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UFC 278 predictions, odds, best bets: Jose Aldo vs. Merab Dvalishvili, Alexander Romanov among top picks

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The UFC lands in Salt Lake City on Saturday with a PPV card headlined by Kamaru Usman putting the welterweight championship on the line against former foe Leon Edwards in the main event. The bout is a rematch of a 2015 bout, which ended in a decision win for Usman. That fight was the last time Edwards tasted defeat.

Two other former champions are also in action at UFC 278. In the co-main event, former middleweight champion Luke Rockhold returns for the first time since July 2019 when he takes on former title challenger Paulo Costa. Rockhold has not won a fight since September 2017. Costa has also lost two-straight, falling to middleweight champion Israel Adesanya and then losing to Marvin Vettori.

Can’t get enough boxing and MMA? Get the latest in the world of combat sports from two of the best in the business. Subscribe to Morning Kombat with Luke Thomas and Brian Campbell for the best analysis and in-depth news, including an early preview of UFC 278 with Aaron Bronsteter below.

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The 13-fight card is loaded with intriguing fights, making it the kind of event that can draw plenty of interest from bettors. Luckily for those looking to put a bit of money on the fights, Caesars Sportsbook has you covered for nearly every angle of UFC 278 to get in on the action. We’re going to give you a few options to consider with this card from our favorite moneyline play, prop play and parlay play. Let’s take a closer look at those picks now.  

Best moneyline pick

AJ Fletcher (-160) vs. Ange Loosa

There are a few red flags here in picking Fletcher, not the least of which are his short arms. Despite Fletcher and Loosa being the same height, Loosa has a seven-inch reach advantage. If Loosa is able to keep the fight on the feet, that is probably the recipe for a bad night for Fletcher. Unfortunately for Loosa, he’s not particularly disciplined in his attack and Fletcher has the ability to explode through takedowns and has shown a solid chin. Fletcher can also be explosive on the feet, as shown in his Contender Series flying knee knockout that secured a UFC contract. Fletcher is just a stronger play here on the back of a more well-rounded game and a better chance to control where the fight takes place.

Best prop pick

Jose Aldo vs. Merab Dvalishvili to go the distance: Yes (-200)

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This was originally a pick for Miranda Maverick and Shanna Young to go under 2.5 rounds, but Young was forced out of the fight. There aren’t a ton of great value prop picks for this card, but Aldo and Dvalishvili going the distance feels like a safe bet at -200. Dvalishvili scored a big TKO of Marlon Moraes his last time out, but that was his first stoppage win in more than three years. Aldo was once a deadly finisher but only one out of his six most recent fights ended in a stoppage, and that came when he was stopped late in the fifth round against Petr Yan. Aldo has shown he can handle top fighters at bantamweight quite well and with this fight just being a three-rounder, I struggle to see a finish materializing for either man.

Best parlay pick

Lucie Pudilova vs. Wu Yanan to go the distance: Yes (-330)
Alexander Romanov (-380) vs. Marcin Tybura
Jared Gordon (-300) vs. Leonardo Santos

Parlay total (+119)

It’s not always sexy to lump together three lines at -300 or more. However, these are three “fairly safe picks” (famous last words in gambling) that come out to +119 and the chance to come away with more than double your bet. Pudilova isn’t a particularly strong finisher but she is also very adept at not being finished. Yanan has won all but one of her 12 career victories by stoppage, but only one of those came inside the UFC, with the rest all coming against lower-level opposition in China. This has every marking of a fight that goes the full 15 minutes. Meanwhile, it’s hard to see Tybura being able to stay standing long enough to use the one edge he has in the fight — his striking — to pull off a win. It’s a heavyweight fight, so anything can happen, but Romanov is likely to just put Tybura on his back and keep him there as much as he likes. Finally, Santos has good power and reach, but he has displayed miserable cardio throughout his recent fights and Gordon pressures hard and does not have the same issues with his cardio. Expect Gordon to drain Santos and leave him worn out and ineffective quickly.

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Washington vs. UCLA prediction, odds: 2022 Week 5 college football picks, best bets from proven model

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A pair of high-powered offensive units will collide Friday when the Washington Huskies meet the UCLA Bruins a battle of unbeaten Pac-12 clubs that will have a major impact on the conference title chase. Kickoff is set for 10:30 p.m. ET from the Rose Bowl. The new-look Huskies (4-0) are averaging 44 points per game behind coach Kalen DeBoer’s versatile attack, while Chip Kelly’s experienced Bruins (4-0) aren’t far behind at 41.8 points per contest. The Bruins won 24-17 at Washington last year and have taken 11 of the last 15 in this rivalry.

The Huskies are 2.5-point favorites and the over/under for total points scored is 64.5 in the latest Washington vs. UCLA odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Before making any UCLA vs. Washington picks, be sure to check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of more than $3,100 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

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Now, the model has set its sights on UCLA vs. Washington and just locked in its picks and CFB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are the college football odds and betting lines for Washington vs. UCLA:

  • Washington vs. UCLA point spread: Washington -2.5
  • Washington vs. UCLA over/under: 64.5 points
  • Washington vs. UCLA money line: Washington -145, UCLA +122
  • UW: The Huskies are 4-1 against the spread following a straight-up victory.
  • UCLA: The Bruins are 5-2 ATS at home in the last seven meetings in this rivalry
  • Washington vs. UCLA picks: See picks at SportsLine

Featured Game | UCLA Bruins vs. Washington Huskies

Why Washington can cover

While DeBoer was at Fresno State, he developed a reputation as a giant killer of sorts as the Bulldogs pulled off numerous victories against heavily favored Power Five programs. One such triumph came last year in a 40-37 Week 4 win at UCLA as a nearly two-touchdown underdog. The Bulldogs also narrowly missed pulling an upset at Oregon, leading most of the way before falling 31-24.

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This feat should give his team confidence that DeBoer knows not only how to prepare for UCLA but has experience winning in the Rose Bowl, which is rare for the Washington program. Since 2000, the Huskies have won just once at UCLA, in 2018 under former coach Steve Sarkisian.

“It’s just always a lesson to keep fighting, keep playing. It’s never over till it’s over,” DeBoer told the media this week. “That game doesn’t mean anything to this team. But those are things that just continue to give you that fighting mentality as a coach. Our guys are probably aware of the experience we went through.”

Why UCLA can cover 

Although a big part of the UCLA fan base had grown impatient with Kelly, who once led Oregon to a national title-game appearance, it appears the veteran coach has finally put together a Pac-12 contender.

The Bruins are led by fifth-year senior Dorian Thompson-Robinson, a coveted recruit who has seen his time with the Bruins marked by injuries and inconsistency. But the dual-threat quarterback has had no such issues this season and has led a diverse offense with 896 passing yards on a 74.8% completion rate with eight touchdowns against one interception. He has added 170 rushing yards and two more scores.

UCLA racked up 515 yards of offense in last week’s 45-17 drubbing of Colorado with a nearly even split of rushing and passing production. One-time Michigan starter Zach Charbonnet rushed for 104 yards on just nine carries for three touchdowns.

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How to make UCLA vs. Washington picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Under on the total, projecting 62 combined points. It has also generated an against the spread pick that cashes in well over 50% of simulations. You can only get the model’s pick at SportsLine

So who wins Washington vs. UCLA? And which side of the spread cashes in well over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that finished the past six-plus years up more than $3,100 on its FBS college football picks, and find out.



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UNLV vs. New Mexico prediction, odds, spread: 2022 Week 5 college football picks, best bets from proven model

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The UNLV Rebels (3-1) host the New Mexico Lobos (2-2) in a Friday night Mountain West showdown. The Rebels secured a conference win by beating Utah State 34-24 last week. New Mexico was blown out 38-0 against LSU last week, though the Lobos knocked off UTEP 27-10 the prior week. 

Kickoff from Allegiant Stadium in Nevada is set for 11 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network. The Rebels are 14.5-point favorites in the latest New Mexico vs. UNLV odds from Caesars Sportsbook. The over/under for total points is set at 44. Before making any UNLV vs. New Mexico picks, be sure to check out the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of more than $3,100 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

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Now, the model has set its sights on New Mexico vs. UNLV and just revealed its picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several college football odds and betting lines for UNLV vs. New Mexico:

  • New Mexico vs. UNLV spread: UNLV -14.5  
  • New Mexico vs. UNLV Over/Under: 43 points  
  • New Mexico vs. UNLV money line: UNLV -650, New Mexico +460 
  • UNM: Under is 6-0 in Lobos last six games following an ATS loss 
  • UNLV: Rebels are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall 
  • New Mexico vs. UNLV picks: See picks here

Featured Game | UNLV Rebels vs. New Mexico Lobos

Why UNLV can cover

The Rebels have been able to establish an effective and impactful ground attack. This unit is averaging 180 rushing yards per game, which ranks third in the conference. The run game is led by junior running back Aidan Robbins. Robbins owns good vision with the ability to quickly get downhill.

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The Kentucky native is second in the Mountain West in rushing yards (427) with seven touchdowns and 5.3 yards per carry. Robbins has logged 80-plus yards in three of the four games played. In Week 3 against North Texas, he finished with 29 carries for 227 yards along with three rushing touchdowns. 

Why New Mexico can cover

The defense for New Mexico has been playing fairly well through the first month of the campaign. The Lobos haven’t allowed teams to torch them, consistently flying to the ball. The Lobos are ranked fourth in the Mountain West in total yards (355.5) and third in rushing yards per game (110.8). They’ve held their opponents to 14 or fewer points in three of the four games played. 

Senior safety Jerrick Reed II makes plays in both the run and pass game. Reed II is a secure and sound tackler with impressive ball skills in coverage. The Mississippi native leads the team in both total tackles (34) and pass deflections (6). Sophomore linebacker Cody Moon is an instinctive player in the middle of the defense. Moon has been an effective blitzer, leading the team in sacks (3.5). He’s also second on the team in total stops (31). 

How to make New Mexico vs. UNLV picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 49 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. You can only get the model’s pick at SportsLine

So who wins New Mexico vs. UNLV? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out. 

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UTSA vs. MTSU prediction, odds, line: 2022 Week 5 college football picks, bets from proven model

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The UTSA Roadrunners (2-2) and the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (3-1) square off in a Conference USA battle on Friday night. Both teams picked up a victory in Week 4. The Blue Raiders stunned Miami (Fla.) en route to a 45-31 win on the road. Meanwhile, the Roadrunners blew out Texas Southern 52-24. 

Kickoff from Floyd Stadium in Murfreesboro, Tenn., is set for 7:30 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network. The Roadrunners are 4.5-point road favorites in the latest UTSA vs. MTSU odds. The over/under for total points is set at 65. Before making any MTSU vs. UTSA picks, be sure to check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of more than $3,100 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

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Now, the model has set its sights on MTSU vs. UTSA and just locked in its picks and CFB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are the college football odds and betting lines for UTSA vs. MTSU:

  • UTSA vs. MTSU spread: UTSA -4.5
  • UTSA vs. MTSU over/under: 65 points
  • UTSA vs. MMTSU money line: UTSA -195, MTSU +162
  • UTSA: Roadrunners are 5-1 ATS in their last six games on turf
  • MTUS: Blue Raiders are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall
  • UTSA vs. MTSU picks: See picks at SportsLine

Featured Game | Middle Tenn. Blue Raiders vs. UTSA Roadrunners

Why UTSA can cover

The Roadrunners have dynamic weapons at receivers. They have showcased their ability to create space and consistently get open. Senior receiver Joshua Cephus is a big-body weapon (6-foot-3) who can line up inside or out. Cephus is amazing at the catch point and can easily high-point a jump ball. The Texas native is second on the team in catches (29) and receiving yards (412). He has gone over 100-plus yards in three of the four games played.

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Senior receiver Zakhari Franklin is an all-around weapon for this unit. Franklin understands leverage and knows how to attack defenders. The Texas native owns outstanding hands and body control. He’s first on the team in catches (32) along with 393 yards and four touchdowns. Franklin is a consistent threat, logging 80-plus yards in all four games thus far. Last week, he reeled in six catches for 87 yards with a score. 

Why MTSU can cover 

Senior quarterback Chase Cunningham is a poised and accurate signal caller. Cunningham has absolute command of the offense with a smooth throwing motion. The Tennessee native is completing 70% of his throws for 1,000 yards with seven passing scores. Cunningham played a big part in the win over Miami last week. He went 16-of-25 for 408 yards and three passing touchdowns.

Sophomore receiver Jaylin Lane has become a serious deep threat through four games. Lane is able to break away from defenders due to his legit deep speed. The South Carolina native is first on the team in receiving yards (231) with a score. He’s also averaging a staggering 21 yards per reception. In his last contest, he snagged four receptions for 130 yards. 

How to make MTSU vs. UTSA picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Under on the total, projecting 58 combined points. It has also generated an against the spread pick that cashes in almost 60% of simulations. You can only get the model’s pick at SportsLine

So who wins UTSA vs. MTSU? And which side of the spread cashes in almost 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that finished the past six-plus years up more than $3,100 on its FBS college football picks, and find out.

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