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Johnny Juzang’s potential absence has affected UCLA-Arizona State line too much, plus other Monday best bets

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Do we need a Presidents Day? Listen, I understand that in different parts of the country, it’s referred to as Washington’s Birthday, and it’s also a holiday to celebrate the birthdays of George Washington and Abraham Lincoln in other states, and if that’s what you’re celebrating at your core, fine. But, again, I have to ask, what’s the point of Presidents Day?

I’m not here to look a gift holiday in the mouth, and I’ll take the day off work (though I’m currently working), but do Presidents need a day honoring them? Was electing them to the office not enough of an honor? Shouldn’t the fact that they decided to run and the American population said “yeah, we’re good with you for the most part” be enough? Do they really need this additional ego boost every year?

Instead of Presidents Day, today should be a holiday honoring John Tyler, Millard Fillmore, Andrew Johnson, Chester A. Arthur and Gerald Ford. They’re the only five Presidents who never won an election and instead took over for Presidents who died or resigned in disgrace. We can call it Unelected Presidents’ Day, and it’ll serve as our way of saying, “hey, thanks for stepping in for a minute there and helping out, and even though you didn’t do enough to warrant us letting you keep the gig, no hard feelings.”

None of the following picks were elected, either. The rest of this newsletter is a fascist state.

All times Eastern, and all odds via Caesars Sportsbook

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🔥 The Hot Ticket

Arizona State at No. 12 UCLA, 9 p.m. | TV: FS1

Latest Odds:

Over 131

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The Pick: Over 130.5 (-110): The most significant factors in this total are Arizona State’s putrid offense and the uncertainty surrounding UCLA’s leading scorer Johnny Juzang. Juzang missed UCLA’s 76-50 win over Washington with a hip injury, and he’s a game-time decision for tonight. As you can tell by that final, the Bruins didn’t miss their leading scorer much against a bad Washington team. Arizona State isn’t much better, though the Sun Devils have been better defensively than Washington. Anyway, the point is the absence of Juzang has affected this total a little too much in my estimation, and even if he misses tonight’s game, I think we’ll get past this total.

The first meeting between these two needed three overtimes before Arizona State pulled off the upset, and it was one of Arizona State’s most successful offensive performances of the season. I don’t expect a repeat performance, but the Sun Devils will be confident going into this matchup because they know they can beat the Bruins, having done it before.

We aren’t going to see a shootout, but I do think we finish closer to 140 than 130.

Key Trend: The over is 9-3 in UCLA’s last 12 as a home favorite.

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Here’s what SportsLine is saying about the game: The SportsLine Projection Model is leaning toward the over just like I am, but if you prefer betting the spread, two of our experts are in agreement about which side you should be betting.


💰 The Picks

🏀 College Basketball

Indiana at No. 22 Ohio State, 7 p.m. | TV: FS1

Latest Odds:

Ohio State Buckeyes
-6.5

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The Pick: Ohio State -6.5 (-110) — Ohio State losing to Iowa its last time out is probably bad news for Indiana. I had thought that with the Hoosiers sandwiched between big games against Iowa and Illinois, the Hoosiers might catch the Buckeyes sleeping. Instead, Indiana will get an Ohio State team looking to get back into the Big Ten race ahead of Thursday’s game against the Illini, and Ohio State cannot afford to lose any more games if it wants to win the conference.

There’s also the revenge factor, as Indiana won the first meeting 67-51 after outscoring the Buckeyes 21-6 over the final 10 minutes of action. The Buckeyes couldn’t make a shot to save their lives that day, and considering they’re one of the best shooting teams in the country, it’s difficult to see that happening again. Indiana has been outstanding defensively, which will keep this one close for a while, but the Buckeyes pull away late and cover when Indiana can’t make shots.

Key Trend: Ohio State is 5-2 ATS in its last seven home games while Indiana is 1-11 ATS in its last 12 as an underdog.

Georgia Tech at Syracuse, 7 p.m. | TV: ESPN+

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Latest Odds:

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
+8.5

The Pick: Georgia Tech +8.5 (-110) — The ACC is so bad this season that I researched if we should adopt the same “Nobody is good enough to be favored over anybody” principle we had with the NFC East and ACC football. Sadly, it doesn’t exist. Nobody in the ACC can cover any spread with regularity, it seems. Instead, we’re buying low on Georgia Tech. The Yellow Jackets are a problematic matchup for Syracuse.

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The key to Syracuse’s zone has always been its length and ability to defend the perimeter, but the Orange have struggled defensively this season. Still, they do a decent enough job defending the three, but Georgia Tech rarely shoots from three. Most of its scoring is done on the interior by Michael “Bell Biv” Devoe and Jordan “Usher” Usher. While both can hit threes, they shoot over 52% from inside the arc, and Syracuse is awful defending the interior, allowing opponents to shoot 51.3% from two. I don’t know that it’ll be enough to get the Yellow Jackets the win, but it should keep things close.

Key Trend: The underdog has covered seven of the last 10 meetings.

🔒 SportsLine Pick of the Day: The SportsLine Projection Model has a heavy lean toward one side of the spread between Ohio State and Indiana as well. Does it agree with me?


⚽ Champions League picks

The Champions League resumes Tuesday afternoon, and I’ve got picks for all four of this week’s matches (and all can be seen on CBS or Paramount+). If you’d like a longer explanation behind them, you can read all about it here. If you don’t, you probably didn’t read this part anyway, so here are the picks.

  • Chelsea vs. Lille: Romelu Lukaku to score a goal (+105)
  • Villarreal vs. Juventus: Both Teams to Score (-110)
  • Atlético Madrid vs. Manchester United: Atlético Madrid (+145)
  • Benfica vs. Ajax: Ajax (-127)



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Montreal Canadiens look back at Canada’s last Stanley Cup three decades later

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Kirk Muller remembers the speech like it was yesterday.

Down 2-0 to the Quebec Nordiques in the first round of the 1993 playoffs — and coming off a clunky regular-season finish — Montreal Canadiens general manager Serge Savard addressed the group during a meal.

“Our plane broke down and we stayed an extra night,” Muller, the team’s No. 1 centre, recalled of Game 2’s aftermath in Quebec City. “(Savard) stood up and goes, ‘If you keep playing the way you are, you’re gonna win this series.”’

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Muller paused for a moment in his retelling.

“The way Serge said it,” he continued. “So calm.”

Patrick Roy, meanwhile, wasn’t sure he’d even get the start from Jacques Demers in Game 3.

“I wasn’t very good,” the Hall of Fame goaltender added of his play through two contests. “Lucky enough to have a coach that believed in us and believed in myself.”

Then everything — almost as if preordained — fell into place.

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The Canadiens won the next four against their bitter rivals, swept the Buffalo Sabres, and got past the upstart New York Islanders to set the stage for a Stanley Cup Final against Los Angeles.

“Things can turn around quickly,” Savard, a 10-time Cup winner, recalled in a 2020 biography. “It doesn’t take much to change the rhythm of a game or a series.”

Montreal then completed its magical run by besting Wayne Gretzky’s Kings to claim the Original Six franchise’s 24th title — one sparked by a record-setting 10 straight overtime victories on the back of Roy’s string of stellar performances.

Canada is still awaiting its next champion.

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“Amazing it’s been 30 years,” said Guy Carbonneau, the last captain from a team north of the border handed hockey’s Holy Grail. “Not just Montreal, which is pretty unusual, but in Canada.”

That’s the reality.

Friday marks three decades since the Habs celebrated that victory on a sweltering night at the Montreal Forum.

Vancouver (1994, 2011), Calgary (2004), Edmonton (2006), Ottawa (2007) and Montreal (2021) have all made the final since, but stumbled at the last hurdle.

There are plenty of theories why the dry run has stretched this long — from the weight of expectation to better tax incentives for players in some U.S. markets — but it really just proves one thing to Patrice Brisebois.

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“So hard to win,” said the former Canadiens defenceman. “Even in ’93, we needed luck.”

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The pressure continues to mount on Canada’s seven-club NHL contingent, but that Montreal team faced a drought of its own. Seven years had passed since the Canadiens hoisted Lord Stanley’s mug — at that point the city’s longest dry spell.

“Something they weren’t used to,” Muller, an associate coach with Calgary, said with a laugh.

Things didn’t look promising heading into the 1993 playoffs.

“Don’t even think we were projected to get out of the first round,” said ex-Montreal blueliner Mathieu Schneider.

Demers, however, was confident from Day 1, especially after Savard acquired forwards Vincent Damphousse and Brian Bellows.

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“First meeting, Jacques comes in and goes, ‘We’re going to shock the hockey world, we’re going to win the Stanley Cup,”’ Brisebois said.

Roy remembers looking around the room at his teammates.

“We’re like, ‘Really?”’ said Roy, who recently completed his final season as coach and GM of the QMJHL’s Quebec Remparts with a Memorial Cup title. “But (Demers) was such a positive man.

“One of the reasons why we were capable of doing it.”

The Canadiens had a good season and ended up third in the Adams Division despite finishing with four regulation victories over their final 18 games.

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“Everybody was smart enough to know it was going to be a stretch,” Carbonneau, a Hall of Fame centre, said of his coach’s Cup prediction. “He never wavered.”

But what Demers — and the Canadiens — needed was for Roy to step up following a sub-par campaign and those poor early showings against the Nordiques.

All the netminder did from there was win the next 11 playoff games against Quebec, Buffalo and New York, including seven in OT, before the Islanders avoided the sweep in a series that would end two nights later.

“You can see when a goalie has that confidence,” said Schneider, who works for the NHL Players’ Association. “Just surreal.”

Before the New York series, however, the Canadiens still had a massive obstacle on their title path — Mario Lemieux and the Pittsburgh Penguins.

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After the Islanders upset the two-time defending champs in the second round, Montreal really started to believe.

“When (New York) scored in overtime in Game 7 we were jumping,” Brisebois said.

The Islanders were subsequently brushed aside in five games by the Canadiens, L.A. entered the final coming off a defeat of Toronto to deny fans a mouth-watering, all-Canadian tilt.

“The Maple Leafs and Dougie (Gilmour) were having a great playoffs,” Muller said. “Built up a lot of hype.”

Gretzky and the Kings would have to do.

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Montreal dropped the opener at home, but responded in Game 2 following a gutsy decision by Demers to have officials check for an illegal curve on Marty McSorely’s stick with the Canadiens trailing 2-1.

The Kings defenceman was assessed a penalty that led to the tying goal before Montreal won in OT to knot the series.

“Game-changer,” Brisebois said of Demers’ curve call. “If that doesn’t happen, I don’t know.

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“Can you imagine if the curve was legal? Maybe it’s over.”

The Canadiens picked up two more OT victories in California to give them an even 10 on the spring and set up a 4-1 triumph in Game 5 that sealed their 24th Cup.

“Patrick was Patrick,” Brisebois said of Roy. “He was our key man from the first round until the final.”

As things turned ugly in the streets with rioters wreaking havoc that night, players weren’t allowed to leave the Forum for a few hours. The same went for the franchise greats on hand, including Maurice (Rocket) Richard and Yvan Cournoyer.

There would be no celebration out on the town. Just beers with some legends.

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“You’re so happy,” Brisebois said. “So much love and joy.”

“Never would have planned that,” Muller added. “Ended up being really cool.”

He’s also convinced the cool, reassuring message from Savard after Game 2 against Quebec made all the difference.

“Could have went the other way real quickly,” Muller said. “Big turning point. Who would have thought?”

The same could be asked about Canada’s Cup drought — one set to enter its fourth decade.

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What we learned in MLB this week: The Dodgers' bullpen has been a disaster

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Julio Rodríguez is back, Marcus Stroman is elite, and the Dodgers have a major weakness. Here’s what we learned across MLB in Week 10.



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Heat vs Nuggets: NBA Finals prediction, picks, Game 4 odds, series odds, schedule

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The NBA Finals matchup is set as the Denver Nuggets are taking on the Miami Heat. Here’s a look at the series odds, Game 3 betting lines and an expert pick from Jason McIntyre.



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