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NFL Week 10 odds, picks: Russ cooks in return for Seahawks, plus Browns and Eagles win as road dogs

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I’m coming off a 1-2 week in the column, but as far as I’m concerned, Week 9 of the NFL season was a rousing success. It doesn’t matter whether I had a losing week or that the Chicago Bears lost to the Pittsburgh Steelers on Monday night. All that matters is how Justin Fields played late in the game.

You have to understand; as a Bears fan, I do not know what it is like to root for an NFL team with a quarterback I trust. The best I’ve had in my lifetime was Jay Cutler. While I firmly believe Cutler was underrated by most, when it came down to winning time, I was always more concerned about Cutler making the game-ending mistake than I was confident he’d make the game-winning play.

So watching Fields play well against San Francisco in Week 8 and then lead the Bears on a touchdown drive to take the lead late on the road in a prime-time game while tossing lasers all over the field, that’s all that matters. When Matt Nagy did the typically dumb Matt Nagy thing by opting for a 65-yard field goal attempt instead of a Hail Mary, I didn’t even care that the kick ended up 10 yards short. I might finally have a QB worth believing in.

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I’ve also got three picks for this week worth believing in.

All NFL odds are via Caesars Sportsbook.

Speaking of rookie quarterbacks, while Justin Fields is clearly on a path to being the greatest QB of all time, it’s hard to argue that Mac Jones hasn’t been the most consistent rookie QB in the NFL this season. And that hasn’t stopped me from betting against him and the Patriots when favored. The Pats are 3-3 ATS as favorites this season but have covered their last two. The thing is, those covers have come against the Jets and Panthers — two teams with a very questionable QB situation. The Browns do not have that, and with or without Nick Chubb, I consider them live dogs this weekend.

The Patriots’ defense has not been great against the run, and it’s at the heart of what Cleveland does offensively. Plus, we saw how well this team performed last week against Cincinnati without the Odell Beckham distraction. Furthermore, like most young QBs, Jones has struggled when pressured. That’s not great news considering he’ll be facing a Cleveland defense that ranks second in the league in pressure rate (34.2%).

Latest Odds:

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New England Patriots
-2.5

Prediction: Browns 24, Patriots 21

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Which picks can you make with confidence, and which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Visit SportsLine now to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned almost $7,600 since its inception.

We know Russell Wilson will be back for Seattle this weekend, and we can assume that Aaron Rodgers will probably be back for the Packers. Well, even if Rodgers is back, I like Seattle getting three points here, and there’s still a chance Rodgers won’t play, which makes Seattle even more appealing! Wilson won’t be the only player Seattle gets back this weekend, either, as Chris Carson has been designated to return off injured reserve. That means Seattle is getting healthy at the right time. Meanwhile, Rodgers can’t be around the team until Saturday at the earliest, so he won’t have been practicing with the team or working on the game plan even if he is playing.

Now, he’s still Aaron Rodgers, and he’s been there a while, so I don’t think the impact will be that severe, but it could lead to a slower start, which might be all we need. Nor does it hurt my confidence that the Packers’ defense has been mostly mediocre this season and has really struggled in the red zone. When you can’t hold opponents to field goals, it’s more difficult to cover spreads as a favorite.

Latest Odds:

Green Bay Packers
-3

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Prediction: Packers 24, Seahawks 23

We bet the Broncos +10 last week, and it turns out we should’ve bet the money line. Oh well, I’m not expecting Denver to shock the world two weeks in a row. I’m much more comfortable taking them in an underdog role than as a favorite, which they are here. And I get why. The Eagles have not been great this season, but they have been better in recent weeks.

I get the sense that Nick Sirianni has started to figure out what works best with Jalen Hurts and is finding a more healthy balance on offense. Perhaps that’s why an Eagles team that averaged only 1.96 points per possession in its first five games is scoring 2.92 points per possession over the last four. Also, it’s possible that losing Miles Sanders has been a blessing in disguise for this Eagles offense in the red zone. The combination of Hurts and Jordan Howard has been much more effective around the goal line. With Howard the last two games, the Eagles have scored touchdowns on six of their seven goal-to-go situations. They were at only 62.5% through their first seven games with Sanders.

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Latest Odds:

Denver Broncos
-2.5

Prediction: Eagles 27, Broncos 21

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Record

Units

Last Week

1-2

-1.25

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Season

16-11

+3.75





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Serena Williams to retire after U.S. Open

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Williams, 40, wrote that she is ready to step away from the sport to focus on her family and career.



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NFL Super Bowl odds 2023: Predictions, expert picks, teams to target from football insiders

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The Los Angeles Chargers haven’t won their division since 2009 and have finished third in the AFC West the last two seasons. Prognosticators feel differently about them this year, as quarterback Justin Herbert enters his third season and other stars on both sides of the ball like Austin Ekeler, Keenan Allen and Derwin James return with their sights set on a deep playoff run. The Chargers are 15-1 in the early 2023 Super Bowl odds at Caesars Sportsbook, just behind the defending champions and roommates at SoFi Stadium, the Los Angeles Rams.

The Rams head into the season with 12-1 odds to repeat and are close behind other Super Bowl 57 contenders like the Green Bay Packers and Kansas City Chiefs, who are both 11-1 in preseason NFL futures. Buffalo enters the season as 6-1 favorites to win the title this season, but the Bills have been bounced by the Chiefs in the playoffs the last two years. Before you make any 2023 Super Bowl picks, be sure to check out the Super Bowl 57 predictions from SportsLine NFL handicappers R.J. White, Alex Selesnick and Brett Anderson.

White consistently crushes the NFL as SportsLine’s No. 1 NFL expert in picks against the spread, and went 445-378-24 on his ATS NFL picks from 2017-21, which returned $2,542 to $100 players. He’s also well-known for cashing out big in the Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest twice since 2015. Anderson is coming off a dominant 2021 NFL season in which he went 23-9, returning $1,315 to $100 players, and was a perfect 4-0 in the playoffs. Selesnick (aka PropStarz) specializes in MLB, NFL and NBA prop betting, where he implements a combination of research, statistical analysis and mathematical modeling to deliver profitable long-term results.

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Now, with sportsbooks updating 2023 Super Bowl odds as the preseason gets underway, SportsLine’s experts have scoured the wagering menu, analyzed all 32 teams, and released their top Super Bowl 57 picks. Head to SportsLine now to see them.

Top 2023 Super Bowl picks

White is fading the Rams, even though they are the defending champs and 12-1 to repeat this season. Winning back-to-back championships is extremely difficult and hasn’t been done since the New England Patriots did it in 2004 and 2005. Quarterback Tom Brady was in just his fourth and fifth seasons and had already won his first championship in 2002. This year, Rams QB Matthew Stafford will be in his 13th season and he enters with concerns of an elbow issue in his throwing arm.

Although Brady proved to be an exception after Drew Bledsoe was injured in 2001, teams that lose their starting quarterbacks don’t typically go on to win Super Bowls. While most expect Stafford to be ready to go in Week 1, there is concern that someone with his injury history has a higher likelihood of breaking down as the season wears on. Besides Stafford, White has concerns about the overall depth of the Rams’ roster and what it would mean if other star players start picking up injuries.

“While most teams won’t survive the loss of the starting quarterback, the Rams are one of the most top-heavy rosters in the league by design,” White told SportsLine. “So any loss of a star player is going to be more difficult to overcome.” 

How to make Super Bowl 57 picks

SportsLine’s experts are also eyeing an under-the-radar team that missed the playoffs last season. This massive long shot loaded up with a new head coach and plenty of playmakers in the offseason, and anyone who backs this underdog could hit it big. You can only see who it is at SportsLine.

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Who are SportsLine’s experts backing to win the Super Bowl 2023? And which massive long shot can go all the way? Check out the 2023 Super Bowl odds below, then visit SportsLine to see all of the 2023 Super Bowl best bets, from the team of expert that have generated thousands of dollars in profit for followers over the past few seasons.

2023 Super Bowl odds to win

Buffalo Bills 6-1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 15-2
Green Bay Packers 11-1
Kansas City Chiefs 11-1
Los Angeles Rams 12-1
Los Angeles Chargers 15-1
San Francisco 49ers 16-1
Denver Broncos 16-1
Dallas Cowboys 20-1
Cincinnati Bengals 22-1
Baltimore Ravens 22-1
Cleveland Browns 25-1
Indianapolis Colts 25-1
Philadelphia Eagles 25-1
Las Vegas Raiders 30-1
Arizona Cardinals 35-1
Tennessee Titans 35-1
New England Patriots 40-1
New Orleans Saints 40-1
Minnesota Vikings 40-1
Miami Dolphins 40-1
Washington Commanders 80-1
Pittsburgh Steelers 80-1
New York Giants 100-1
Carolina Panthers 125-1
Detroit Lions 125-1
Jacksonville Jaguars 125-1
New York Jets 125-1
Chicago Bears 150-1
Seattle Seahawks 150-1
Atlanta Falcons 250-1
Houston Texans 300-1



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National Bank Open: Andreescu and a flurry of Canadians get started in Day 2

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After an eventful opening day at the National Bank Open — Leylah Fernandez won her opener in three sets, the incomparable Serena Williams won for the first time in a year, and Denis Shapovalov’s match was suspended due to rain —  the action continues on Day 2. 

Here’s a look at the most compelling matches in store on Tuesday for the women in Toronto and the men in Montreal.

Women’s headliner

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Bianca Andreescu (Canada) vs. No. 11 Daria Kasatkina (Russia), not before 7 pm ET (all times listed are local ET).

Andreescu won this tournament three years ago before going on to win the 2019 US Open during an absolute crackerjack of a breakout year. She’ll get her 2022 tournament going against a tough opponent in Kasatkina, the world No. 9, to open the evening draw in Toronto.

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The 22-year-old Andreescu, from nearby Mississauga, Ont., battled through back pain last week in a first-round loss to American Shelby Rogers, but she told Sportsnet’s Carly Agro that she’s feeling 100 per cent and ready to go this week.

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Andreescu was ranked as high as No. 4 in the world, and she’s now No. 53 and in the midst of a comeback. A lengthy layoff in 2020 and 2021 saw her recover from a knee injury, a bout of COVID and then opt to take a mental break from the sport.

Toronto is special to Andreescu, who grew up playing on these courts and is an absolute fan favourite.

Men’s headliner

Denis Shapovalov (Canada) vs. Alex de Minaur (Australia), third in the early draw.

The action in Montreal kicks off at 11 a.m., and the third match of the day will see Shapovalov and de Minaur return to centre court after rain forced the suspension of their match on Day 1. This one is awfully close between the world’s No. 22-ranked Shapovalov and de Minaur, who’s ranked No. 21.

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Shapovalov is down a set and tied at 6-6 in the second.

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Other highlights

Rebecca Marino (Canada) vs. Qinwen Zheng (China), 11 am ET.

Marino, a Toronto native, is coming off a quarter-final finish at the Citi Open last week, where she beat Venus Williams and moved inside the world’s Top 100 ranking. She’ll open Day 2 action in Toronto on centre court.

Another couple of Canadians in action you won’t want to miss: The Fernandez sisters, Bianca and Leylah, are playing doubles on Court 1 in the morning draw (they’re third up in the draw that gets going at 11 a.m.), against Kirsten Flipkens and Sara Sorribes Tormo.

Emma Raducanu (Great Britain) vs. Camila Giorgi (Italy), second match of the day

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Just after Marino wraps up her opener, another Toronto-born player will take to centre court. Raducanu, the reigning US Open champion who spent the first two years of her life in Canada, is making her debut at the National Bank Open. No doubt many Canadian tennis fans are familiar with the 19-year-old, who beat Fernandez in the all-teenager US Open final last year.

Vasek Pospisil (Canada) vs. Tommy Paul (America), 11 a.m. ET.

Pospisil is a wild card here, and this marks the 14th time we’ll see the B.C.-born veteran at this tournament. He’s in tough against Paul, who’s ranked 34th in the world. Pospisil is 147th, but he’ll no doubt have the crowd on his side. 

Andy Murray (Great Britain) vs. Taylor Fritz (America), not before 6:30 p.m. ET.

Murray, the former world No. 1, is a three-time National Bank Open champion. The veteran will face a rising star in Fritz, the 25-year-old who cracked his first major quarter-final at Wimbledon, and won his first Masters 1000 title at Indian Wells back in March.

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Full women’s schedule in Toronto

Centre court, starting at 11 a.m.:
Rebecca Marino (Canada) vs. Qinwen Zheng
Camila Giorgi vs. Emma Raducanu
Kaia Kanepi vs. Naomi Osaka

Not before 7 p.m.:
Daria Kasatkina vs. Bianca Andreescu (Canada)
Maria Sakkari vs. Sloane Stephens

Grandstand, starting at 11 a.m.:
Madison Brengle vs. Coco Gauff
Veronika Kudermatova vs. Ajla Tomljanovic
Amanda Anisimova vs. Carol Zhau (Canada)

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Not before 5 p.m.:
Belinda Bencic vs. Tereza Martincova

Court 1, starting at 11 a.m.:
Sara Sorribes Tormo vs. Claire Liu
Shuai Zhang vs. Cristina Bucsa
Kirsten Flipkens and Sara Sorribes Tormo vs. Bianca Fernandez (Canada) and Leylah Fernandez (Canada)
Marie Bouzkova and Laura Siegemund vs. Nadiia Kichenok and Tereza Mihalikova

Court 4, starting at 11 a.m.:
Anna Bondar vs. Elise Mertens
Beatriz Haddad Maia and Barbora Krejcikova vs. Kaitlyn Christian and Oksana Kalashnikova
Madison Keys and Sania Mirza vs. Alize Cornet and Jil Teichmann
Alicja Rosolska and Erin Routliffe vs. Nicole Melichar-Martinez and Ellen Perez

Court 3, starting at 11 a.m.:
Eri Hozumi and Makoto Nimomiya vs. Vivian Heisen and Monica Niculescu
Ulrikke Eikeri and Catherine Harrison vs. Lyudmyla Kichenok and Jelena Ostapenko
Asia Muhammad and Ena Shibahara vs. Kayla Cross (Canadian) and Victoria Mboko (Canada)
Anna Bondar and Kimberley Zimmermann vs. Sofia Kenin and Yulia Putintseva

Full men’s schedule in Montreal

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Centre Court, starting at 11 a.m.:
Vasek Pospisil (Canada) vs. Tommy Paul
Alexis Galarneau (Canada) vs. Grigor Dimitrov
Alex de Minaur vs. Denis Shaovalov (Canada)
Sebastian Baez vs. Nick Kyrgios

Not before 6:30 p.m.:
Andy Murray vs. Taylor Fritz
Emil Ruusuvuori vs. Hubert Hurkacz

Court Rogers, starting at 11 a.m.:
Pablo Carreno Busta vs. Matteo Berrettini
Gael Monfils vs. Pedro Martinez
Robert Bautista Agut vs. Marcos Giron
Cameron Norrie vs. Brandon Nakashima

Not before 6:30 p.m.:
Diego Schwartzman vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Kevin Krawietz and Andreas Mies vs. Lukasz Kubot and Stan Wawrinka

Court 9, starting at 11 a.m.:
Marin Cilic vs. Borna Coric
Adrian Mannarino vs. Arthur Rinderknech
Jack Draper vs. Hugo Gaston
Frances Tiafoe vs. Benjamin Bonzi
Miomir vs. Botic van de Zandschulp
Karen Khachanov and Denis Shapovalov (Canada) vs. Rohan Bopanna and Matwe Middelkoop

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Court 5, starting at 11 a.m.:
Asian Karatsev vs. Maxime Cressy
Filip Krajinovic vs. Daniel Evans
Fabio Fognini vs. Holger Rune
Benoit Paire vs. Yoshito Nishioka
David Goffin vs. Albert Ramos-Vinolas
Grigor Dimitrov and Andrey Rublev vs. Matthew Ebden and Max Purcell

Sportsnet coverage gets underway at 11 a.m.

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