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Michigan vs. Penn State odds, line: 2021 college football picks, Week 11 predictions from model on 31-20 run

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The sixth-ranked Michigan Wolverines look to snap a two-game losing streak to the Penn State Nittany Lions when they meet in a key Big Ten Conference East Division matchup. The Wolverines (8-1, 5-1), who are 2-1 on the road, have dropped three of the past four games against Penn State and five of their past six meetings at Beaver Stadium. The Nittany Lions (6-3, 3-3), who have dropped three of four overall, have fallen to fourth in the division, three games behind first-place Ohio State. Penn State won last year’s meeting in Ann Arbor, Mich., 27-17.

The game from University Park, Pa., is slated to start at noon ET. Michigan is averaging 451.4 yards of offense per game this season, 25th-best in the nation, while Penn State averages 375.1, 92nd-best. The Wolverines are favored by 1.5 points in the latest Michigan vs. Penn State odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 48.5. Before making any Penn State vs. Michigan picks, you need to check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 11 of the 2021 season on a 31-20 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

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Now, the model has set its sights on Michigan vs. Penn State and just locked in its Week 11 CFB picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are the college football odds and betting lines and trends for Penn State vs. Michigan:

  • Michigan vs. Penn State spread: Michigan -1.5 
  • Michigan vs. Penn State over-under: 48.5 points 
  • Michigan vs. Penn State money line: Michigan -125, Penn State +105 
  • MICH: The Wolverines are 7-2 against the spread this season 
  • PSU: The Nittany Lions have won three of the last four meetings vs. Michigan

Featured Game | Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Michigan Wolverines

Why Michigan can cover

Junior wide receiver Cornelius Johnson is having a solid season and leads the Wolverines in receiving. Johnson has 27 receptions for 449 yards (16.6 average) and three touchdowns. Last week against Indiana, he caught five passes for 108 yards (21.6 average), including a 50-yarder. A week earlier in a loss at Michigan State, Johnson caught five passes for 29 yards. His most efficient game was Oct. 2 at Wisconsin when he caught two balls for 47 yards for two TDs, including a 34-yarder.

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Defensively, senior linebacker Josh Ross has been a difference-maker. He leads the Wolverines with 61 tackles, including 29 solo, with a half-sack for four yards. Ross also has a pair of pass breakups. In his five-year career, he has registered 191 tackles, including 96 solo, with four pass breakups, 2 ½ sacks and one interception. He has two double-digit tackle games this season, including a 10-tackle effort at Michigan State on Oct. 30. Last week against Indiana, he made seven stops, including two solo.

Why Penn State can cover 

Despite that, the Wolverines are not a lock to cover the Michigan vs. Penn State spread. That’s because the Nittany Lions have a veteran quarterback in senior Sean Clifford. Clifford has completed 199 of 311 passes (64 percent) for 2,371 yards and 16 touchdowns. He has been intercepted six times and has a rating of 141.1. Clifford has also rushed for a pair of touchdowns. He has thrown for more than 350 yards in each of the past two games, including a 27-for-47 performance for 363 yards and three touchdowns at Maryland last week.

Clifford’s top target is senior wide receiver Jahan Dotson, who continues to put up impressive numbers. Last Saturday, Dotson had a career-tying 11 receptions for 242 yards and three touchdowns. Dotson’s 242 yards are a single-game school record, and his 86-yard touchdown is tied for the fourth-longest pass play in Penn State history. Dotson is the only Power Five receiver, and one of two FBS receivers, with 240 yards and three touchdowns in a game this season. 

How to make Penn State vs. Michigan picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 49 points. It has also generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in well over 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the model’s pick at SportsLine

So who wins Michigan vs. Penn State? And which side of the spread cashes in well over 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Michigan vs. Penn State spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that finished the past five-plus years up nearly $3,500 on its FBS college football picks, and find out.

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Watch Memphis vs. North Texas: How to live stream, TV channel, start time for Saturday’s NCAA Football game

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Who’s Playing

North Texas @ Memphis

Current Records: North Texas 2-2; Memphis 2-1

What to Know

The Memphis Tigers’ homestand continues as they prepare to take on the North Texas Mean Green at 3:30 p.m. ET Sept. 24 at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium. The defensive coordinators will surely put in extra hours ahead of this game since these teams’ offenses combined for 1,021 yards last week.

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The Tigers were able to grind out a solid win over the Arkansas State Red Wolves last week, winning 44-32. Memphis’ QB Seth Henigan was on fire, passing for three TDs and 360 yards on 28 attempts in addition to punching in one rushing touchdown. Henigan’s 51-yard touchdown toss to WR Joseph Scates in the fourth quarter made for one of the most memorable moments of the night.

Meanwhile, North Texas’ and the UNLV Rebels’ contest last week was up for grabs at halftime, but the Mean Green were thoroughly outmatched 35-7 in the second half. North Texas found themselves the reluctant recipients of an unfortunate 58-27 punch to the gut against UNLV. RB Oscar Adaway III put forth a good effort for the losing side as he snatched one receiving TD.

Memphis is the favorite in this one, with an expected 12.5-point margin of victory. True fans might be the only ones betting on them, currently 0-2 ATS, to cover the spread.

The Tigers are now 2-1 while the Mean Green sit at 2-2. Two offensive numbers to keep in mind before kickoff: Memphis comes into the matchup boasting the 18th most passing yards per game in the nation at 313.3. North Texas has displayed some offensive firepower of their own as they enter the contest with nine passing touchdowns, good for 17th best in the nation.

How To Watch

  • When: Saturday at 3:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium — Memphis, Tennessee
  • TV: ESPN Plus
  • Online streaming: fuboTV (Try for free. Regional restrictions may apply.)
  • Follow: CBS Sports App
  • Ticket Cost: $15.00

Odds

The Tigers are a big 12.5-point favorite against the Mean Green, according to the latest college football odds.

The oddsmakers were right in line with the betting community on this one, as the game opened as a 12.5-point spread, and stayed right there.

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Over/Under: -112

See college football picks for every single game, including this one, from SportsLine’s advanced computer model. Get picks now.

Series History

This is the first time these teams have played each other within the last seven years.

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Cincinnati vs. Indiana: How to watch live stream, TV channel, NCAA Football start time

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Who’s Playing

Indiana @ Cincinnati

Current Records: Indiana 3-0; Cincinnati 2-1

What to Know

The Indiana Hoosiers have enjoyed the comforts of home their last three games, but now they must head out on the road. They will square off against the Cincinnati Bearcats at 3:30 p.m. ET Saturday at Nippert Stadium. With a combined 945 yards of offense in their previous games, we can expect a fast-paced matchup.

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It may have taken overtime to finish the job, but the Hoosiers ultimately got the result they were hoping for last week with a 33-30 victory over the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers. IU’s success was spearheaded by the efforts of QB Connor Bazelak, who passed for two TDs and 364 yards on 55 attempts, and RB Josh Henderson, who punched in one rushing touchdown.

Special teams collected 13 points for IU. K Charles Campbell booted in four field goals, the longest a 50-yarder in overtime, which ultimately accounted for the difference in the game.

Meanwhile, Cincinnati ran circles around the Miami (OH) RedHawks last week, and the extra yardage (473 yards vs. 182 yards) paid off. Cincinnati put the hurt on Miami (OH) with a sharp 38-17 win. The Bearcats can attribute much of their success to RB Charles McClelland, who rushed for two TDs and 101 yards on 19 carries.

The Hoosiers have to know they’ll be fighting an uphill battle given the 16.5-point spread they are up against. Against the spread, they have been house darlings this year with a chancy 0-2 ATS record.

The wins brought IU up to 3-0 and Cincinnati to 2-1. A pair of defensive stats to keep in the back of your head while watching: IU ranks 11th in the nation when it comes to rushing touchdowns allowed, with only one on the season. As for Cincinnati, they enter the contest with only 150 passing yards allowed per game on average, good for 12th best in the nation.

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How To Watch

  • When: Saturday at 3:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: Nippert Stadium — Cincinnati, Ohio
  • TV: ESPN2
  • Online streaming: fuboTV (Try for free. Regional restrictions may apply.)
  • Follow: CBS Sports App
  • Ticket Cost: $35.69

Odds

The Bearcats are a big 16.5-point favorite against the Hoosiers, according to the latest college football odds.

The line has drifted a bit towards the Bearcats, as the game opened with the Bearcats as a 14-point favorite.

Over/Under: -110

See college football picks for every single game, including this one, from SportsLine’s advanced computer model. Get picks now.

Series History

Cincinnati won the only game these two teams have played in the last eight years.

  • Sep 18, 2021 – Cincinnati 38 vs. Indiana 24



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Florida vs. Tennessee: Live stream, watch online, TV channel, kickoff time, football game odds, spread, line

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Even though Florida has defeated Tennessee in 16 of the last 17 games they have played, the Gators’ recent domination won’t matter much Saturday. When No. 20 Florida travels to face the No. 11 Volunteers in the SEC on CBS Game of the Week on Saturday it will be the first time in series history the Gators will be double-digit underdogs to Tennessee. The Vols are off to a 3-0 start in Year 2 under coach Josh Heupel, but if it wants to keep the momentum rolling, it will have to exorcise the demons of seasons past and take care of a Florida team that has already seen its share of ups and downs.

The Gators began the season with a bang by knocking off then-No. 7 Utah 29-26 in first-year coach Billy Napier’s debut. But after rising to No. 12 in the wake of that win, Florida lost 26-16 at home to No. 8 Kentucky the following week before squeaking out a 31-28 win over South Florida in Week 3.

Which version of Florida will show up at a sold-out Neyland Stadium in Knoxville, Tennessee, is a mystery, and the legitimacy of the Volunteers is a fair question as well. Wins over MAC foes Ball State and Akron revealed little about their fortitude, and an overtime win at Pittsburgh came as the Panthers dealt with injuries to their top two quarterbacks. This meeting once helped decide the winner of the SEC East on an annual basis. No. 1 Georgia is the unquestioned favorite in the division now, but this meeting nonetheless shapes up as a fascinating top-20 battle between long-time rivals.

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How to watch Florida vs. Tennessee live

Date: Saturday, September 24 | Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
Location: Neyland Stadium — Knoxville, Tennessee
TV: CBS | Live stream: CBSSports.comCBS Sports App (Free)

Florida vs. Tennessee: Need to know

Anthony Richardson’s performance: Which version of Florida shows up depends in large part on which version of Anthony Richardson shows up. Florida’s redshirt sophomore quarterback is 24 of 53 for 255 yards with four interceptions and no touchdown passes in the last two games. In the Utah victory, though, he put the Gators on his back by repeatedly delivering in clutch moments on the ground and through the air. If Richardson is near his best, Florida’s improve dramatically.

Tennessee’s defense: After finishing 99th nationally last season in total defense, the Volunteers appear to be improved this season. They rank 51st nationally in total defense at the moment, but that could be a mirage. While holding Pitt to 415 yards in an overtime win during Week 2 appeared to mark progress, the Panthers lost starting quarterback Kedon Slovis to injury just before halftime, and backup Nick Patti played through an injury in the second half. A strong showing here would go a long way toward legitimizing the signs of progress seen for the Vols defensively.

Checker Neyland: Tennessee is encouraging its fans to “Checker Neyland” for the game, assigning fans to wear either orange or white based on their section. While the pattern created in the stadium makes for an impressive visual, Tennessee’s history when Neyland is checkered is well … checkered. The team’s Checker Neyland game last season was an infamous loss to Ole Miss when play was paused after fans threw items onto the field. Tennessee is 1-1 against Florida in Checker Neyland games but just 1-4 overall since the tradition started in 2014.

Florida vs. Tennessee prediction, picks

Featured Game | Tennessee Volunteers vs. Florida Gators

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Florida has won 16 of the last 17 games in this series, and the Volunteers have only won this game by more than 10 points once in the past 30 years. History aside, Tennessee’s status as a double-digit favorite seems to overvalue its win against a hobbled Pitt team and undervalue Florida’s win over Utah. The Gators have looked bad the last two weeks, but there is enough talent on the roster — as shown in that win over the Utes — for them to keep things close against a Tennessee program that is earlier in its rebuild than a No. 11 ranking might suggest. Prediction: Florida +10.5

Which college football picks can you make with confidence in Week 4, and which Top 25 favorite will go down hard? Visit SportsLine to see which teams will win and cover the spread — all from a proven computer model that has returned more than $3,300 in profit over the past six-plus seasons — and find out.

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