No. 19 San Diego State (9-1) can continue to control its own destiny in the West division of the Mountain West with a win over UNLV (2-8) on Friday night. The Aztecs picked up a crucial win over Nevada last week. UNLV has bounced back from an eight-game losing streak with consecutive wins over New Mexico and Hawaii.

Kickoff is set for 11:30 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network. The Aztecs are favored by 11 points in the latest UNLV vs. San Diego State odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 41. Before entering any San Diego State vs. UNLV picks, you’ll want to see the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 12 of the 2021 season on a 36-23 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on UNLV vs. San Diego State. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football odds for San Diego State vs. UNLV:

• UNLV vs. San Diego State spread: San Diego State -11
• UNLV vs. San Diego State over-under: 41 points

What you need to know about San Diego State

No. 19 San Diego State has multiple reasons to be confident heading into this game. It has not only gone 9-1 this season, but it also blew out UNLV in a 34-6 final last year. Running back Greg Bell rushed for 111 yards and one touchdown as the Aztecs won for the sixth time in seven tries against UNLV.

Bell leads San Diego State again this season, rushing for 849 yards and seven touchdowns on 177 carries. Punter Matt Araiza leads the country in yards per punt (52.3), putting him on pace to break the single-season record. He is going to put UNLV in bad field position throughout Friday night’s game.

What you need to know about UNLV

UNLV opened the year with a disastrous 0-8 start, but it has recovered by winning its last two games in upset fashion. It will be looking to take advantage of what could be a flat spot for San Diego State, as the Aztecs are coming off the huge win over Nevada and have a game against Boise State on deck. UNLV running back Charles Williams is coming off a monster performance, rushing for 266 yards in the 27-13 win over Hawaii.

Williams became the fourth player in Mountain West history to go over 4,000 career rushing yards. He is averaging 4.9 yards per carry and will give his team a chance to control the time of possession on Friday. The Rebels have covered the spread in five of their last seven games. 

How to make UNLV vs. San Diego State picks

The model is leaning under on the total, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins San Diego State vs. UNLV? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine here to find out, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks.