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Friday Four: Should Drew Doughty be on Team Canada for the Olympics?

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The Friday Four, a collection of thoughts and information on some intriguing player performances, continues this week with some notes on:

• The polarizing picture of Drew Doughty and how he may factor into a Team Canada roster decision.

Alex Nedeljkovic and if the Carolina Hurricanes might one day regret not keeping him.

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Erik Karlsson‘s throwback start to the season.

• And how the narrative on the Flames and Johnny Gaudreau‘s fit going forward has completely flipped.

(All stats via Natural Stat Trick unless mentioned otherwise)

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DREW DOUGHTY, LOS ANGELES KINGS

Depending on your opinion, the men’s Canadian Olympic team (with NHLers) could have as few as three and as many as five defence spots locked down. Alex Pietrangelo was one of the first three named to the team, so he’s on. Cale Makar? He might wind up being the team’s best blue liner. Shea Theodore is Pietrangelo’s Vegas teammate and the best left shot defender Canada has to offer. Dougie Hamilton? Some will see him as a bubble player, while others will call you nuts for thinking he doesn’t have a spot here. And then there’s Aaron Ekblad — Florida’s No. 1 defender leads all NHL blue liners in scoring right now.

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Of those five names, just one is a left shot, so it’s reasonable to assume a second lefty will need to get picked out between the likes of Morgan Rielly, Darnell Nurse, Bo Byram or perhaps a more subtle defensive option like Devon Toews. Even if the lefty-righty split by pair isn’t as important to a non-Mike Babcock coached team, it’s hard to imagine not taking at least a second lefty.

This is the conundrum we face when trying to find a way to put right shot Drew Doughty on Team Canada’s roster. In building out a potential line-by-line, pair-by-pair breakdown for Team Canada this week, Doughty wound up as my “extra” on the blue line just to get him on the team, but he feels like a player who absolutely could end up in the top six. Team Canada loves him, he played at the last World Cup and the past two Olympics. And he’s not at the end of his career at 31 years old.

So should he make it, and how do you fit him on?

In Los Angeles, Doughty continues to play a big role, leading the team in average ice time a game (24:11) and playing in every situation. In both of the two games he’s played back from an injury (which he returned a few weeks early from) Doughty was on the ice for around 27 minutes.

The sample size is small this year because of that injury, but Doughty’s offensive numbers have been promising nonetheless. In only six games, Doughty has one goal and seven assists, with a 1.17 assists per game rate that ranks only behind Nathan MacKinnon and Connor McDavid right now. According to Sportlogiq, by primary assist rate, Doughty’s 0.67 per game is tied for second in the league and is tops among all defencemen.

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We can’t assume too much with that yet because, again, only six games, but there’s more.

When Doughty is on the ice at 5-on-5, Los Angeles has controlled 53.51 per cent of the shots and 55.9 per cent of the shot attempts, and both of those measures are improvements over Doughty’s impact stretching back five years. But, it should be noted, while LA has outscored the competition 6-4 with Doughty on the ice at even strength so far, he has a negative expected goal differential. It’s not all rosy and, inevitably, some tougher days are probably ahead as he gets more games under his belt.

But Doughty’s bid for a spot won’t only be about his on-ice shot metrics or potential goal splits on a still-emerging Kings squad that’s a true .500 team right now in terms of standings results and most underlying numbers. The fact that he can play the PK is important. Of the five defencemen mentioned above I’m not sure four of them are better suited for that than Doughty. And there’s a certain on-ice presence and impact he commands that tends to ignite the tired old analytics vs. eye test debate.

Doughty has been a common name to leave off these projected Canada lists because of the great right shot options there are and that’s given him a chip on his shoulder we really shouldn’t underestimate.

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“It frustrates me, and I’m going to do everything in my power to make that team,” Doughty said earlier this year. “You know, I don’t believe the media. I know that the GMs that are creating this team, they know hockey I think better than most people. So I’m using it as a tool to push myself, to prove to everyone I should be on that team. You know, I’ve been on the team twice before, played lots of minutes, and was a big part of those teams, and I think I can for sure do that again.”

Would it surprise you if Hockey Canada chose Doughty over, say, Hamilton, who hasn’t played nationally since the WJC nearly a decade ago? If Doughty cracks the roster, something at least mildly surprising has to give.

Jeff Marek and Elliotte Friedman talk to a lot of people around the hockey world, and then they tell listeners all about what they’ve heard and what they think about it.

ALEX NEDELJKOVIC, DETROIT RED WINGS

There are a promising amount of good stories about younger players in Detroit this season, which is just what you want from a rebuilding team. Two weeks ago we highlighted Lucas Raymond’s rookie contributions and he remains the favourite for the Calder right now, sitting as Detroit’s leading scorer. Defenceman Moritz Seider will be in the running for rookie of the year, too.

Despite being a Calder finalist in the shortened season, Nedeljkovic didn’t play enough games to remove his rookie eligibility. It might be harder for him to become a finalist again in a full year behind a team still in rebuild mode (and some other worthy rookies around the league), but the Wings are staying relevant, Nedeljkovic is playing well, and so maybe the idea he could be a back-to-back rookie of the year finalist isn’t out of the question.

By basic goalie stat measures Nedeljkovic ranks favourably across the league. His .923 save percentage is tied for 11th, 2.58 GAA 17th, and he’s faced the 15th-most shots in the league. They aren’t Vezina numbers, but clearly set him apart from the rest of the rookie stoppers — Arizona’s Karel Vejmelka is his closest challenger (.916, 2.80), but he’s 2-9-1 behind a tanking Coyotes squad.

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Here’s a look at some of Nedeljkovic’s work this season and his league rank:

As you might expect, the Red Wings don’t insulate their goalies much yet, and allow the sixth-most shots against per game. According to Natural Stat Trick, Detroit allows the third-most high danger chances per game in all situations, so it’s not like these starts are breezy for Nedeljkovic (or Thomas Greiss for that matter).

According to stats from Sportlogiq, Nedeljkovic ranks 15th in inner slot shots faced and his .814 save rate on those opportunities is 13th, one spot ahead of Toronto’s Jack Campbell. Nedeljkovic is trending up, too, allowing three or more goals just once in his past seven starts, and only four times in the 12 starts he’s made since a season-opening 7-6 loss to Tampa Bay.

Nedeljkovic is helping patch up any lingering looseness in the Red Wings play and elevating them to fourth place in the Atlantic Division (fifth place by points percentage). It’s a positive right away that the Wings will be playing meaningful games for some time now, rather than being among the Ottawas, Montreals and Arizonas of the league and out of it already. That’s a change from previous seasons.

We wonder how the Carolina Hurricanes might one day look back at how they chose to handle Nedeljkovic. As a member of the Canes, Nedeljkovic started last season on waivers and passed through unclaimed. Then he put together one of the better single-season Hurricanes goalie performances of the past few years, which elevated them into a well-rounded Cup contender. Even after that, the Canes weren’t keen on paying him in arbitration and so dealt the 23-year-old to Detroit for a third-rounder.

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Frederik Andersen has been fantastic for the Canes already this season and if they do end up winning a Stanley Cup nothing else matters. But if they aren’t able to climb that hill and Nedeljkovic goes on to have a steady NHL career, it’ll be a move they’ll want back.

ERIK KARLSSON, SAN JOSE SHARKS

Is Karlsson back?

Like Doughty, the 31-year-old’s absolute peak is behind him and Karlsson probably won’t win a Norris again. But we’ve spent the past couple of seasons wondering how much of a liability he could become for the Sharks as a player making $11.5 million against the cap and a league-high $14.5 million in actual salary this season. But strip out the contract talk and we can absolutely see an impact player bouncing back this season.

When Karlsson is on the ice, San Jose carries the play, generates most of the high quality scoring chances, and outscores its opponents both in actual and expected goals. This is a big change from the past two seasons where, combined, the Sharks were outscored 95-80 and outchanced in the high danger area 429-385 at 5-on-5 when Karlsson was on the ice. He’s a transition monster, often putting the Sharks on offence himself. As Shayna Goldman explored a couple weeks ago, Karlsson is again elite at carrying the puck out of his own zone and up the ice.

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This season, among all NHL defencemen who have logged at least 60 minutes of 5-on-5 play, Karlsson ranks 22nd in goals for percentage, 17th in expected goals for percentage (signifying how they control the quality chances) and 16th in high danger chance percentage.

Karlsson’s five even strength goals on the season are tied for third-most among all NHL defencemen and he’s coming by it honestly. Though Karlsson’s shooting percentage may be a little high right now, that could be due partly to the fact he’s getting a lot of high quality looks — the rate at which he’s getting front of the net chances for himself at 5-on-5 ranks within the top 10 NHL blueliners.

And incredibly, Karlsson had to miss six games after testing positive for COVID-19, saying he was symptomatic and “got it pretty bad.”

He’s played 10 games since coming off the COVID list, registering seven points and playing over 22 minutes a night.

JOHNNY GAUDREAU, CALGARY FLAMES

It’s pretty wild how the narrative has changed course around the Calgary Flames’ direction as a team, and Johnny Gaudreau’s place within that.

All last season as Calgary spiralled in the North Division, it seemed a foregone conclusion that Gaudreau’s time with the team was running thin. Whether that meant a trade in the summer before he became a UFA, something closer to this year’s deadline, or a split when his contract ends in 2022, playoff success wasn’t coming for Gaudreau or the Flames and so a change of direction was the likely course.

Now we’re wondering if he could actually be extended.

Under Darryl Sutter this season, Gaudreau has been fantastic and a great fit. While Calgary gets a lot of credit for keeping the shots against down (sixth-best in the league) and scoring chances against to a minimum (second-best in the league) it isn’t accurate to say they play slow hockey. The Flames are one of the best transition offences in the league and Gaudreau has been a leader.

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According to Sportlogiq, Gaudreau leads the league in rush chances and is 15th in shots from the slot. That’s led to nine goals so far, which is already about half way to his final goal totals from the past two seasons.

But Gaudreau is more playmaker than goal scorer. He’s third in the league for even strength assists (14), two off Kirill Kaprizov’s pace. All of those helpers have been primary assists — in fact, Gaudreau leads the league in even strength primary assists. Again according to Sportlogiq, Gaudreau is hanging with some elite names in getting the puck to the slot area for his teammates.

It’s no longer too early this season and so what we’re seeing from Gaudreau has some real meaning now. He’s not slowing down either, with 11 points in his past eight games, and is pacing pretty closely with his career-best 2018-19 performance — a 99-point season he hasn’t come close to matching since.

But there are other things to consider here when discussing how the Flames should approach Gaudreau’s future or what a contract extension might look like. One is that he’s doing this in a contract year after not playing to this level in back-to-back seasons. Another is that in his 99-point season, Gaudreau was shut down in the ensuing playoffs and recorded a single assist in a five-game first-round loss to the Colorado Avalanche.

In the end, Gaudreau’s true value may only present itself after he shows what he can do in the post-season again. But, if he continues on this tear all year and then follows with a career playoff performance, the price tag and term on his next contract — which will mostly cover his early-30s — could get tricky to agree on.

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Kevin O’Connell Delivers An Ultimatum To Players Amid Turnover Issues

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(Photo by David Berding/Getty Images)

 

It’s been a tough start to the season for the Minnesota Vikings.

Kevin O’Connell’s team sits on a 0-3 record, and even though they’ve been close in all three losses, they’ve shot themselves in the foot way too many times.

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Ball security has been their biggest issue thus far, with seven lost fumbles throughout the first three weeks of the season.

So, after RB Alexander Mattison fumbled twice and T.J. Hockenson also lost the ball in Sunday’s heartbreaking loss to the Los Angeles Chargers, the Head Coach sent his players a stern message: You won’t see the field or be a part of the team if you keep turning the ball over (via ProFootballTalk).

Besides turnovers, a complete lack of a running game has also made it tough for the Vikings to get their first win of the season.

Kirk Cousins has been fairly efficient and has put up some big numbers, but they continue to sit last in rushing yards per game and total rushing yards.

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Hopefully, Cam Akers’ arrival is going to do something to change that situation.

Up next, they have a date with the Carolina Panthers, who may have No. 1 pick Bryce Young back behind center after missing one game with an injured ankle.

Whatever the case, the Panthers’ defense has been fairly better than expected to start the season.

The Vikings can’t afford to lose the turnover battle again, and another loss could lead to some major changes, both in the lineup and in the organization.

The post Kevin O’Connell Delivers An Ultimatum To Players Amid Turnover Issues appeared first on The Cold Wire.

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Canadiens Notebook: Josh Anderson appears poised for breakout season

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MONTREAL — It’s early on in Montreal Canadiens camp, and I’ve just spent a few minutes talking with Justin Barron about what he’s taken from his summer skates with Sidney Crosby, Nathan MacKinnon and Brad Marchand.

It’s after Barron extols the value of practising daily against three of the world’s best players that I ask him about other sessions he participated in before taking his first strides at this camp. The Halifax native was one of 40 players to arrive weeks early in Brossard, Que., and I wanted to know if there was anyone who really caught his eye from the informal practices he was participating in.

Without hesitation, he replied, “I think Andy looked really good.”

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It’s what Barron says next about Josh Anderson that really only resonates with me as I’m watching a recording of the Canadiens’ first pre-season game at the Bell Centre late Monday night.

“He was hurt so much throughout the end of last year, so it’s probably just because I hadn’t seen him for a while,” Barron said. “Obviously, he’s a great player. His speed, just how strong he is taking pucks to the net — he looked, I thought, really good.”

Watching Anderson rush past New Jersey Devils defenders and fearlessly cut to the net in Monday’s game made it easy to forget he finished last season in a boot, nursing a high-ankle sprain that left him wheeling around the Bell Centre on a scooter.

The six-foot-three, 224-pound winger was reduced to nearly half his size after Tampa Bay’s Mikhail Sergachev hauled him down late in the final seconds of a 3-2 Canadiens win on March 21. Anderson went crashing into the post — narrowly missing his bid for his 22nd goal of the season — and came up incapable of putting any weight on his right leg.

But on Monday, Anderson looked as big, fast and sturdy on his two feet as we’ve seen him since he first arrived in Montreal via trade in October 2020. If not for Jack Hughes, who had a goal and two assists in the 4-2 win for the Devils, he’d have been the first star of the game.

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I wasn’t there to see it live — I was with family, breaking the fast for Yom Kippur — but his performance still really popped when I watched it on TV.

The thought it evoked was: If this is the Anderson the Canadiens are getting this season, then that’s a big win for them.

What really stood out was how dominant he was throughout the entire game. He was a constant threat from puck drop to closing buzzer, showing the traits that made him so appealing to former general manager Marc Bergevin, who traded Max Domi to the Columbus Blue Jackets to acquire him three years ago.

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Since then, Anderson has been, at times, electric and, at other times, static. While he’s produced consistent numbers — 17 goals and 24 points in 52 games followed by 19 goals and 32 points in 69 games of the 2021-22 season, and 21 goals and 32 points in 69 games last season — he hasn’t been consistent from game to game or within the games themselves.

But the 29-year-old, who stood out most to Barron over the last month, has been burning up the ice each time he’s taken to it during this training camp. He was the best player in a Canadiens uniform on Monday night — scoring a goal, manufacturing several quality scoring chances, registering three shots on net and using his speed and size to be an all-around menace at both ends of the ice — and if he takes momentum from that and rides it into this season, it could be his best on yet at this level.

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Anderson scored 27 goals and had 47 points in 82 games with the Blue Jackets in 2018-19. He suffered a shoulder injury the following season and managed only one goal and four points in 26 games as he tried to play through it. And the player we’ve seen in Montreal since has been somewhere in the middle of that peak and valley.

What we’re seeing from Anderson, as he’s building good chemistry with speedy newcomer Alex Newhook, is a player poised for a breakout season.

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Juraj Slafkovsky getting more touches, developing

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Another noticeable part of Monday’s game was how often the first-overall pick of the 2022 NHL Draft had the puck on his stick as the third member of Newhook and Anderson’s line.

Slafkovsky did some good things with it, too, and there’s reason to believe he’ll only improve in that department as he continues to get more touches.

The six-foot-four, 230-pound winger didn’t get nearly as many touches as he’d have liked during his rookie season. And he definitely wasn’t enthralled about what he did with the ones he did get, as he produced just four goals and 10 points in 39 games.

But there are indications Slafkovsky learned from that experience — and the experience of watching nearly half the season from the press box after suffering a knee injury.

On Monday, after a false start out of the gate, he protected the puck well, made a great play with it in the second period to give Anderson an excellent scoring chance and progressively built up his performance through the 19:09 he spent on the ice.

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“I thought he played well tonight,” Canadiens coach Martin St. Louis told reporters in attendance on Monday. “I thought he had a slow start, but I thought he was really strong second, third period. To me, I felt he was getting some touches, he was using his speed and his size, and as an F1 he was very aggressive, he was using his body.”

St. Louis also pointed out this was Slafkovsky’s first game in nearly nine months.

The young Slovak wasn’t the only one who appeared a little rusty off the hop.

Kaiden Guhle and Arber Xhekaj, who both suffered season-ending injuries well ahead of the end of last season, certainly appeared behind the 8-ball at times.

They’ll rebound. And the hope is that Slafkovsky will, too, and that he’ll continue work toward becoming the player the Canadiens hope he’ll be down the line.

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Having the puck on his stick more often is only going to help.

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Quick hits

• There was a lot to like Monday from Joshua Roy, who scored Montreal’s first goal against New Jersey and exhibited all the traits that make him one of the Canadiens’ most promising prospects.

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“He had nice touches,” said St. Louis. “You can see he’s very intelligent, that he knows where his teammates are and knows how to get into open space. He has a lot of purpose (in his game). He plays with a lot of good intention.”

There’s time for the 20-year-old — who torched the QMJHL over the last two seasons, scoring 97 goals and 218 points over 123 games — to improve his skating.

But Roy’s hockey sense gets him to where he needs to be more often than not.

Outside of what he brings offensively, there’s a lot to like about how the 150th pick in the 2021 NHL Draft has improved on the other side of the puck.

There were signs of that on Monday, like when Roy made a diving shot-block in the Canadiens’ zone. Just as there were signs of it at the 2023 world junior championship, when he served as Team Canada’s best penalty killer.

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• Roy was one of two players who showed up in suits at the Bell Centre Sunday and watched the Canadiens play their annual Red-White scrimmage. The other was Owen Beck, who won 10 of 17 faceoffs against the Devils.

Maybe it means nothing to some that they were there, but I don’t think it does. Roy and Beck, who was drafted 33rd overall in 2022, both want this badly, and neither of them are that far away from it.

It’s more likely Beck returns to Peterborough of the OHL for one more year of junior while Roy debuts with the Laval Rocket, but not before both of them continue to show they’re close to belonging in Montreal.

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• It was an up-and-down game for Logan Mailloux — and not just in terms of his performance but also in how much ice he covered.

Mailloux led the Canadiens defence in time on ice (21:00) and was all over the place. He flashed some of the brilliance that saw him score 25 goals for the OHL’s London Knights last season, but he also showed some of the tendencies he needs to clean up as he transitions to pro hockey.

Mailloux’s decision to rush the puck while the Canadiens were shorthanded in the first period wasn’t well-timed, and it bit him when Jack Hughes took it the other way and fed Dawson Mercer with a tap-in goal.

St. Louis said afterward that he’d prefer not to see that, but also praised Mailloux’s abilities in the offensive zone.

On the process the young defenceman must adhere to moving forward, St. Louis said, “I think at the junior ranks, players attack their opponents more than they attack space. In the NHL, it’s more a game of chess than it is in junior, where it’s more a game of checkers. There are times in games when you have to play checkers — and I know we have players who can do that — but the game of chess is much more important than the game of checkers.”

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All to say, you have to think the game in three-dimension at this level.

But people shouldn’t forget that Mailloux has to play it more at this level — and at the professional level, in general — before he can do that more regularly.

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Nick Sirianni Gets Honest On Eagles’ Performance So Far This Season

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(Photo by Julio Aguilar/Getty Images)

 

The Philadelphia Eagles are one of the few undefeated teams in the league.

They entered the season as the No. 1 candidate to come out of the NFC again, but even though they’ve managed to get the games to go their way, some people still aren’t convinced about them.

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That includes HC Nick Sirianni, who didn’t seem quite satisfied despite a big win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, stating that they’re not where they want to be yet and that they’re still a work in progress:

“It’s a growth process. We’re not a final product yet,” Sirianni said. “Everybody wants us to be a final product now, but it’s a growth. You want to grow every day, so we’re not going to be playing our best football until we get going into the season.”

The Eagles hit the ground running and started strong vs. the New England Patriots, but they let them get right back into the game and were even at risk of losing on the final play.

Then, they failed to keep their foot on the gas vs. the Minnesota Vikings in Week 2, leaving the door wide open for a comeback attempt.

They looked much better in the second half vs. the Buccaneers after a slow start, and there have been signs of growth and improvement when compared to the season debut, as expected.

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Nick Sirianni also lost his two top assistants to Head Coaching positions, and it might take a while before the new coordinators get the team to where they need it to be, as usually happens.

They have a tough divisional clash on deck next week, hosting a Washington Commanders team that’ll look to bounce back from an ugly home loss to the Buffalo Bills, and that could be their most difficult challenge yet.

The post Nick Sirianni Gets Honest On Eagles’ Performance So Far This Season appeared first on The Cold Wire.





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