to meet the task head on, even if it seems to the outside world that this is unlike anything he’s encountered before.

“You always have your challenges with your team. Every day you come in and it’s something new. It’s every day and you’ve got to come ready to meet the challenge, whatever that is,” said Bowness. “And deal with what you see. That’s every day as a coach, even when things are going good, something is going to come up that you’ve got to deal with. That never changes.

“Your challenge as a coach in this league, always expect the unexpected and just be prepared to deal with something every day. Somebody is sick, somebody is not feeling well, this guy is upset about something. Those things you deal with. The way the team is going, we constantly, we just stay as positive as we can. We reinforce, we challenge them on the things that we can do better on a consistent basis, they’re constantly challenged on that and they’re constantly pushed to keep moving forward.”

To that end, Bowness isn’t about to change who he is or what he stands for.

Advertisement

“You want your players to play with emotion and passion. Well, that’s all I’ve got, is emotion and passion, so sometimes it comes out,” said Bowness, asked about recent on the bench outbursts by Maurice and Derek Lalonde of the Detroit Red Wings. “I’m a lot quieter now than I used to be. Over the years, we’ve calmed down a little bit back there. Fortunately.”

Back to the original question about taking the Jets job, Bowness, who signed a multi-year deal during the offseason, knows exactly when it will be time to hang up his whistle.

“I tell Judy every day, the morning I wake up and I don’t want to go to the rink, then we know it’s time (to retire),” said Bowness. “I love this challenge right now. I love the challenge. I don’t want to be where we are, trust me. I would prefer to be back where we were. But I love the challenge that’s in front of us.”

To that end, Bowness took a page of the coach’s manual under the topic of motivational tools on Thursday before hitting the ice, asking several players to share some thoughts on their experiences during the 2018 run to the Western Conference final, something Bowness enjoyed watching from a distance but would like to recreate.

“I had the guys talk this morning about the year they went to the semis and the whole city was on fire. It was electric,” said Bowness. “That’s what we want to bring back to the city.”

Advertisement

Before that can happen, the Jets must first find a way to lock down a spot in the Stanley Cup playoffs.

var adServerUrl = “”;
var $el = $( “#video_container-454739” );
var permalink = $el.closest(‘.snet-single-article’).data(‘permalink’);

/*
if ( “1” == true && ‘undefined’ !== typeof window.getIndexAds ) {
var so = {preroll:{1:{1:{siteID:191888},2:{siteID:191889}}}};
adServerUrl = window.getIndexAds( ‘http://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/ads?sz=640×360&cust_params=domain%3Dsportsnet.ca&iu=%2F7326%2Fen.sportsnet.web%2FVideo&ciu_szs=300×250&impl=s&gdfp_req=1&env=vp&output=vast&unviewed_position_start=1&ad_rule=1&vid=6323572123112&cmsid=384’, so, permalink);
} else {
adServerUrl = “http://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/ads?sz=640×360&cust_params=domain%3Dsportsnet.ca&iu=%2F7326%2Fen.sportsnet.web%2FVideo&ciu_szs=300×250&impl=s&gdfp_req=1&env=vp&output=vast&unviewed_position_start=1&ad_rule=1&vid=6323572123112&cmsid=384”;
}
*/
adServerUrl = “http://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/ads?sz=640×360&cust_params=domain%3Dsportsnet.ca&iu=%2F7326%2Fen.sportsnet.web%2FVideo&ciu_szs=300×250&impl=s&gdfp_req=1&env=vp&output=vast&unviewed_position_start=1&ad_rule=1&vid=6323572123112&cmsid=384”;
var adServerUrl_result = adServerUrl.includes(“cust_params”);
var queryString=”;
if(adServerUrl_result){
var gettheDUFI = localStorage.getItem(“theRED_loc”)

if(gettheDUFI){
queryString += “dufiid=” + gettheDUFI + ‘&’;
queryString += “ppid=” + gettheDUFI + ‘&’;
var ppid = “ppid=” + gettheDUFI + ‘&’;
}

var DUFI_IP = sessionStorage.getItem(“DUFI_IP”)

Advertisement

if(DUFI_IP){
queryString += “dufiip=” + DUFI_IP + ‘&’;
}

adServerUrl = adServerUrl.replace(/cust_params=/, ppid + ‘cust_params=” + encodeURIComponent(queryString) );
}

$el.after( unescape(“%3Cscript src=”” + (document.location.protocol == “https:” ? “https://sb” : “http://b”) + “.scorecardresearch.com/beacon.js” %3E%3C/script%3E”) );

$( document ).one( “ready’, function() {
$( “#video_container-454739” ).SNPlayer( {
bc_account_id: “1704050871”,
bc_player_id: “JCdte3tMv”,
//autoplay: true,
//is_has_autoplay_switch: false,
bc_videos: 6323572123112,
is_has_continuous_play: “false”,
adserverurl: adServerUrl,
section: “”,
thumbnail: “https://www.sportsnet.ca/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/6323572123112-1024×576.jpg”,
direct_url: “https://www.sportsnet.ca/nhl/video/bowness-some-jets-dreaming-if-they-think-theyre-giving-100-in-playoff-chase/”
});
});

var adServerUrl = “”;
var $el = $( “#video_container-285944” );
var permalink = $el.closest(‘.snet-single-article’).data(‘permalink’);

Advertisement

/*
if ( “1” == true && ‘undefined’ !== typeof window.getIndexAds ) {
var so = {preroll:{1:{1:{siteID:191888},2:{siteID:191889}}}};
adServerUrl = window.getIndexAds( ‘http://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/ads?sz=640×360&cust_params=domain%3Dsportsnet.ca&iu=%2F7326%2Fen.sportsnet.web%2FVideo&ciu_szs=300×250&impl=s&gdfp_req=1&env=vp&output=vast&unviewed_position_start=1&ad_rule=1&vid=6323572123112&cmsid=384’, so, permalink);
} else {
adServerUrl = “http://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/ads?sz=640×360&cust_params=domain%3Dsportsnet.ca&iu=%2F7326%2Fen.sportsnet.web%2FVideo&ciu_szs=300×250&impl=s&gdfp_req=1&env=vp&output=vast&unviewed_position_start=1&ad_rule=1&vid=6323572123112&cmsid=384”;
}
*/
adServerUrl = “http://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/ads?sz=640×360&cust_params=domain%3Dsportsnet.ca&iu=%2F7326%2Fen.sportsnet.web%2FVideo&ciu_szs=300×250&impl=s&gdfp_req=1&env=vp&output=vast&unviewed_position_start=1&ad_rule=1&vid=6323572123112&cmsid=384”;
var adServerUrl_result = adServerUrl.includes(“cust_params”);
var queryString=”;
if(adServerUrl_result){
var gettheDUFI = localStorage.getItem(“theRED_loc”)

if(gettheDUFI){
queryString += “dufiid=” + gettheDUFI + ‘&’;
queryString += “ppid=” + gettheDUFI + ‘&’;
var ppid = “ppid=” + gettheDUFI + ‘&’;
}

var DUFI_IP = sessionStorage.getItem(“DUFI_IP”)

if(DUFI_IP){
queryString += “dufiip=” + DUFI_IP + ‘&’;
}

adServerUrl = adServerUrl.replace(/cust_params=/, ppid + ‘cust_params=” + encodeURIComponent(queryString) );
}

Advertisement

$el.after( unescape(“%3Cscript src=”” + (document.location.protocol == “https:” ? “https://sb” : “http://b”) + “.scorecardresearch.com/beacon.js” %3E%3C/script%3E”) );

$( document ).one( “ready’, function() {
$( “#video_container-285944” ).SNPlayer( {
bc_account_id: “1704050871”,
bc_player_id: “JCdte3tMv”,
//autoplay: false,
//is_has_autoplay_switch: false,
bc_videos: 6323572123112,
is_has_continuous_play: “false”,
adserverurl: adServerUrl,
section: “”,
thumbnail: “https://www.sportsnet.ca/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/6323572123112-1024×576.jpg”,
direct_url: “https://www.sportsnet.ca/nhl/video/bowness-some-jets-dreaming-if-they-think-theyre-giving-100-in-playoff-chase/”
});
});

.acf-block-preview .br-video-thumbnail::before {
content: “”;
position: absolute;
top: 45%;
left: 50%;
transform: translate3d(-50%, -50%, 0);
-moz-transform: translate3d(-50%, -50%, 0);
-ms-transform: translate3d(-50%, -50%, 0);
-o-transform: translate3d(-50%, -50%, 0);
-webkit-transform: translate3d(-50%, -50%, 0);
width: 20px;
height: 0px;
border-top: 14px solid transparent;
border-left: 22px solid #fff;
border-bottom: 14px solid transparent;
margin-left: 3px;
}

Once viewed as a legitimate candidate to challenge for top spot in both the Central Division and Western Conference standings, the Jets are suddenly scratching and clawing to hold off the Calgary Flames and Nashville Predators in the chase for the second and final wild-card berth.

Stop us if you’ve heard this before, but the Jets are about to open a pivotal stretch, a five-game homestand that could ultimately define this season, beginning with Friday’s meeting with the Red Wings.

Advertisement

Bowness and his players know exactly what is at stake and make no mistake, this isn’t just about the present.

It’s intertwined with both the past and the future of a franchise that is at an inflection point.

How this stretch of games goes could determine who sticks around to either enjoy the spoils or to potentially clean up the mess of what could be an epic collapse.

There is little doubt the heat has been turned up for a group that entered the season viewed by most pundits as a bubble team.

So it was also natural for Jets centre Pierre-Luc Dubois to view that as more of a rallying point, rather than to lament the series of lost points that include a pair of losses to the San Jose Sharks this month – among other lowlights that include a 7-12-2 record over the past 21 games.

Advertisement

“If you told us in October that we’d be in the playoffs, (by) two points, we control our own destiny here, we would have taken it,” Dubois told reporters. “We’re not out, looking in. We’re in. Two points is two points.

“We control everything that’s going to happen to us to the end of the year. I think in times like this people start to hit the panic button. But in reality it’s the same sport. We know what we can do, and we know what we can achieve if we play the way we can.”

There’s the rub.

Dubois is bang-on in his assessment.

.acf-block-preview .br-snippet {
display: grid;
grid-template-columns: 200px 1fr;
gap: 20px;
width: 100%;
margin: 0 auto;
padding: 16px;
border: 1px solid #CECECE;
background-color: #FFF;
border-radius: 4px;
}
.acf-block-preview .br-snippet-info a {
text-decoration: none;
}
.acf-block-preview .br-snippet-info .br-snippet-title {
color: #343434;
font-family: ‘roboto’;
font-size: 20px;
font-weight: 600;
line-height: 22px;
margin-bottom: 10px;
top: -3px;
}
.acf-block-preview .br-snippet-info .br-snippet-body {
color: #343434;
font-family: ‘urw-din’;
font-size: 16px;
line-height: 20px;
margin-bottom: 12px;
}
.acf-block-preview .br-snippet-info .br-snippet-link-title {
display: inline-block;
font-family: ‘urw-din’;
font-size: 16px;
list-style-type: none;
width: auto;
}
.acf-block-preview .br-snippet-info .br-snippet-link-title:not(:last-child):after {
content: ‘ | ‘;
color: #343434;
}

If the Jets play the way that they can over the final seven games of the regular season – which includes head-to-head meetings with both the Flames and Predators at home next week – things could easily take care of themselves.

The flip side is that the Jets haven’t been clicking on all cylinders for a matter of not just weeks, but multiple months now.

Advertisement

The clean-up crew is required on several aisles, though it’s more of a refinement needed than a complete overhaul.

That’s why the Jets’ on-ice commitment must match the words they’ve been offering as they work to remain positive during this challenging time.

“We all know we can give more and we expect more. So, that starts (Friday),” Jets centre Adam Lowry told reporters. “We’ve been in a slide and it’s been an extended slide, but our season is not over, we’re still in a position where we kind of control our own destiny and it’s an exciting opportunity for us. So, I think it’s about getting out of this funk we’re in and kind of taking care of business so that we can get into the playoffs and then anything can happen from there.

“I think the urgency is certainly important. We’ve kind of run out of the runway where we can take a game off or a few periods off. Every period is critical.”

Lowry was asked if he and his teammates understand what they need to do to get things turned around.

Advertisement

“Yeah, I think we’re on the same page. I think everyone’s kind of in charge of their own performance,” said Lowry. “My job is to worry about how I play and kind of what I’m trying to bring. That’s kind of what we’re all doing. I think we’re all pulling on the same rope and we all have the same goals. Obviously, we haven’t played up to the standards we expect and that’s a collective issue for our team. So, we’re all looking to put forth a little better effort, a little more consistency in our game and that’s all of us.

“I don’t think it’s an effort issue. Sometimes we’re just a little stubborn in how we play.”

If the Jets can’t get that stubbornness out of their game quickly, Bowness won’t be the only person being asked about regrets.

.acf-block-preview .br-related-links-wrapper {
display: grid;
grid-template-columns: repeat(2, 1fr);
gap: 20px;
}

.acf-block-preview .br-related-links-wrapper a {
pointer-events: none;
cursor: default;
text-decoration: none;
color: black;
}




Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Uncategorized

Anthony Volpe's Yankees debut 'a dream come true'

Published

on




The nascent New Jersey native lived out a childhood dream Thursday by starting at shortstop for the Yankees. But Anthony Volpe is just getting started.



Source link

Continue Reading

Uncategorized

Kyrie Irving headlines Broussard's Under Duress list | FIRST THINGS FIRST

Published

on




Chris Broussard alongside Nick Wright and Kevin Wildes reveals his Under Duress List featuring Los Angeles Lakers: Anthony Davis, Phoenix Suns: Kevin Durant and Dallas Mavericks: Kyrie Irving.



Source link

Continue Reading

Trending