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Knicks vs. Warriors prediction, odds, line, spread: 2022 NBA picks, Feb. 10 best bets from model on 65-36 run

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Chase Center hosts a cross-conference matchup on Thursday evening. The Golden State Warriors (41-14) welcome the New York Knicks, with Golden State entering on the second night of a back-to-back after losing to the Jazz on Wednesday. New York lists Quentin Grimes (knee), Nerlens Noel (knee), and Mitchell Robinson (calf) as questionable, with R.J. Barrett (ankle) as doubtful and Derrick Rose (ankle) as out. The Knicks are 24-31 overall this season, including a road record of 11-16. Draymond Green (back) and James Wiseman (knee) remain out for Golden State.

Tipoff is at 10 p.m. ET in San Francisco. Caesars Sportsbook lists Golden State as the 10-point home favorite, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 218 in the latest Knicks vs. Warriors odds. Before making any Warriors vs. Knicks picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 17 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 65-36 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning almost $2,400. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

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Now, the model has set its sights on Warriors vs. Knicks, and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Knicks vs. Warriors:

  • Knicks vs. Warriors spread: Warriors -10
  • Knicks vs. Warriors over-under: 218 points
  • Knicks vs. Warriors money line: Warriors -550, Knicks +400
  • NYK: The Knicks are 12-15 against the spread in road games
  • GSW: The Warriors are 5-4 against the spread with no rest

Featured Game | Golden State Warriors vs. New York Knicks

Why the Knicks can cover

New York has the rest advantage in this game, with the Warriors on the second night of a back-to-back. Golden State is also No. 29 in the NBA in ball security, committing well over 15 turnovers per game. New York is holding opponents to 105.9 points per game, No. 8 in the NBA, and the Knicks are in the top eight of the league in field-goal percentage allowed (44.3 percent), 2-point percentage allowed (51.8 percent) and points in the paint allowed (42.3 per game). 

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On the other end, the Knicks secure 29.0 percent of available rebounds on the offensive glass, ranking in the top eight of the NBA. Those offensive rebounds lead to 14.6 second-chance points per game, a top-five mark, and New York makes 13.0 3-pointers per contest. The Knicks are also soundly above-average in free-throw creation (22.2 attempts per game and ball security (13.6 turnovers per game).

Why the Warriors can cover

The Warriors are very good on offense, scoring more than 1.1 points per possession and leading the NBA in 3-pointers and assist percentage. However, Golden State is even better on the defensive side, and this is a friendly matchup against New York. The Warriors lead the NBA in defensive rating, giving up fewer than 1.04 points per possession, and Golden State sits atop the league in field-goal percentage allowed and 3-point percentage allowed. 

The Warriors are in the top seven of the NBA in 2-point shooting allowed, assists allowed, defensive rebound rate, turnover creation rate and steals per game, with an above-average mark in blocked shots per game. New York is below-average on offense, including the No. 27 mark in field-goal percentage. The Knicks are also in the bottom tier of the NBA in 2-point accuracy, free-throw accuracy and assists per game on the offensive side.

How to make Knicks vs. Warriors picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting 209 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits almost 70 percent of the time. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Warriors vs. Knicks? And which side of the spread hits almost 70 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.  

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Playoff Takeaways: Stars steal momentum with back-to-back wins over Golden Knights

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It is easy to say – because it’s logical to project – that there’s no way the Dallas Stars are actually going to win four straight games to save their season against the Vegas Golden Knights.

This conclusion isn’t because the Stars aren’t an excellent team. They are. But so are the Knights.

It’s more math than emotion: only four teams in National Hockey League history have rallied from a 0-3 deficit to win a playoff series, and it has never happened in a conference final, where teams that win the first three games are 46-0 in advancing to the Stanley Cup Final.

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The Golden Knights, a 51-win team that had 111 points in the regular season, aren’t going to lose four straight playoff games after losing only three times in the first month of the Stanley Cup tournament.

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This Stars’ comeback almost certainly is not happening despite Dallas’ impressive 4-2 road win Saturday in Las Vegas.

But the fantastic thing about sports is that you actually have to play the games. 

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And ask yourself this: Can the Dallas Stars win two consecutive games? Because that’s all they have to do now after halting the Knights and stealing momentum by winning Games 4 and 5 in the Western Conference Final.

The Stars no longer have to climb Mt. Everest. They just have to get up the Eiger.

Game 6 is Monday in Dallas. And the Stars will have captain and key forward Jamie Benn back after a two-game suspension.

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So check your climbing harness and make sure you’re roped in. This could get wild.

“We’ve done it all year long where we’ve stayed with our game and we find a way,” the senior Star, Joe Pavelski, said in his walkoff interview with Hockey Night in Canada. “It was a gutsy win coming in here. It gives us life, gives us life.”

The guy most responsible for giving Dallas life was depth forward Ty Dellandrea, who scored twice in 87 seconds halfway through the third period to triple his playoff goals total and propel the Stars to victory in an elimination game they trailed twice.

Luke Glendening, another bottom-six winger, tied the game on a deflection at 15:24 of the first period. And Dallas sniper Jason Robertson, re-ignited in this series, made it 2-2 at 5:29 of the middle frame.

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Importantly, the goals were an immediate response by the Stars after Ivan Barbashev scored for Vegas at 13:36 and Chandler Stephenson at 3:20, respectively. The Knights’ two leads lasted less than four minutes.

Dallas goalie Jake Oettinger stopped 27 of 29 Vegas shots for his second straight win since getting pulled from Game 3 for the third time in eight playoff contests.

STANLEY CUP MAGIC

Much like the 82-game regular season, it’s the journey that surprises and enthralls us in the playoffs – not merely the destination. 

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Dellandrea scored just nine times in the regular season and was a healthy scratch for coach Peter DeBoer when this series began. He was also a healthy scratch when the Stars decided their second-round series by winning Game 7 against the Seattle Kraken.

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But there he was on Saturday, extending the Stars’ season by scoring twice in the third period while playing his ass off every fourth shift. Besides his pair of goals, Dellandrea had five shot attempts and three hits in 15:59 of ice time.

The 22-year-old, 2018 first-round pick from Port Perry, Ont., had logged one NHL playoff game before this spring.

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Asked about his performance, Dellandrea told ESPN: “We’ve got bigger things that we want to accomplish here. So, this was a big win and we get to go back home and have another opportunity. But we’re playing for a lot.”

BIG BENN

It’s not difficult finding inspiration at playoff time, but the Stars made Benn’s suspension a rally focal point. His teammates were determined to win twice without him so their captain’s season didn’t end with his unprovoked cross-check to the neck of Mark Stone two minutes in Game 3.

Mission accomplished. Getting an impactful, battle-hardened veteran like Benn back should turbo-charge the Stars. But they need to be careful about letting their urgency or focus wane after playing the last two games for Benn.

Relief can turn into a dip in emotion when teams get key players back from injury, as if the player’s return alone means the hardest part is over.

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“We’ve been through a little bit of adversity this round,” Dellandrea said. “A big message in the room was: We want to get Jamie back, you know, get our captain back. I think we just focussed on that. We’ve got him back (and) head home for Game 6. That’s what we’re thinking about right now.”

FOUR-LINE PERFECTION

The thoroughness of the Stars’ engagement on Saturday was reflected in the ice times of DeBoer’s four centres: Roope Hintz, 15:43; Wyatt Johnson, 15:52; Max Domi, 16:32; and Radek Faksa, 15:05. Why didn’t Dallas’ best players play more? Because the guys in the bottom half of the lineup earned their ice time in a must-win game.

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LONG NIGHT FOR KNIGHTS

There are a couple of things Vegas can latch on to after Game 5. 

Their top players, especially the first line of Jack Eichel, Jonathan Marchessault and Ivan Barbashev, can play a lot better – even if Barbashev did open scoring on a strong move to the net after Dallas defenceman Miro Heiskanen drifted out of position to converge on Eichel along the side boards.

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And the bounces could have scarcely gone worse for the Knights. Glendening’s goal was a tip on a seeing-eye point shot by Thomas Harley. Robertson’s goal came after his initial attempt bounced back to him off defenceman Shea Theodore, and the follow-up shot tumbled off the Knight’s stick and up and over goalie Adin Hill. Dellandrea’s tie-breaker ticked the stick of Vegas defenceman Alex Pietrangelo and rattled between Hill’s blocker and pad. And Dellandrea’s clincher came from a scramble when the puck bounced to him in the slot off Stone’s skate, and Hill was unable to make a save because Domi has been knocked into him by Golden Knight Nicolas Hague and a turnover by Zach Whitecloud.

None of the goals was clean. But the Stars earned them by battling to get to the dirty areas. And the Knights are allowed to score greasy goals, too. They just didn’t. And now they have to play a sixth game on Monday.

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ELEPHANT IN THE ROOM

The Knights did not expose their 61.4 per cent penalty-killing, the worst by any team that has won at least one playoff round since the NHL began tracking the stat in 1977-78, because they did not take a penalty in Game 5.

But Vegas also failed to score on the game’s only power play, a slew-foot tripping penalty by Mason Marchment just 50 seconds in. In 16 playoff games, the Knights’ power play has scored nine goals and ranks 11th among 16 qualifiers at 17.7 per cent.

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The Knights have been winning by dominating five-on-five play. But they didn’t on Saturday.

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Stars lean on Case Cookus-Corey Coleman connection in comeback win over Maulers

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Philadelphia strengthened its hold on the North Division thanks to a comeback led by QB Case Cookus and WR Corey Coleman.



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'Playoff Jimmy' continues to falter, must recall superstar form for Game 7

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