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Nevada vs. Air Force odds, line: 2021 college football picks, Week 12 predictions from proven computer model

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The Air Force Falcons (7-3, 4-2 Mountain West) travel to take on the Nevada Wolf Pack (7-3, 4-2) Friday night in an evenly-matched Mountain West clash. Both teams remain mathematically alive in their respective divisions, but they need to win out and get help. These teams not only have matching overall and conference records, they’re also both 6-3 against the spread. 

Kickoff is set for 9 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Falcons as one-point favorites in the latest Nevada vs. Air Force odds, a reversal after the Wolf Pack opened at -1.5. The over-under for total points is set at 53.5. Before locking in any Air Force vs. Nevada picks, you’ll want to see the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 12 of the 2021 season on a 36-23 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

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Now, the model has set its sights on Nevada vs. Air Force. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football odds for Air Force vs. Nevada:

  • Nevada vs. Air Force spread: Air Force -1
  • Nevada vs. Air Force over-under: 53.5 points

Featured Game | Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Air Force Falcons

What you need to know about Nevada

Nevada has a chance to extend its nine-game home winning streak on Friday night. The Wolf Pack will also be looking to bounce back from a 23-21 road loss at San Diego State last week. They are led by one of the top quarterback prospects in the 2022 NFL Draft class in Carson Strong.

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He has completed 70.5 percent of his passes and has thrown 28 touchdown passes. Strong captains an offense that leads the Mountain West with 35 points per game. He threw for 350 yards and three touchdowns against a San Diego State defense that ranks inside the top-10 nationally in total defense. Nevada has covered the spread in four of its last five games.

What you need to know about Air Force

The Falcons are known for their triple-option attack, but they surprised Colorado State with a 92-yard touchdown pass in their last outing. Thanks mostly to that big play, quarterback Haaziq Daniels finished the day with 121 yards of passing and two passing touchdowns as he also found Dane Kinamon on a 20-yard strike. 

Air Force leads the nation with 311.2 rushing yards per game. Six players have at least 200 yards on the ground with running back Brad Roberts leading the way with 1,064 yards and 10 scores, while Daniels has 646 yards and nine scores on the ground. The Falcons also lead the Mountain West in total defense, giving up just 288.1 yards per game. 

How to make Nevada vs. Air Force picks

The model is leaning under on the total, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Air Force vs. Nevada? And which side of the spread hits over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks

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White Sox’s Tony La Russa issues another intentional walk on two-strike count in loss vs. Guardians

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Chicago White Sox manager Tony La Russa made one of the weirdest strategic decisions of the season in June, when he issued an intentional walk to a batter who his pitcher had already staked out a 1-2 count against. The call backfired, as the next batter unloaded a home run that put the White Sox in a hole from which they could not recover. La Russa defended his decision afterward, and on Friday night he doubled-down, in a sense, by doing the same thing against the Cleveland Guardians as part of a 5-2 loss (box score).

Here’s how it went down:

The White Sox led the Guardians 2-1 entering the seventh inning. Cleveland would subsequently score a pair of runs with two outs in the frame to take a 3-2 lead before La Russa inserted left-handed reliever Jake Diekman. Diekman would then walk two consecutive batters before giving up a single to Andrés Giménez to plate two more runs, making it 5-2 with runners on first and second. At that point, the Guardians rookie outfielder Oscar Gonzalez had a chance to blow the game open.

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Diekman would get ahead of Gonzalez 1-2 before the Guardians’ baserunners succeeded on a double-steal attempt. With first base open and two outs, La Russa called for the intentional walk. It should be noted that Gonzalez, though right-handed, has performed worse against lefty pitchers this season, and that he’s struck out in nearly 40 percent of the plate appearances that have reached two strikes.

Nevertheless, La Russa evidently wanted to force Cleveland manager Terry Francona’s hand with the next spot in the order. Lefty-swinging rookie Nolan Jones was due up, but Francona subbed him out for righty Owen Miller. La Russa then strolled to the mound to replace Diekman with right-hander Jimmy Lambert, who subsequently induced an inning-ending flyout on the second pitch of the at-bat.

The results will spare La Russa from the intensity of criticism that he received in June, but that doesn’t make it a sound process. We know from various studies conducted by smart analysts that microsplits, including those of the platoon and count variety, require regression toward the mean to have any actual predictive value. Maybe La Russa had those numbers on hand from the White Sox’s analytical department, but we’re going to guess that he made his call based on Gonzalez’s two-strike average (.265) and Miller’s average against righties (.262 this year or .242 career). 

After all, if intentionally walking batters who are stuck in two-strike counts was a sound tactical decision based on the numbers, the odds are that the Los Angeles Dodgers or … well, the Guardians would be the ones doing it; not La Russa. 

It may have not factored into the final score on Friday, but the White Sox can’t be thrilled that their manager seems committed to making the same mistake twice.

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Sonya Deville & Natalya face Toxic Attraction in WWE's Tag Team Title Tournament | WWE on FOX

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Natalya and Sonya Deville took on former NXT Women’s Tag Team Champions Gigi Dolin and Jacy Jayne from Toxic Attraction on Friday Night SmackDown.



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Elks dominate second half, snap three-game skid with win over Redblacks 

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OTTAWA — Taylor Cornelius threw two touchdown passes and the Edmonton Elks scored 21 unanswered points in the second half of a 30-12 win over the Ottawa Redblacks on Friday.

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Cornelius completed 16-of-27 passes for 208 yards, including a four-yard touchdown pass to Derel Walker with 6:34 left in the fourth quarter. The win halted a three-game losing streak for the Elks (3-7).

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Caleb Evans threw for 111 yards and rushed for another 82, including a 21-yard touchdown run, but the Redblacks (1-8) lost for the 19th time in their last 20 games.

One of the few bright spots for the Redblacks was a 50-yard reception by Darvin Adams, who played in his 100th CFL game.

An 18-yard touchdown pass from Cornelius to Kenny Lawler at 11:03 in the third quarter gave the Elks their first lead of the game at 16-12.

Just under eight minutes later, Ante Milanovic-Litre scored on a two-yard run to boost the Elks’ lead to 23-12 following a Sergio Castillo extra point.

The Redblacks entered the third quarter up 12-9 after a less than spectacular first half that began with Ottawa’s PA announcer introducing Edmonton as the Eskimos.

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Lewis Ward made a 46-yard field goal near the midway mark of the first quarter, but a roughing the kicker penalty on Edmonton defensive lineman Jake Ceresna gave the Redblacks a fresh set of downs. A minute later, Ottawa took advantage as Evans ran in for a 21-yard score at the 7:43 mark.

The Elks answered back before the end of the quarter on a 52-yard field goal by Castillo.

In the second quarter, Ward left six points on the board with back-to-back missed field goals from 40 and 47 yards that led to a pair of rouge points. Ward connected from 13 yards out with 4:45 left to give the Redblacks a 12-3 lead.

Late in the first half, the Elks had the ball at the Redblacks one-yard line following a defensive pass interference call.

Quarterback Kai Locksley entered the game for the short-yardage situation but was stopped twice on sneak attempts. Locksley scored on his third attempt on a sweep right play, but Castillo hit the upright on the point after attempt to make it 12-9.

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