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NFL Week 10 picks, odds, best bets: Aaron Rodgers downs Russell Wilson, Chiefs cover vs. Raiders in prime time

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What an absurd week in the NFL. It was one of those Sundays you can’t really rationalize, and one that makes you want to be careful the next week. The Denver Broncos completely dominated the Dallas Cowboys, who suffered their first loss against the spread this season, and Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills were defeated by Urban Meyer and the Jacksonville Jaguars in a field-goal battle. No one could have predicted that.

Looking ahead at this week, can the Bills bounce back against the legendary Mike White? And will Colt McCoy again start for the Arizona Cardinals and register another win against the lowly Carolina Panthers? How will Aaron Rodgers look coming off of COVID-19 and his dramatic week off the field? It’s sure to be another wild weekend. 

Let’s jump into the picks. Peep the season stats below. 

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Top five picks record: 26-19
Overall ATS record: 67-68-1
Straight up record: 86-50
2020 ATS record: 125-120-9 
(2 official picks missed due to COVID rescheduling)

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS)

Latest Odds:

Tennessee Titans
-3

Since their surprising loss to the New York Jets, the Titans have gone 5-0. Their last four wins were impressive, coming against the Bills, Kansas City Chiefs, Indianapolis Colts and Los Angeles Rams. They were underdogs in all four. Tennessee is now 7-2 against the spread this year and they just keep winning.

This Sunday could be a letdown spot against a good defense, but there are two developments that made me want to make the Titans a best bet: One, Trevor Siemian is not a legitimate starting quarterback, and two, I think there’s something going on with Alvin Kamara. On Tuesday, Nick Underhill of NewOrleans.Football reported that the Saints tried out three running backs, and that he had heard whispers Kamara had gotten banged up. Sure enough, Kamara did not practice on Wednesday due to a knee injury. He is obviously the most important player on offense for the Saints, and without him, this line should move. 

The pick: Titans -3 
Projected score: Titans 24-16

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Carolina Panthers at Arizona Cardinals

Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET (Fox)

Latest Odds:

Arizona Cardinals
-10.5

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Kyler Murray may return this week, but I don’t even care. Colt McCoy beat the 49ers last week by more than Murray did earlier in the year (14 points). He didn’t have a perfect game but he had the support of two under-appreciated running backs in James Conner and Eno Benjamin, as well as a defense that is playing great ball. 

The Panthers lost Sam Darnold for a few weeks, but with how he’s been playing that may be a good thing. P.J. Walker will get the start, but he doesn’t have a great offensive line to protect him. Carolina’s last two losses have come by at least 18 points, and the Panthers are averaging just 9.3 points per game over their last three contests. 

The pick: Cardinals -10.5 
Projected score: Cardinals 30-10

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS)

Latest Odds:

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Green Bay Packers
-3

It won’t be official until Sunday morning, but it looks like the Seahawks and Packers will have their starting QBs back this week. Green Bay has won nine straight home meetings, including postseason, against Seattle. That nine-game losing streak to the Packers on the road is the longest road losing streak in Seahawks history vs. a single opponent.

The Packers are 8-1 against the spread (3-0 at home), and they recorded probably their most impressive ATS victories over the last two weeks. A couple weeks ago, the Packers upset the previously unbeaten Cardinals without their top three receivers, and then Jordan Love covered the spread against the Chiefs last Sunday. Getting Russell Wilson back is important for the Seahawks, but I think this Packers team is one of the best in the NFL

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The pick: Packers -3 
Projected score: Packers 28-21

Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC)

Latest Odds:

Kansas City Chiefs
-2.5

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I hate making the Chiefs a best bet, I really do. They are 2-7 against the spread this season, but are at least 2-2 on the road this year. The Raiders have had an emotional year with the losses of Jon Gruden and Henry Ruggs III, but it feels like an on-field downfall could be coming. They were able to run past the Broncos and Philadelphia Eagles, but lost a lead in the second half against the New York Giants on Sunday. The Chiefs on the other hand could be ready to start a win streak. The defense has noticeably improved. They allowed an average of 32.6 points per game over their first five contests this season, but have allowed just 16 points per game over the last four. 

The pick: Chiefs -2.5 
Projected score: Chiefs 27-23

Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco 49ers

Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN)

Latest Odds:

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Los Angeles Rams
-4

Both of these NFC West teams are coming off of embarrassing losses, but the 49ers’ loss to the Cardinals was much more embarrassing in my opinion. Colt McCoy and James Conner made the 49ers look silly, and did so without many important players like Kyler Murray, DeAndre Hopkins and A.J. Green. The 49ers have won the past four games in this rivalry, but San Francisco enters this game on an eight-game losing streak at home. Like the Cardinals, the Rams are undefeated on the road this season.

Matthew Stafford had his worst game as a Ram on Monday night, but I have faith he can bounce back. It’s also worth mentioning that the L.A. defense did not play bad at all last week. They allowed just 194 yards of total offense to the Titans, and only two touchdown drives that were at least seven plays long. Rams turnovers ruined this matchup. The way I look at it, the Rams are the much better team. 

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The pick: Rams -4 
Projected score: Rams 27-20

Other Week 10 picks

Ravens (-7.5) 28-17 over Dolphins
Bills 27-17 over Jets (+12.5)
Buccaneers (-9.5) 28-16 over Washington
Colts (-10.5) 30-14 over Jaguars
Steelers (-9) 20-10 over Lions
Cowboys 30-23 over Falcons (+9)
Browns (+2.5) 26-23 over Patriots
Chargers (-3) 26-21 over Vikings
Broncos (-2.5) 29-25 over Eagles





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Aaron Rodgers to the Jets? Giants' free agency options & Mike McCarthy's future with Cowboys | Ask Jay Glazer

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Jay Glazer discussed whether Green Bay Packers QB Aaron Rodgers will head to the New York Jets, the New York Giants’ free agency options, and breaks down Mike McCarthy’s future with the Dallas Cowboys.



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Super Bowl LVII: Chiefs and Eagles will meet for title in Arizona

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Patrick Mahomes finally got the best of Joe Burrow. 

All he needed was a little shove.

Harrison Butker made a 45-yard field goal with 3 seconds left — after Cincinnati’s Joseph Ossai was flagged for a 15-yard penalty for shoving Mahomes after he was out of bounds — and the Chiefs beat the Bengals 23-20 in the AFC championship game to make it back to the Super Bowl.

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Kansas City will face the Philadelphia Eagles in the Super Bowl on Feb. 12 in Glendale, Arizona. 

The Eagles opened as a 1 1/2-point favourite, according to FanDuel Sportsbook.

There are no shortage of storylines: Kansas City coach Andy Reid goes against his old team — which he led to Super Bowl 39 — in a game that’s also the first matchup of Black starting quarterbacks in the Super Bowl with Mahomes and Philadelphia’s Jalen Hurts. 

On top of that, there’s a brother-against-brother showdown between Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce and Philadelphia center Jason Kelce.

“Officially done being a Chiefs fan this season!! ” Jason Kelce tweeted immediately after the Chiefs won.

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The Chiefs have been making deep postseason runs on a regular basis ever since Mahomes came to town as the franchise quarterback. 

This was their fifth straight trip to the AFC title game and will be their third Super Bowl appearance in that span. They beat the 49ers for the NFL title in the 2019 season, but lost to the Bucs the following season.

The Eagles clobbered the Niners 31-7 in the NFC title game earlier Sunday. They’ve looked dominant in the playoffs so far, also beating the New York Giants 38-7 in the divisional round.

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Philadelphia is back in the Super Bowl five years after beating the New England Patriots 41-33 on Feb. 4, 2018. 

Now a mostly new generation of Eagles — led by coach Nick Sirianni and Hurts — will come to Arizona to try and win another title.

The Chiefs-Bengals game looked as if it was going to overtime before Ossai’s ill-advised play. Mahomes — who was playing on a badly sprained ankle — was running to get a first down in the final seconds as Ossai desperately tried to track him down. 

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Mahomes was out of bounds when Ossai gave him a shove, sending both players tumbling to the turf. The ensuing 15-yard penalty was enough to push Butker into field-goal range and the kick split the uprights.

A distraught Ossai sat on the bench with his head in his hands, well after the game was over.

The Bengals and Chiefs were playing for the fourth time in less than 400 days and Cincinnati had won the previous three meetings — all by three points. This one was decided by a field goal, too, and all Burrow could do was watch.

The Bengals lost to the Rams in last year’s Super Bowl and they just missed another chance at returning to the title game.

NO DRAMA IN NFC

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Oddsmakers thought fans were in for some close conference championship games. 

They’ll have to settle for a 50% success rate.

The NFC title game was a blowout. Niners rookie quarterback Brock Purdy was injured in the first quarter when Eagles linebacker Haason Reddick drilled his right arm on a play that was ruled a fumble. The Eagles recovered that fumble and the injury proved to be a game-changer.

With Purdy hurt, San Francisco turned to 36-year-old journeyman Josh Johnson, who couldn’t do much before eventually leaving with a concussion. Purdy came back into the game, but could barely throw, and the Eagles cruised to the win.

The 49ers dealt with quarterback injuries all season, losing Trey Lance and Jimmy Garoppolo before turning to Purdy, a seventh-round draft pick out of Iowa State. Purdy stepped into a starter’s role in December and won his first seven games before Sunday’s injury. 

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Here’s a few things to know about the upcoming Super Bowl:

WHAT’S THE UPCOMING SCHEDULE?

FEB. 5

Pro Bowl flag-football game, 3 p.m. EST, ABC/ESPN

FEB. 12

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Super Bowl LVII, Philadelphia Eagles vs. Kansas City Chiefs, 6:30 p.m. EST, Fox

RIHANNA AT HALFTIME

Rihanna will take center stage as the headline act for this year’s Super Bowl halftime show.

With sales of more than 250 million records worldwide, Rihanna ranks as one of the best-selling female artists ever. Her most recent album was 2016′s “Anti.” Rihanna last performed publicly at the Grammy Awards in 2018.

The singer said she turned down a similar opportunity for the 2019 Super Bowl that was ultimately headlined by Maroon 5. At the time, many artists voiced support for Colin Kaepernick, the former San Francisco 49ers quarterback who protested police brutality against Black people and minorities by kneeling during the national anthem in 2016.

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Country music star Chris Stapleton will sing the national anthem, while R&B legend Babyface will perform “America the Beautiful.” 

PRO BOWL MAKEOVER

The Pro Bowl is getting a major makeover this year after the NFL eliminated its full-contact all-star game and replaced it with weeklong skills competitions and a flag football game.

The flag football contest is Feb. 5 in Las Vegas at Allegiant Stadium, one week before the Super Bowl.

The Pro Bowl debuted in January 1951 in Los Angeles and stayed there for 21 seasons before the game moved to different cities from 1972-80. Hawaii hosted from 1980-2009, and the game has had several homes in the years since, including Miami, Phoenix, Orlando and Las Vegas.

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“The game was kind of silly, I guess,” Saints two-time Pro Bowl offensive lineman Ryan Ramczyk said back in September when the news was announced. “Guys weren’t out there playing true football. Hopefully, there’ll be a lot of interactions with the fans and guys will get their opportunity to go out there and show some skills. I could see that being a good change.”

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Ohio State hires James Laurinaitis & Tennessee extends Huepel's contract | Joel Klatt Show

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Joel Klatt discussed Ohio State Buckeyes hiring former linebacker James Laurinaitis as a defensive GA. Joel believes that Laurinaitis can help transform the defense into a powerhouse like the offense is for wide receivers. He then discussed the Tennessee Volunteers giving Josh Huepel a contract extension after their 11-win season.



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