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NFL odds, lines, picks, spreads, bets, predictions for Week 11, 2021: Model high on Titans, Steelers

Published

1 year ago

November 19, 2021

The Cardinals and Seahawks find themselves at a crossroads on the Week 11 NFL schedule. The Cardinals’ Kyler Murray is questionable again this week with an ankle injury, while his backup, Colt McCoy, is also nursing a pectoral injury. For the Seahawks, Russell Wilson made a quick return from his broken hand last Sunday, but was only 20-for-40 with 161 yards through the air. The Cardinals are 2.5-point favorites in the Week 11 NFL odds at Caesars Sportsbook. Can they cover one of the slimmest NFL spreads of the week?

When making your Week 11 NFL bets, should you take one of the smaller NFL Vegas lines or one of the schedule’s larger numbers? All of the Week 11 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine’s advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 11 NFL picks now.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,500 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 11 of the 2021 season on an incredible 128-89 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 11 NFL odds and locked in picks for every NFL matchup. Head here to see every pick.

Top Week 11 NFL predictions

One of the model’s strongest Week 11 NFL picks is that the Titans (-10.5) cover the spread against the Texans with points to spare. Tennessee showed last week that it can still be a force without star running back Derrick Henry, while Houston hasn’t won since Week 1.

In their second outing without Henry, the Titans managed to win despite only rushing for 66 yards. SportsLine’s model projects them to have a better time on the ground this time around, with D’Onta Foreman and Adrian Peterson combining for over 121 yards. Simulations from SportsLine’s model have the Titans winning and covering the double-digit spread well over 60 percent of the time.

Another one of its Week 11 NFL predictions: The Steelers (+6) cover against the Chargers. Pittsburgh is coming off a tie against the winless Lions, but could get Ben Roethlisberger back after the quarterback missed last week’s game following a positive COVID-19 test.

The Chargers have cooled off after a hot start, having lost three of four games. SportsLine’s model projects Roethlisberger and running back Najee Harris to have workmanlike performances against a stout Chargers defense, while the Steelers’ defense locking it up. While SportsLine’s model projects the Chargers to win straight-up, it has Pittsburgh covering the five-point spread in almost 60 percent of simulations. The point total sits at 47, and the model has that going under in well over 50 percent of simulations.

How to make Week 11 NFL picks

The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other game on the Week 11 NFL schedule, and it’s calling for a Super Bowl contender to go down hard. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.

So which NFL picks can you make with confidence, and which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Check out the latest NFL odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned almost $7,500 since its inception, and find out.

Week 11 NFL odds, spreads, lines

Sunday, Nov. 21

Lions at Browns (-11.5, 43.5)

Featured Game | Cleveland Browns vs. Detroit Lions

49ers at Jaguars (+6, 45)

Featured Game | Jacksonville Jaguars vs. San Francisco 49ers

Colts at Bills (-7, 50)

Featured Game | Buffalo Bills vs. Indianapolis Colts

Dolphins at Jets (+3, 44.5)

Featured Game | New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins

Washington Football Team at Panthers (-3.5, 43)

Featured Game | Carolina Panthers vs. Washington Football Team

Ravens at Bears (+4.5, 45)

Featured Game | Chicago Bears vs. Baltimore Ravens

Saints at Eagles (-1.5, 43)

Featured Game | Philadelphia Eagles vs. New Orleans Saints

Texans at Titans (-10.5, 44.5)

Featured Game | Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans

Packers at Vikings (+1.5, 47.5)

Featured Game | Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers

Bengals at Raiders (+1, 50.5)

Featured Game | Las Vegas Raiders vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Cowboys at Chiefs (-2.5, 56)

Featured Game | Kansas City Chiefs vs. Dallas Cowboys

Steelers at Chargers (-6, 47)

Featured Game | Los Angeles Chargers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Monday, Nov. 22

Giants at Buccaneers (-11, 49.5)

Featured Game | Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New York Giants

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Behind Rodney Terry's steady hand, Texas has chance to write a new narrative

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2 mins ago

March 26, 2023

nigemord@gmail.com

Texas’ recent history has been marked by underachievement. Now, the Longhorns can change all that behind interim coach Rodney Terry.

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Boeser scores go-ahead goal to help Canucks top Stars, sweep season series

Published

6 mins ago

March 26, 2023

nigemord@gmail.com

DALLAS — Brock Boeser scored the go-ahead goal in the second period and the Vancouver Canucks held the Dallas Stars scoreless on four power plays, including one late in the third period, for a 3-1 win Saturday night.

Jack Rathbone and Dakota Joshua also scored for Vancouver, which swept the three-game season series against Dallas and has won the past six meetings dating to last season. Thatcher Demko made 19 saves to help the Canucks open a three-game road trip with a victory.

Ryan Suter scored the lone goal for Dallas, which closed out a 1-1-1 homestand.

With the game tied at 1, the Canucks took control with two goals in the second period.

Boeser’s goal four minutes into the period made it 2-1. Rathbone increased the lead just 1:33 later on a straightaway shot past third-stringer Matt Murray, who was giving the Stars’ Jake Oettinger a night off. Usual backup Scott Wedgewood has been injured the past month.

It could have been worse for the Stars, who survived a power play that included a stretch of 5-on-3 toward the end of the second. The Canucks outshot the Stars 11-4 in the period.

The Stars took a 1-0 lead on Suter’s goal from the blue line despite the Canucks controlling the action for much of the first 10 minutes, including a 5-0 advantage on shots.

Vancouver tied it with a short-handed goal by Joshua with 1:30 left in the opening period. It was the 14th short-handed goal for the Canucks, the most in the NHL. Vancouver has scored 10 short-handed goals in their past 17 games.

STINGY CANUCKS

The Stars’ Miro Heiskanen set a franchise record with 20 points — four goals, 16 assists — in his previous 12 games, but was held without a point Saturday. The last team to hold him to zero points was also the Canucks on Feb. 27.

UP NEXT

Canucks: at Chicago to face the Blackhawks on Sunday.

Stars: at Chicago to take on the Blackhawks on Tuesday night.

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Maple Leafs take tough loss despite strong start against Hurricanes

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11 mins ago

March 26, 2023

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RALEIGH, N.C. — Sebastian Aho scored his team-leading 32nd goal of the season with 2:26 remaining to rescue the Carolina Hurricanes in a 5-3 win over the Toronto Maple Leafs on Saturday night.

Aho’s goal came 32 seconds after Auston Matthews’ second goal for Toronto tied the game. Teuvo Teravainen added an empty-net goal.

Brent Burns, Jordan Staal and Stefan Noesen also scored for Carolina, which won for the fourth time in its last eight games to maintain in first place in Metropolitan Division. Jesper Fast and Martin Necas both two assists.

Pyotr Kochetkov made 41 saves for his first victory in his last three outings.

Calle Jarnkrok had Toronto’s first goal. Matt Murray made 23 saves. Matthews has 36 goals this season, including eight in the last nine games.

Jarnkrok and Matthews scored eight minutes apart in the second period as Toronto erased a 2-0 deficit.

Jarnkrok notched his 18th goal, including six this month. Matthews’ unassisted tally at 12:41 of the second period gave him his 35th goal of the season.

NOTES: Matthews registered nine shots on goal in the second period and 12 total entering the third period. He finished with 15 shots, tying the franchise single-game record. … Through two periods, Carolina had no player with more than three shots. … Toronto had 33 shots through two periods, marking the most for any Carolina opponent in a full game in the last 15 games.

UP NEXT

Maple Leafs: At Nashville on Sunday.

Hurricanes: Host Boston on Sunday.