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NFL odds, lines, picks, spreads, bets, predictions for Week 11, 2021: Model high on Titans, Steelers

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The Cardinals and Seahawks find themselves at a crossroads on the Week 11 NFL schedule. The Cardinals’ Kyler Murray is questionable again this week with an ankle injury, while his backup, Colt McCoy, is also nursing a pectoral injury. For the Seahawks, Russell Wilson made a quick return from his broken hand last Sunday, but was only 20-for-40 with 161 yards through the air. The Cardinals are 2.5-point favorites in the Week 11 NFL odds at Caesars Sportsbook. Can they cover one of the slimmest NFL spreads of the week?

When making your Week 11 NFL bets, should you take one of the smaller NFL Vegas lines or one of the schedule’s larger numbers? All of the Week 11 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine’s advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 11 NFL picks now.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,500 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 11 of the 2021 season on an incredible 128-89 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

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The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 11 NFL odds and locked in picks for every NFL matchup. Head here to see every pick.

Top Week 11 NFL predictions

One of the model’s strongest Week 11 NFL picks is that the Titans (-10.5) cover the spread against the Texans with points to spare. Tennessee showed last week that it can still be a force without star running back Derrick Henry, while Houston hasn’t won since Week 1.

In their second outing without Henry, the Titans managed to win despite only rushing for 66 yards. SportsLine’s model projects them to have a better time on the ground this time around, with D’Onta Foreman and Adrian Peterson combining for over 121 yards. Simulations from SportsLine’s model have the Titans winning and covering the double-digit spread well over 60 percent of the time.

Another one of its Week 11 NFL predictions: The Steelers (+6) cover against the Chargers. Pittsburgh is coming off a tie against the winless Lions, but could get Ben Roethlisberger back after the quarterback missed last week’s game following a positive COVID-19 test.

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The Chargers have cooled off after a hot start, having lost three of four games. SportsLine’s model projects Roethlisberger and running back Najee Harris to have workmanlike performances against a stout Chargers defense, while the Steelers’ defense locking it up. While SportsLine’s model projects the Chargers to win straight-up, it has Pittsburgh covering the five-point spread in almost 60 percent of simulations. The point total sits at 47, and the model has that going under in well over 50 percent of simulations.

How to make Week 11 NFL picks

The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other game on the Week 11 NFL schedule, and it’s calling for a Super Bowl contender to go down hard. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.

So which NFL picks can you make with confidence, and which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Check out the latest NFL odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned almost $7,500 since its inception, and find out.

Week 11 NFL odds, spreads, lines

Sunday, Nov. 21

Lions at Browns (-11.5, 43.5)

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Featured Game | Cleveland Browns vs. Detroit Lions

49ers at Jaguars (+6, 45)

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Featured Game | Jacksonville Jaguars vs. San Francisco 49ers

Colts at Bills (-7, 50)

Featured Game | Buffalo Bills vs. Indianapolis Colts

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Dolphins at Jets (+3, 44.5)

Featured Game | New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins

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Washington Football Team at Panthers (-3.5, 43)

Featured Game | Carolina Panthers vs. Washington Football Team

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Ravens at Bears (+4.5, 45)

Featured Game | Chicago Bears vs. Baltimore Ravens

Saints at Eagles (-1.5, 43)

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Featured Game | Philadelphia Eagles vs. New Orleans Saints

Texans at Titans (-10.5, 44.5)

Featured Game | Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans

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Packers at Vikings (+1.5, 47.5)

Featured Game | Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers

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Bengals at Raiders (+1, 50.5)

Featured Game | Las Vegas Raiders vs. Cincinnati Bengals

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Cowboys at Chiefs (-2.5, 56)

Featured Game | Kansas City Chiefs vs. Dallas Cowboys

Steelers at Chargers (-6, 47)

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Featured Game | Los Angeles Chargers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Monday, Nov. 22

Giants at Buccaneers (-11, 49.5)

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Featured Game | Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New York Giants

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The Buccaneers Add Depth With A Familiar Face

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(Photo by Katharine Lotze/Getty Images)

 

The current Tampa Bay Buccaneers depth chart shows four players at right defensive end: William Gholston, Logan Hall, Benning Potoa’e, and Willington Previlon.

However, they only have two at left defensive end: Akiem Hicks and Patrick O’Connor.

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The team thought of adding another player to help their cause and they eventually turned to a familiar athlete.

Carl Nassib had his first tour of duty with the Buccaneers from 2018 to 2019 after being claimed off waivers from the Cleveland Browns.

Since then, he joined the Las Vegas Raiders on a three-year, $25 million contract.

He was released after two seasons which paved the way for his reunion with the Buccaneers.

The Athletic’s Greg Auman tweeted, “Bucs first got Carl Nassib as a gem of a waiver claim in 2018 from Browns — got 6.5 sacks that year, then 6.0 in Todd Bowles‘ defense in 2019. Didn’t find the same success in Las Vegas, totaling four sacks in two years, but now back to help with depth in Tampa Bay at age 29.”

The brief story showed that Nassib was often overlooked especially with Maxx Crosby‘s emergence.

Therefore, returning to the Buccaneers may help him resurrect his stalled career.

 

Lining Up The Buccaneers Defense

Nassib is one of the key additions to an already-stacked Tampa Bay defense.

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Aside from him, Hicks and Vita Vea will lead the push up front.

Meanwhile, their linebacker trio of Shaquil Barrett, Lavonte David, and Devin White could fly all over the field to shut down the opposing squad.

When defending the deep ball, defensive backs like Jamel Dean, Carlton Davis III, Logan Ryan, and Antoine Winfield Jr. should be at their best.

Add in Nassib and the Buccaneers’ defense got even more formidable.

The post The Buccaneers Add Depth With A Familiar Face appeared first on The Cold Wire.

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Sandy Alcantara Is On Pace To Shatter Marlins History

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(Photo by Mitchell Leff/Getty Images)

 

The Miami Marlins don’t have much of a chance to accomplish anything this year, but their staff ace Sandy Alcantara does.

The National League Cy Young favorite continued his run of dominance last night, tossing seven scoreless innings against the San Diego Padres and earning his 11th win of the season.

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Alcantara also struck out seven batters and allowed just four hits while only walking two batters and lowering his ERA on the season to 1.92.

In fact, last night marked the eighth time Alcantara has tossed at least seven scoreless innings in a game this year, which ties him with the late Jose Fernandez.

Only Dontrelle Willis has pitched more games where he went seven innings and allowed no runs in Marlins history.

He had nine of those back in 2005.

 

Alcantara’s Dominance

Alcantara is quickly becoming one of the best pitchers in all of baseball.

He might already be there.

With each start, he dominates his opponents and proves why the St. Louis Cardinals made a terrible mistake when they traded him away back in 2017.

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Only Justin Verlander has a better ERA than Alcantara, who is the clear-cut favorite to take home the National League Cy Young Award.

He has dominated in almost every start, and he did it at an important time last night, as he shut down the juggernaut offense of the Padres, who just recently acquired Juan Soto and Josh Bell.

While the Marlins aren’t going to go anywhere, Alcantara has a very good chance to achieve something special.

He matched a Marlins great and is now one dominant start away from matching yet another one.

We’ll see if he can keep up this run of success.

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The post Sandy Alcantara Is On Pace To Shatter Marlins History appeared first on The Cold Wire.





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WNBA Power Rankings: Aces, Sky title favorites as playoffs begin; Mystics lurking as darkhorse

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After a thrilling close to the regular season, it’s time to turn our attention to the 2022 WNBA playoffs, which will tip-off Wednesday night with two first-round Game 1s. In the first game of the night, the Chicago Sky will host the New York Liberty, and in the finale the Las Vegas Aces will take on the Phoenix Mercury. 

The Aces (+165) and Sky (+200) are the top two seeds and the top two title favorites entering the postseason, per Caesars Sportsbook.

The league has once again revamped the playoff format, eliminating the first-and-second-round byes in favor of a standard bracket. Play will begin with a best-of-three first round series, followed by best-of-five series in the semifinals and Finals. One interesting twist, though, is that in the first round, Games 1 and 2 will be hosted by the higher seed, while the lower seed will get to host a deciding Game 3, if necessary. The semis and Finals will be a standard 2-2-1 arrangement. 

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As we wait for the action to begin, here’s a look at how each team fares in our pre-playoffs power rankings. 

1. Las Vegas Aces — No. 1 overall seed

Sunday’s comeback win over the Storm to secure the No. 1 seed capped off a tremendous close to the season for the Aces. They won four straight, including a win over the Sky and two over the Storm. Their reward was a first-round matchup against a depleted Mercury team that should be little challenge, and home-court advantage throughout the playoffs. During their mid-season slump there was concern that the Aces had peaked too early, but they’re back on track and the title favorite. 

2. Chicago Sky — No. 2 overall seed

A mini skid during the final week cost the Sky the No. 1 seed and home-court advantage for the entire playoffs. They won the title as a No. 6 seed last season, though, so they won’t be too concerned about their position. What is worrying, is they haven’t been playing their best basketball down the stretch. They went 3-3 in August after losing just four games in June and July combined, and have not been great defensively. Still, we know this team can flip the switch and they have championship experience, cohesion and the ability to be elite on both sides of the ball. 

3. Connecticut Sun — No. 3 overall seed

On the one hand, Sun had an easy schedule post-All-Star break, and cleaned up by going 11-3 down the stretch to secure the No. 3 seed and best net-rating in the league at plus-9.5 points per 100 possessions. On the other, they were 10-0 against bottom-seven opponents and 1-3 against top-four opponents, picking up just a solitary win over the Storm. The Sun are a definite contender, but their 1-6 record against the Aces and Sky is of real concern, especially considering they would likely have to get through both teams to win the title. 

4. Seattle Storm — No. 4 overall seed

Even in defeat to the Aces on Sunday in the regular season finale, we saw how dangerous the Storm can be when everything is clicking. Moving Tina Charles into the starting lineup has indeed juiced their offense, and that new unit has a plus-20.9 net rating in 16 games together. In the last two playoff runs where the trio of Breanna Stewart, Jewell Loyd and Sue Bird have been healthy, the Storm are 12-2 in the postseason and won the title both times. Can they do it again? Perhaps, but they have not been one of the elite teams over the balance of the season, and do not have the same level of supporting cast as they did in 2018 and 2020. 

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5. Washington Mystics — No. 5 overall seed

Despite being the No. 5 seed, the Mystics could be a darkhorse contender. They coasted through the regular season to some extent in order to keep Elena Delle Donne healthy for the playoffs, and it’s clear they could have been a higher seed if she played a full schedule. In her 25 games they went 18-7 – a .720 winning percentage that would be right in line with the Aces and Sky over a full season – and had a plus-12.3 net rating with her on the court. In the 11 games she sat out, they were 4-7. This team could cause problems if Delle Donne can withstand the demands of a playoff schedule, but they would almost certainly have to beat three of the top-four teams in succession in order to win the title, which may be too much to ask. 

6. Dallas Wings — No. 6 overall seed

The Wings caught fire toward the end of the season and won five straight games from July 30–Aug. 8 to clinch a second consecutive playoff berth. That stretch included victories over the Aces and Sky, and they seemed to have unlocked something by giving more playing time to Teaira McCowan. They will be without All-Star guard Arike Ogunbowale for at least the first round, however, due to a hip injury, and while they’ve had some good games in her absence, her shot creation will be missed in the playoffs. During the regular season they were 2-1 against the Sun, and should be competitive, but actually winning the first-round series will be difficult. 

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7. New York Liberty — No. 7 overall seed

The Liberty enter the playoffs as one of the hottest teams in the league. They closed the season on a 6-2 run, and had the third-best net rating (plus-6.8) in the league in August. When healthy and at their best, they have the ability to play with and beat any team in the league thanks in large part to their prolific 3-point attack. However, they have not been able to reach that level on a consistent basis this season, and will be sizable underdogs against the defending champion Sky. 

8. Phoenix Mercury — No. 8 overall seed

After losing in the Finals last season, the Mercury went all in for another run at the title. Their plans fell apart over the course of the last six months, however, as Brittney Griner was detained in Russia, Tina Charles abruptly left the team mid-season and both Diana Taurasi (quad) and Skylar Diggins-Smith (personal reasons) are now sidelined. They deserve a lot of credit for even making the playoffs, but they lost five of seven games to close the season and it’s hard to imagine them being competitive against the Aces. 



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