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Most Valuable Player: Does Guerrero Jr. stand a chance against Ohtani?

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The youth movement in baseball is real, and if you need evidence look no further than this year’s MVP race.

Half of the six finalists finished this season as 22-year-olds, proving that experience isn’t everything. The other half includes a two-way standout, a former MVP and a position-switching, power-hitting middle infielder.

Learn about what stands out from each MVP candidate right here:

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AL MVP candidates

Shohei Ohtani — Los Angeles Angels

155 G | .257 BA | 46 HR | 100 RBI | 158 OPS+ | 5.1 fWAR

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23 GS | 130.1 IP | 3.18 ERA | 156 K | 141 ERA+ | 3.0 fWAR

As a hitter alone, Ohtani’s production might have been enough to put him in the MVP conversation. But of course, he’s much more than merely a hitter.

This season, Ohtani turned in a two-way, Babe-Ruthian performance unlike anything seen by this generation or the last. That resulted in him accruing the highest WAR by both Baseball-Reference and FanGraphs’ measurements.

He’s in select company as a hitter, one of seven with 400-plus plate appearances and a 150 OPS+ or better, and as a pitcher, one of 17 with 100-plus innings and a 140 ERA+ or better. As you might suspect, he’s the only player who accomplished both.

The 27-year-old finished just two home runs off the MLB lead, while also striking out 10.8 hitters per nine innings. Nobody is supposed to be able to do that.

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Vladimir Guerrero Jr.Toronto Blue Jays

161 G | .311 BA | 48 HR | 111 RBI | 169 OPS+ | 6.7 fWAR

It feels unfair to cast Guerrero Jr.’s first two MLB seasons as disappointments — despite the grandiose expectations — given how young he was and the fact he still produced an above-average OPS rate (109 OPS+ over 183 total games). But whew, the 22-year-old’s breakout campaign this year was quite a sight to see.

Guerrero, a former consensus top prospect in baseball, fit the billing by tying for the league-lead in home runs, leading the majors in total bases (363) and winning the Hank Aaron Award as the AL’s top hitter.

Win or lose, Guerrero is already an MVP recipient: He became the youngest All-Star Game MVP at this year’s midsummer event in Colorado.

Marcus Semien — Toronto Blue Jays

162 G | .265 BA | 45 HR | 69 RBI | 133 OPS+ | 6.6 fWAR

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Semien earned every penny — and a lot more — of his one-year, $18 million deal with the Blue Jays this season. He played in each game, won his first Silver Slugger Award and appeared in his first All-Star Game. He also posted new career highs in homers, RBIs, steals (15) and slugging percentage (.538).

Oh, and let’s not forget that he became a primary second baseman for the first time in his career, winning his first Gold Glove Award in the process. No matter how high Toronto’s expectations were for the nine-year veteran, he undoubtedly exceeded them.

Good timing by Semien to show out right before walking to free agency. In a star-studded class of middle infielders, his name is among those shining the most.

Ben Nicholson-Smith is Sportsnet’s baseball editor. Arden Zwelling is a senior writer. Together, they bring you the most in-depth Blue Jays podcast in the league, covering off all the latest news with opinion and analysis, as well as interviews with other insiders and team members.

NL MVP candidates

Bryce Harper — Philadelphia Phillies

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141 G | .309 BA | 35 HR | 84 RBI | 179 OPS+ | 6.6 fWAR

The now-two-time Hank Aaron Award winner is seeking his second MVP, after winning his first in 2015 with the Nationals. Back then, Harper was an arbitration-aged up-and-comer; now, his $330 million price tag over 13 years is the largest free-agent pact in league history.

With great direct deposits come great expectations. Considering Harper was booed by his own fans just a month into his first season in Philadelphia, it’d go a long way with the notoriously ornery fanbase for him to earn MVP honours now.

MLB’s leader in doubles (42), slugging percentage (.615) and OPS+ made sure to leave a strong impression in the stretch run, posting a 1.194 OPS from August onward.

Juan Soto — Washington Nationals

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151 G | .313 BA | 29 HR | 95 RBI | 175 OPS+ | 6.6 fWAR

Soto is a hitter beyond his years in many ways, including his level of patience that’s unrivalled by his peers. Soto was in the 100th percentile of chase rate this season, as tracked by Baseball Savant, which translated to MLB-highs in walks (145) and on-base percentage (.465).

That’s a lot of Soto Shuffling.

As disciplined and efficient as Soto was all season, he really ratcheted it up in the second half. After the all-star break, the outfielder reached safely in more than half of his plate appearances (.525 OBP). He also walked 87 times, a sum that only five other hitters cleared all season.

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Fernando Tatis Jr. — San Diego Padres

130 G | .282 BA | 42 HR | 97 RBI | 166 OPS+ | 6.1 fWAR

A shoulder injury cost Tatis 32 games, leaving baseball fans and pundits to wonder how high his NL-best home run total could’ve climbed. Still, in the at-bats he had, Tatis was the typical bat-flipping, highlight-reel-filling phenom we’ve grown accustomed to in three seasons.

His handiwork in the field was less spectacular: No shortstop with 60-plus starts had a lower fielding percentage (.940), and only Bo Bichette committed more errors (24 versus Tatis’s 21).

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As a result, Tatis was asked to experiment in the outfield for the first time as a pro, making 23 appearances between center and right. Still, to lead the league in home runs, at age 22, while balancing the learning curve of a new position and the recovery from an injury is downright impressive.





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Analyst Names 1 Key Player In Raptors’ Pursuit Of Damian Lillard

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(Photo by Steph Chambers/Getty Images)

 

The Portland Trail Blazers continue to look for the best trade offer they can get for Damian Lillard, and with multiple teams jumping on board, it seems like the Miami Heat are no longer a lock to get him.

The latest reports show that the Toronto Raptors are heavily involved and interested in getting him to Canada, regardless of Lillard’s desire to play in South Florida’s warm weather.

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With that in mind, NBA insider Danny Marang reports that Masai Ujiri and the Raptors won’t even consider trading former Rookie of the Year Scottie Barnes to get Lillard (via Dru).

Instead, it’ll all depend on whether they’re willing to include O.G. Anunoby in the transaction, even if the Blazers don’t want to keep him and look to move him to another team instead.

Truth be told, it’s hard to think that Lillard would want to play for the Raptors.

The reason he wants to leave Portland is because they don’t have a championship-caliber team, and things wouldn’t be that much different up north.

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Pascal Siakam is entering the final year of his contract and seems unlikely to extend his stay in Canada, and Barnes regressed vastly last season.

They lost some depth and could be even more undermanned if they also part ways with Anunoby, who’s obviously going to be instrumental in getting Lillard in the first place.

At the end of the day, though, Lillard doesn’t have a say in where he’s traded to, and the Blazers will only take the best offer, regardless of how he feels.

The post Analyst Names 1 Key Player In Raptors’ Pursuit Of Damian Lillard appeared first on The Cold Wire.





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Steve Kerr Says He’s ‘Excited’ About 1 Warriors Player

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The Golden State Warriors have had to give up on almost every single one of their youngsters.

They parted ways with James Wiseman and recently traded Jordan Poole.

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Still, they held onto Jonathan Kuminga, who has shown flashes of outstanding two-way play but has struggled to find consistent playing time, especially last season.

That might not be the case next year, as coach Steve Kerr recently raved about him, stating that he’s had a very positive summer and that all the coaches have given him rave reviews throughout the course of the offseason (Via 95.7 The Game).

Kuminga is an elite athlete and his defensive potential is through the roof.

He’s strong, physical, and can finish through contact, and while his shot is a work in progress, he has shown the ability to consistently knock down shots from mid range.

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Some analysts believe he’s in for a breakout season, granted that he’s likely to have Chris Paul running the second unit.

Paul has always been wonderful for young players on the verge of a breakout, and he’ll give him the ball in the spots he needs them to be more efficient.

Kuminga has reportedly been frustrated with his lack of playing time and there were even some rumors of a potential desire to be traded.

Also, there were reports of him not seeing eye-to-eye with Draymond Green.

But he’s still quite young, and while the Warriors don’t usually favor young players or player development, this might finally be his year.

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The post Steve Kerr Says He’s ‘Excited’ About 1 Warriors Player appeared first on The Cold Wire.





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Analyst Says Joel Embiid Should Focus On 1 Team Ahead Of 2024 Olympics

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Philadelphia 76ers star Joel Embiid has a little less than two weeks to make up his mind about playing for France in the upcoming Olympics.

The French set an October 10th deadline for the star big man, who could also choose to play for Cameroon or the United States.

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However, NBA analyst Justin Termine believes Embiid shouldn’t even consider playing for any of those teams next summer, and he should focus solely on the Philadelphia 76ers instead (via SiriusXM NBA Radio).

Termine explained that Embiid isn’t going to be able to hold up for an entire season after playing in the Olympics, saying that he’s got the body of a 33-year-old player despite being 29 years old, and pointing out the fact that he’s never played 70 games in a season.

He stated that the Sixers organization, Daryl Morey, and everybody around him should be quite emphatic about this, urging him to stay focused on his NBA career.

Termine also pointed out that Embiid is often worn out and far from his best come playoff time, which is also a fact.

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Truth be told, Embiid would be a prime addition to every team’s roster, even if the French team might not need him as much as Cameroon or Team USA.

The reigning MVP could be replaced by Rudy Gobert or Victor Wembanyama, but there’s simply no way to fill in for him in Philadelphia.

Everybody wants to play in the Olympics, but Embiid’s injury history and proneness could force him to make an uncomfortable decision.

The post Analyst Says Joel Embiid Should Focus On 1 Team Ahead Of 2024 Olympics appeared first on The Cold Wire.





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