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UFC 271 predictions, best bets, odds: Derrick Lewis, Carlos Ulberg among top picks to consider

Published

1 year ago

February 12, 2022

UFC 271 goes down this Saturday night from Houston with a major championship rematch in the main event. Middleweight champion Israel Adesanya will put his belt on the line against the man he beat to win the title, Robert Whittaker.

Adesanya is a -280 favorite to retain his title, according to Caesars Sportsbook, a sign that the oddsmakers believe we are in for a repeat of the first fight, where Adesanya dominated Whittaker before scoring a second-round knockout. Whittaker sits as a +230 favorite but claims to be more prepared for battle this time around.

This column will be with you each PPV event to help give you some advice on how you can enjoy the fights a little more. Unfortunately, if you followed our advice for UFC 270, your wallet was a lot lighter. But, if you faded it, you made a boat load of cash! We’ll try to right the ship this weekend in Houston.

Can’t get enough boxing and MMA? Get the latest in the world of combat sports from two of the best in the business. Subscribe to Morning Kombat with Luke Thomas and Brian Campbell for the best analysis and in-depth news.

Caesars Sportsbook has you covered with every angle of UFC 271 to get in on the action. We’re going to give you a few options to consider with this card from our favorite moneyline play, prop play and parlay play. Let’s take a closer look at those picks now.

Best moneyline pick

Derrick Lewis (-180) vs. Tai Tuivasa

Tuivasa is a fun fighter and it’s been great to watch him bounce back from a three-fight losing skid to win four in a row, doing shoeys all along the way. Unfortunately for Tuivasa, Lewis is a different beast than Stefan Struve, Harry Hunsucker, Greg Hardy and Augusto Sakai. Lewis routinely beats people around Tuivasa’s level and that’s why he’s become a staple of the top five in the heavyweight division. Lewis at any number under -200 feels like a great value as the more proven fighter who also has routinely displayed an ability to win fights that go past the first round.

Moneyline record to date (2022): 0-1

Best prop pick

Carlos Ulberg via KO/TKO/DQ vs. Fabio Cherant (-137)

Those of us who bet on Ulberg in his UFC debut likely have some instinctive recoil at the thought of betting on him again. Ulberg entered UFC 259 with a lot of hype and got off to a fast start against Kennedy Nzechukwu, hurting Nzechukwu multiple times in an opening round that got progressively more intense until Ulberg gassed himself out and got knocked out in the second round. In trying to get right in his second UFC fight, Ulberg has serious power and he’s been paired with Cherant, who has been submitted in 71 seconds and knocked out in under four minutes in his two UFC bouts to date. It’s set up as a perfect opportunity for Ulberg to score his first UFC win and score it in an impressive way.

Prop pick record to date (2022): 0-1

Best parlay pick

Casey O’Neill (-400) vs. Roxanne Modafferi
Derrick Lewis (-180) vs. Tai Tuivasa
Bobby Green vs. Nasrat Haqparast to go the distance: Yes (-200)

Parlay total: (+192)

Modafferi is a wonderful person and a largely under-appreciated figure in the history of women’s MMA. That said, she’s on her last legs in the sport and the bout with O’Neill is Modafferi’s retirement bout. O’Neill is a dangerous fighter and a heavy favorite for a reason. Fight sports don’t often provide a happy ending. We’ve already covered the reasons to like Lewis against Tuivasa. And in our final leg, we’ll turn to Green and Haqparast to end up going to the judges’ scorecards. Thirteen of Green’s 17 UFC fights have gone to decision. Similarly, six of Haqparast’s eight trips to the Octagon have done to the judges. A competitive fight between two men who tend to go to the cards at -200 is a must-include.

Parlay record to date (2022): 0-1

Who wins Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2? And what other picks do you need to see? Visit SportsLine now to get detailed top picks on UFC 271, all from the insider who’s up more than $10,000 on MMA picks the past two years, and find out.

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Playoff Takeaways: Stars steal momentum with back-to-back wins over Golden Knights

Published

3 hours ago

May 28, 2023

nigemord@gmail.com

It is easy to say – because it’s logical to project – that there’s no way the Dallas Stars are actually going to win four straight games to save their season against the Vegas Golden Knights.

This conclusion isn’t because the Stars aren’t an excellent team. They are. But so are the Knights.

It’s more math than emotion: only four teams in National Hockey League history have rallied from a 0-3 deficit to win a playoff series, and it has never happened in a conference final, where teams that win the first three games are 46-0 in advancing to the Stanley Cup Final.

The Golden Knights, a 51-win team that had 111 points in the regular season, aren’t going to lose four straight playoff games after losing only three times in the first month of the Stanley Cup tournament.

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This Stars’ comeback almost certainly is not happening despite Dallas’ impressive 4-2 road win Saturday in Las Vegas.

But the fantastic thing about sports is that you actually have to play the games.

And ask yourself this: Can the Dallas Stars win two consecutive games? Because that’s all they have to do now after halting the Knights and stealing momentum by winning Games 4 and 5 in the Western Conference Final.

The Stars no longer have to climb Mt. Everest. They just have to get up the Eiger.

Game 6 is Monday in Dallas. And the Stars will have captain and key forward Jamie Benn back after a two-game suspension.

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So check your climbing harness and make sure you’re roped in. This could get wild.

“We’ve done it all year long where we’ve stayed with our game and we find a way,” the senior Star, Joe Pavelski, said in his walkoff interview with Hockey Night in Canada. “It was a gutsy win coming in here. It gives us life, gives us life.”

The guy most responsible for giving Dallas life was depth forward Ty Dellandrea, who scored twice in 87 seconds halfway through the third period to triple his playoff goals total and propel the Stars to victory in an elimination game they trailed twice.

Luke Glendening, another bottom-six winger, tied the game on a deflection at 15:24 of the first period. And Dallas sniper Jason Robertson, re-ignited in this series, made it 2-2 at 5:29 of the middle frame.

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Importantly, the goals were an immediate response by the Stars after Ivan Barbashev scored for Vegas at 13:36 and Chandler Stephenson at 3:20, respectively. The Knights’ two leads lasted less than four minutes.

Dallas goalie Jake Oettinger stopped 27 of 29 Vegas shots for his second straight win since getting pulled from Game 3 for the third time in eight playoff contests.

STANLEY CUP MAGIC

Much like the 82-game regular season, it’s the journey that surprises and enthralls us in the playoffs – not merely the destination.

Dellandrea scored just nine times in the regular season and was a healthy scratch for coach Peter DeBoer when this series began. He was also a healthy scratch when the Stars decided their second-round series by winning Game 7 against the Seattle Kraken.

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But there he was on Saturday, extending the Stars’ season by scoring twice in the third period while playing his ass off every fourth shift. Besides his pair of goals, Dellandrea had five shot attempts and three hits in 15:59 of ice time.

The 22-year-old, 2018 first-round pick from Port Perry, Ont., had logged one NHL playoff game before this spring.

Asked about his performance, Dellandrea told ESPN: “We’ve got bigger things that we want to accomplish here. So, this was a big win and we get to go back home and have another opportunity. But we’re playing for a lot.”

BIG BENN

It’s not difficult finding inspiration at playoff time, but the Stars made Benn’s suspension a rally focal point. His teammates were determined to win twice without him so their captain’s season didn’t end with his unprovoked cross-check to the neck of Mark Stone two minutes in Game 3.

Mission accomplished. Getting an impactful, battle-hardened veteran like Benn back should turbo-charge the Stars. But they need to be careful about letting their urgency or focus wane after playing the last two games for Benn.

Relief can turn into a dip in emotion when teams get key players back from injury, as if the player’s return alone means the hardest part is over.

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“We’ve been through a little bit of adversity this round,” Dellandrea said. “A big message in the room was: We want to get Jamie back, you know, get our captain back. I think we just focussed on that. We’ve got him back (and) head home for Game 6. That’s what we’re thinking about right now.”

FOUR-LINE PERFECTION

The thoroughness of the Stars’ engagement on Saturday was reflected in the ice times of DeBoer’s four centres: Roope Hintz, 15:43; Wyatt Johnson, 15:52; Max Domi, 16:32; and Radek Faksa, 15:05. Why didn’t Dallas’ best players play more? Because the guys in the bottom half of the lineup earned their ice time in a must-win game.

LONG NIGHT FOR KNIGHTS

There are a couple of things Vegas can latch on to after Game 5.

Their top players, especially the first line of Jack Eichel, Jonathan Marchessault and Ivan Barbashev, can play a lot better – even if Barbashev did open scoring on a strong move to the net after Dallas defenceman Miro Heiskanen drifted out of position to converge on Eichel along the side boards.

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And the bounces could have scarcely gone worse for the Knights. Glendening’s goal was a tip on a seeing-eye point shot by Thomas Harley. Robertson’s goal came after his initial attempt bounced back to him off defenceman Shea Theodore, and the follow-up shot tumbled off the Knight’s stick and up and over goalie Adin Hill. Dellandrea’s tie-breaker ticked the stick of Vegas defenceman Alex Pietrangelo and rattled between Hill’s blocker and pad. And Dellandrea’s clincher came from a scramble when the puck bounced to him in the slot off Stone’s skate, and Hill was unable to make a save because Domi has been knocked into him by Golden Knight Nicolas Hague and a turnover by Zach Whitecloud.

None of the goals was clean. But the Stars earned them by battling to get to the dirty areas. And the Knights are allowed to score greasy goals, too. They just didn’t. And now they have to play a sixth game on Monday.

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ELEPHANT IN THE ROOM

The Knights did not expose their 61.4 per cent penalty-killing, the worst by any team that has won at least one playoff round since the NHL began tracking the stat in 1977-78, because they did not take a penalty in Game 5.

But Vegas also failed to score on the game’s only power play, a slew-foot tripping penalty by Mason Marchment just 50 seconds in. In 16 playoff games, the Knights’ power play has scored nine goals and ranks 11^th among 16 qualifiers at 17.7 per cent.

The Knights have been winning by dominating five-on-five play. But they didn’t on Saturday.

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Stars lean on Case Cookus-Corey Coleman connection in comeback win over Maulers

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May 28, 2023

nigemord@gmail.com

Philadelphia strengthened its hold on the North Division thanks to a comeback led by QB Case Cookus and WR Corey Coleman.

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'Playoff Jimmy' continues to falter, must recall superstar form for Game 7

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