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NFL Week 10 odds, picks: Russ cooks in return for Seahawks, plus Browns and Eagles win as road dogs

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I’m coming off a 1-2 week in the column, but as far as I’m concerned, Week 9 of the NFL season was a rousing success. It doesn’t matter whether I had a losing week or that the Chicago Bears lost to the Pittsburgh Steelers on Monday night. All that matters is how Justin Fields played late in the game.

You have to understand; as a Bears fan, I do not know what it is like to root for an NFL team with a quarterback I trust. The best I’ve had in my lifetime was Jay Cutler. While I firmly believe Cutler was underrated by most, when it came down to winning time, I was always more concerned about Cutler making the game-ending mistake than I was confident he’d make the game-winning play.

So watching Fields play well against San Francisco in Week 8 and then lead the Bears on a touchdown drive to take the lead late on the road in a prime-time game while tossing lasers all over the field, that’s all that matters. When Matt Nagy did the typically dumb Matt Nagy thing by opting for a 65-yard field goal attempt instead of a Hail Mary, I didn’t even care that the kick ended up 10 yards short. I might finally have a QB worth believing in.

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I’ve also got three picks for this week worth believing in.

All NFL odds are via Caesars Sportsbook.

Speaking of rookie quarterbacks, while Justin Fields is clearly on a path to being the greatest QB of all time, it’s hard to argue that Mac Jones hasn’t been the most consistent rookie QB in the NFL this season. And that hasn’t stopped me from betting against him and the Patriots when favored. The Pats are 3-3 ATS as favorites this season but have covered their last two. The thing is, those covers have come against the Jets and Panthers — two teams with a very questionable QB situation. The Browns do not have that, and with or without Nick Chubb, I consider them live dogs this weekend.

The Patriots’ defense has not been great against the run, and it’s at the heart of what Cleveland does offensively. Plus, we saw how well this team performed last week against Cincinnati without the Odell Beckham distraction. Furthermore, like most young QBs, Jones has struggled when pressured. That’s not great news considering he’ll be facing a Cleveland defense that ranks second in the league in pressure rate (34.2%).

Latest Odds:

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New England Patriots
-2.5

Prediction: Browns 24, Patriots 21

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We know Russell Wilson will be back for Seattle this weekend, and we can assume that Aaron Rodgers will probably be back for the Packers. Well, even if Rodgers is back, I like Seattle getting three points here, and there’s still a chance Rodgers won’t play, which makes Seattle even more appealing! Wilson won’t be the only player Seattle gets back this weekend, either, as Chris Carson has been designated to return off injured reserve. That means Seattle is getting healthy at the right time. Meanwhile, Rodgers can’t be around the team until Saturday at the earliest, so he won’t have been practicing with the team or working on the game plan even if he is playing.

Now, he’s still Aaron Rodgers, and he’s been there a while, so I don’t think the impact will be that severe, but it could lead to a slower start, which might be all we need. Nor does it hurt my confidence that the Packers’ defense has been mostly mediocre this season and has really struggled in the red zone. When you can’t hold opponents to field goals, it’s more difficult to cover spreads as a favorite.

Latest Odds:

Green Bay Packers
-3

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Prediction: Packers 24, Seahawks 23

We bet the Broncos +10 last week, and it turns out we should’ve bet the money line. Oh well, I’m not expecting Denver to shock the world two weeks in a row. I’m much more comfortable taking them in an underdog role than as a favorite, which they are here. And I get why. The Eagles have not been great this season, but they have been better in recent weeks.

I get the sense that Nick Sirianni has started to figure out what works best with Jalen Hurts and is finding a more healthy balance on offense. Perhaps that’s why an Eagles team that averaged only 1.96 points per possession in its first five games is scoring 2.92 points per possession over the last four. Also, it’s possible that losing Miles Sanders has been a blessing in disguise for this Eagles offense in the red zone. The combination of Hurts and Jordan Howard has been much more effective around the goal line. With Howard the last two games, the Eagles have scored touchdowns on six of their seven goal-to-go situations. They were at only 62.5% through their first seven games with Sanders.

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Latest Odds:

Denver Broncos
-2.5

Prediction: Eagles 27, Broncos 21

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Record

Units

Last Week

1-2

-1.25

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Season

16-11

+3.75





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Perfect starts by Texas, Oklahoma set up must-see Red River Showdown

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Perfect starts by Texas and Oklahoma have set up the 43rd meeting between the Red River rivals where both teams will be ranked with potentially much more on the line.



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Cowboys look dominant again, but the real test is waiting in San Francisco

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The Cowboys looked elite again in a 38-3 pounding of the Patriots. Now comes the hard part: A trip to San Francisco to avenge last season’s playoff loss.



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49ers Teammate Has Bold Prediction About Christian McCaffrey’s Season

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(Photo by Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images)

 

The San Francisco 49ers remain undefeated after the first month of the regular season.

And while their team is obviously stacked on both sides of the field, star RB Christian McCaffrey has been their best offensive player by a significant margin.

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That’s why OT Trent Williams believes he has a legitimate shot to become the first non-quarterback to win MVP honors since Adrian Peterson did it in 2012, via Around The NFL.

“Hey, all them streaks come to an end eventually, right?” Williams said, via ESPN. “This might be the year. I can see it.”

Peterson needed to rush for more than 2,000 yards to get the nod, and CMC will have plenty of competition, including his own teammate, Brock Purdy, who’s still undefeated as a starter.

It’s hard to ignore McCaffrey’s video-game-like production.

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He had 106 yards on 20 carries and three rush touchdowns, all while hauling in seven passes for 71 receiving yards and another score.

That performance put him right by Jerry Rice as the only player with 150+ scrimmage yards and four+ TD in a game in franchise history.

It was also a career-best performance from a touchdown perspective, and the second-most scrimmage touchdowns in team history.

On top of that, the former Carolina Panther is now the seventh player to score at least one touchdown in 13+ straight games — including playoff — passing Rice for team history.

As of now, he just trails a plethora of legends and Hall of Famers, such as Emmitt Smith (14), O.J. Simpson, John Riggins, and Lenny Moore (15 each).

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As of now, he has the most rushing yards (459) in the league and is tied for most rushing touchdowns as well (six), and has a grand total of 600 scrimmage yards through four games, which is also the highest number in the league.

The post 49ers Teammate Has Bold Prediction About Christian McCaffrey’s Season appeared first on The Cold Wire.





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