USATSI
The strangest thing happened as I was building out my Week 11 projections. Running back looked deeper than wide receiver. Now this doesn’t make any sense for anyone who has ever played Fantasy Football , but it sure felt that way.
A dig deeper reveals an uncertain reality.
In Week 11, I have 22 running backs and 21 wide receivers projected to score at least 15 PR Fantasy points. Drop the bar down to 12, and 32 receivers qualify compared to 28. I do think in full PPR the disparity is a little bigger than this generally, but it’s not actually about projections.
That top 21 at receiver includes Tyler Lockett , Terry McLaurin , Mike Williams , DK Metcalf , Adam Thielen , and Brandin Cooks . I have very little certainty about any of those guys in Week 11, and about two-thirds of them I’d really like to rank outside the top 20. Just outside that rank you see names like Christian Kirk , D.J. Moore , Michael Pittman , and Cole Beasley . They’ve all been extremely hit or miss.
So I’m not totally sure that running back is deeper than wide receiver. I just feel a lot better about the guys I have projected as top 24 running backs than I do the pass catchers. Unfortunately, there aren’t too many guys widely available who I think are going to change that.
The moral of the story? You should probably just start your studs. Or at least the guys we thought were going to be studs.
Here is the rest of the Week 11 WR Preview:
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Week 11 WR Preview
The following players are not being projected to play Week 11 at this time. Here’s what it means:
WR Preview
Numbers to Know
14 — Christian Kirk has 14 targets over the past three weeks without DeAndre Hopkins . He’ll be a good No. 3 if Hopkins is out.20% — Marcus Johnson has a 20% target share in his past three games without Julio Jones .12.1% — In Michael Gallup’s first game back Amari Cooper saw just a 12% target share.33.7% — Over the past month, Keenan Allen leads all receivers with a 33.7% target share.44.9% — Brandin Cooks leads all receivers with a 44.9% share of the Texans ‘ air yards.29 — The Titans have surrendered a league-worst 29 Fantasy points per game to receivers.13.1 — The Bills have only allowed 13.1 Fantasy points per game to receivers.8 — Mike Williams has seen eight targets inside the 10-yard line, tied for the third-most in the NFL .39.1% — DK Metcalf is responsible for 39.1% of his team’s red-zone targets, the highest mark in the league.4 — Mike Evans has four targets or fewer in three of his past four games.
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Heath’s Projections
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