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Fresno State vs. San Jose State odds, line: 2021 college football picks, Week 13 predictions from proven model

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The Fresno State Bulldogs aim to close a strong 2021 regular season on a high note on Thursday. Fresno State visits the San Jose State Spartans in a Thanksgiving afternoon matchup between Mountain West rivals. Fresno State is 8-3 overall and 5-2 in Mountain West play this season. San Jose State is 5-6 overall and 3-4 against conference foes in 2021. Fresno State can win its division with a victory and a San Diego State loss to Boise State.

Kickoff is at 3:30 p.m. ET in San Jose, Calif. The latest Fresno State vs. San Jose State odds from Caesars Sportsbook list the Bulldogs as 7.5-point favorites. The over-under for total points is set at 52.5. Before making any San Jose State vs. Fresno State picks, be sure to check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,700 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 13 of the 2021 season on a 39-25 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

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Now, the model has locked in on Fresno State vs. SJSU and just revealed its picks and CFB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are the CFB odds and betting lines for SJSU vs. Fresno State:  

  • Fresno State vs. San Jose State spread: Fresno State -7.5
  • Fresno State vs. San Jose State over-under: 52.5 points
  • Fresno State vs. San Jose State money line: Fresno State -290, SJSU +235
  • FRES: The Bulldogs are 7-4 against the spread this season
  • SJSU: The Spartans are 5-6 against the spread in 2021

Featured Game | San Jose State Spartans vs. Fresno State Bulldogs

Why Fresno State can cover

Fresno State is potent on both sides of the ball, but the offense is particularly strong. Senior quarterback Jake Haener is No. 2 in the Mountain West with 3,467 passing yards, averaging 8.4 yards per pass attempt with 28 touchdowns and only nine interceptions. Haener is paired with two of the top eight pass-catchers in the Mountain West, with Jalen Cropper tied for the MWC lead with 10 touchdown catches and Josh Kelly producing 48 catches for 742 yards. 

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On the ground, Ronnie Rivers is generating 4.9 yards per carry, with 70 rushing yards or more in five straight contests. As a team, Fresno State leads the Mountain West in total offense, producing 461.5 yards per game, and the Bulldogs are in the top two of the conference in passing yards, completion rate, yards per pass attempt and passing touchdowns. Wrapping it all together, Fresno State is converting 42 percent of third-down opportunities this season, and the Bulldogs rank second in the Mountain West with 33 points per game.

Why San Jose State can cover

The Spartans are keyed by their defense, with San Jose State allowing only 360.8 yards per game this season. San Jose State is also a top-five team in the conference in rushing defense (134.9 yards allowed per game), yards per carry allowed (3.5), yards per pass attempt allowed (6.7) and sacks (27). Junior linebacker Kyle Harmon leads the Mountain West with 122 tackles, which also ranks second in the nation. The Spartans also have several bright spots on offense. 

San Jose State has allowed only 18 sacks this season, third-fewest in the conference, and the Spartans are putting up 4.2 yards per carry. Senior running back Tyler Nevens has 711 rushing yards and seven touchdowns, with senior tight end Derrick Deese Jr. ranking second among MWC tight ends with 44 catches for 687 yards and four touchdowns. Finally, San Jose State is a quality unit on special teams, headlined by top-three averages in punting and net punting.

How to make Fresno State vs. San Jose State picks

The model is going under on the total, projecting 51 combined points. It also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine

So who wins San Jose State vs. Fresno State? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread to back, all from the advanced model on a 39-25 run on its top-rated college football side picks, and find out.

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The Yankees Own A Shocking Historical Mark

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(Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images)

 

The New York Yankees haven’t won a World Series since 2009.

Fans are very much aware of that.

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However, there is no denying that they have been a successful club that shows profits every years, sells a lot of tickets and merchandise, and makes the postseason almost every year.

Winning in the regular season is much more indicative of a team’s true talent level because it is tested over a long sample size.

Playoff baseball involves a bit more randomness and fluky trends.

During regular season play, the Yankees have been outstanding since MLB’s latest expansion in 1998.

This amazing chart shows a different way to assess success (or failure) in baseball: run differential.

It’s often the most accurate way to determine whether a team is good or bad, and how good (or bad).

Since 1998, the Yankees have scored 3,166 more runs than they have allowed, which is frankly very impressive.

That’s almost 1,000 more runs than the second-placed team over the last 25 years, the Boston Red Sox.

And yes, the Yanks haven’t lifted the World Series trophy since 2009, but they were very successful in the 1998-2009 period with four Fall Classic victories and two losses.

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Since that year, they have had stars such as Derek Jeter, Mariano Rivera, Andy Pettitte, Roger Clemens, Jorge Posada, Robinson Cano, Jason Giambi, Mike Mussina, Alex Rodriguez, CC Sabathia, Mark Teixeira, Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, Gerrit Cole, and many more.

Some of them are Hall of Famers, others were strong candidates, and others are on the way.

Yes, the organization is going through a dry spell at the moment when it comes to titles, but they somehow manage to compete every single year.

The post The Yankees Own A Shocking Historical Mark appeared first on The Cold Wire.





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Behind the Scenes with FOX NFL Crew: The road to Super Bowl LVII

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As the FOX NFL crew prepares for the big game in Arizona, producer Richie Zyontz offers a look back at the road to Super Bowl LVII.



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How disappointing would a Super Bowl loss for Patrick Mahomes be? | FIRST THINGS FIRST

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Nick Wright weighs in on how disappointing a Super Bowl loss would be for Patrick Mahomes and explains he still has time to play a good Super Bowl after underperforming in his previous appearances. Broussard explains this Super Bowl will be a big deciding factor in Mahomes’ career in his chase to catch Tom Brady as the greatest of all-time.



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