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Eight Ends: Outplayed against Sweden, Canada must bounce back for bronze
Eight Ends is your daily one-stop shop for all things curling with news, notes, insight and analysis through the 2022 Winter Olympic Games in Beijing.
First End: Canada’s Brad Gushue will play for bronze after coming just short in the men’s curling semifinals Thursday losing 5-3 to Sweden’s Niklas Edin in Beijing. The three-time reigning world champion Edin will meet Great Britain’s Bruce Mouat, who beat defending Olympic gold medallist John Shuster of the United States 8-4.
Sweden outplayed Canada at all four positions in the percentages. Canadian second Brett Gallant shot a game-low 69 per cent and that can have a trickle-down effect through the lineup leading to higher risk calls. Third Mark Nichols shot 79 per cent, compared to Sweden’s Oskar Eriksson at 89 per cent, while Gushue himself fired at a 76 per cent clip with Edin at 90 per cent.
Second End: Sweden started with the hammer and never trailed as Canada was unable to upend Edin. Although Canada held Sweden to one point in the second and wrestled control of last-rock advantage, Gushue couldn’t convert on the opportunity and had to settle for a single of his own in the third to tie it 1-1. The teams alternated deuces as a great draw from Gushue in the fifth set up his two count heading into the break.
Sweden was forced to take one point again in the eighth end giving Canada a golden opportunity to try and score two for the win after blanking the ninth. It wasn’t an easy blank either as Gushue’s shooter had to curl around a guard with quiet weight to chip out Sweden’s shot rock. Edin pulled off a high-pressure hit and roll on his last in the final frame and Gushue had to attempt a tricky runback double but it was not to be. Gushue’s shooter over-curled just a tad too much and Sweden’s shot stone held up for a steal.
Third End: After missing the medal round in mixed doubles and women’s play, Gushue is Canada’s final hope at earning a medal in curling at these Winter Olympic Games. The 2006 Olympic champion Gushue is a -182 favourite over Shuster in the bronze match (Friday 1:05 a.m. ET). Canada scored a 10-5 victory in the round-robin over the U.S. plus Gushue holds a 9-3 all-time head-to-head record over Shuster, according to CurlingZone. Canada has lost three straight games now though and will have to pick up their spirits taking on a loose American squad. It looked like the U.S. was out of it early down to a 2-3 record, but flipped the script and went 3-1 in the back half of round-robin play to qualify. Canada lost to Switzerland in the bronze medal game four years ago but the only holdover from that squad is Marc Kennedy, who threw third for Kevin Koe and is Gushue’s alternate this time.
Great Britain is listed as the early favourite against Sweden at a -154 chalk. Mouat beat Edin 7-6 during the round-robin portion. Edin (+120 underdog) earned bronze in 2014 and silver in 2018 and appears to be determined to take that final step to the top of the podium.
Fourth End: Pretty neat that Eriksson will become the first double medal winner in curling at a single Winter Olympic Games. Eriksson captured bronze in mixed doubles with Almida de Val and is now guaranteed either gold or silver in the men’s tournament. Eriksson and de Val defeated Mouat and Jennifer Dodds in the bronze medal game. So much for fatigue playing back-to-back tournaments, eh?
Fifth End: Canada’s Jennifer Jones defeated Denmark’s Madeleine Dupont 10-4 in the final women’s round-robin session but the victory wasn’t enough to qualify for the medal round. Jones finished in a three-way tie with Great Britain’s Eve Muirhead and Japan’s Satsuki Fujisawa for the final two spots in the semifinals with identical 5-4 records. Head-to-head solved nothing as they were all 1-1 against each other, so it came down to the draw shot challenge, based on the pre-game shootout scores to determine who starts with the hammer. Great Britain (35.27 cm average, eight overall) and Japan (36.00 cm average, ninth overall) advanced while Canada (45.44 cm average, 10th overall) was eliminated.
Canada’s draw shot challenge was poor all week and not just in women’s play with the mixed doubles team of Rachel Homan and John Morris also finishing last and Gushue ranking sixth out of 10 men’s teams. Whether it’s something Canadian teams aren’t practising enough or something else should be looked into.
Sixth End: Although the draw shot challenge is the official reason Canada was eliminated, the team also lost in a shocking upset to host China in a game where they were the favourite. Canada trailed early, came back and held the hammer in the extra end but gave up a steal. Credit to China as well as they had been playing the role of the spoiler during the week with wins over Sweden, South Korea and Great Britain.
Canada’s other three losses were against teams that qualified: Sweden, Switzerland and Japan. Sweden is the defending Olympic gold medallist with Japan earning bronze in 2018 while Switzerland is the two-time reigning world champion. All of those events mentioned saw Canada miss the podium and were completely different Canadian teams, too. The parity on the international stage in women’s curling is at its greatest point when you also consider South Korea (2018 Olympic silver medallists), the United States (2021 world bronze medallists) and ROC (2021 world silver medallists) were also in the field and missed out on the medal round, too.
Seventh End: You cannot fault Curling Canada for sending the “wrong” women’s team or not sending the “best” women’s team. Jones won the Olympic trials tournament fair and square back in November. Besides, there’s no guarantee another team would have done any better or worse. Like with the mixed doubles, where Canada lost to Italy by mere millimetres on a measure, we’re now talking about an average of 10 centimetres or less with Jones eliminated on bad luck of the draw.
Eighth End: Switzerland will face Japan and Sweden will play Great Britain in the women’s semifinals. Silvana Tirinzoni (8-1) finished first with just one loss to Anna Hasselborg and enters the semifinal as a -286 favourite. Tirinzoni just doubled up on Satsuki Fujisawa 8-4 in the last round-robin session with an 11-2 all-time head-to-head record according to CurlingZone.
Hasselborg (7-2) is the favourite over Muirhead at a -143 chalk. It’s an even 19-19 on the all-time head-to-head record for Hasselborg and Muirhead, according to CurlingZone, although Muirhead has won their last three meetings including an 8-2 rout in the round-robin. Sweden, which started this week at 2-2, has now won five straight games.
All odds courtesy of Coolbet.
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Did Corey LaJoie help or hurt his chances for a premier ride? | Fast Thoughts with Bob Pockrass
Which trend would hold? The Denver Nuggets remaining undefeated at home in the playoffs or the underdog Miami Heat being the team that won’t die?
That was the question as the NBA Finals teed up Game 2 on Sunday in Denver, after the Nuggets won comfortably in Game 1.
There were plenty of other subplots: would the Heat figure out how to at least make something difficult for Nuggets star Nikola Jokic? Would Jimmy Butler return to ‘playoff Jimmy’ form? Would the Heat role players show up? Would Jamal Murray keep doing his convincing Steph Curry impression?
Well, Miami won 111-108 as Jokic finished with 41 points on 16-of-28 shooting but was limited to just four assists as the Heat were more judicious in their double teams and took away easy passing lanes.
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Butler didn’t exactly tear it up for most of the game, but he was a willing playmaker, helping find looks for his teammates. In the fourth quarter, he looked for his own offence more as he scored eight of his 21 points down the stretch while adding nine assists.
Meanwhile, Murray looked relatively ordinary as the Canadian’s streak of 25 points or more in the post-season ended at six games as he finished with 18 points and 10 assists. He did hit big three as part of the Nuggets’ 11-2 run late in the fourth that helped Denver turn a 12-point Miami lead to a one-possession game, but Murray missed a long three on the final possession that would have sent the game into overtime.
The Nuggets take the series to Miami for Game 3 on Wednesday after losing at home for the first time in 10 playoff starts, the series evened at 1-1.
Some takeaways.
Would Playoff Jimmy please stand up?
Butler has alternately looked like the best player in the world during these playoffs — he averaged 37.6 points a game in Miami’s five-game upset of the No. 1 seed Milwaukee Bucks in the first round — and just a guy.
A pretty good guy, but a long way from the second coming of Kobe Bryant.
Heading into Game 2, Butler – who scored just 13 points on 14 shots in the opener – was averaging just 20.7 points on 39-per-cent shooting over his previous six starts this post-season.
Not surprisingly, the Heat were just 2-4 over that stretch.
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There were no signs Butler was going to change course in the early going. On possession after possession, the Nuggets would funnel Butler to the baseline, content to take their chances with him dribbling through the paint without even looking at the rim.
Normally it’s a compliment to say a player of Butler’s calibre wasn’t forcing anything, but not in this case as the Heat likely would have been happy to their star try to put his imprint on the game. Instead, when Butler hit traffic he’d make a harmless pass to the corner, the Nuggets would rotate and not much would happen.
It wasn’t like Butler was a non-factor: he finished the first half with 11 points on 4-of-9 shooting to go along with four assists, but in my view the Heat need Butler to be creating offense for himself if they’re going to keep up with the Nuggets juggernaut.
In the third quarter with the game separated by a three-point field goal, Butler got out on a break but fumbled the ball away when chased down by Kentavious Caldwell-Pope. It’s just one play but not one that Butler would have made a month ago.
But Butler began to heat up in the fourth as a three and a three-point play gave the Heat a six-point lead that they stretched to 12. The Heat hung on from there.
The great undrafted
The collection of undrafted role players the Heat have come to rely on to round out their lineup in support of Butler and Bam Adebayo came to play.
Miami jumped out to a 10-2 lead as Max Strus – 0-of-10 from three in Game 1 – hit a pair of quick triples early, taking advantage of some lax Nuggets defence.
Meanwhile, Gabe Vincent hit a pair of jumpers and showed why he’s been the right choice by Heat head coach Erik Spoelstra to supplant Kyle Lowry as a starter.
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As the Nuggets chipped into Miami’s lead and then threatened to run away with things in the second quarter, it was Vincent who kept the Heat in touch after Denver cut the lead to three by the end of the first quarter and pushed in front by double figures in the second. Vincent hit a big three that kept the Nuggets’ lead at 10 and then a steal and three-point play helped the Heat come back from down 15.
Vincent wasn’t the only Heat role player to find a way to contribute early. Lowry hit a three as did Kevin Love, who started for an ill Caleb Martin.
Strus finished the first half with 14 points and Vincent 12. But the Heat still trailed at half, 57-51.
They didn’t stop there. It was Vincent’s fourth three that gave Miami its first lead in the fourth quarter and by that time Duncan Robinson – another member of the Heat’s undrafted brigade – was making plays too, nailing threes and driving to the rim as well for 10 points in a quick burst.
A Martin triple – his first field goal of the game – with just under four minutes left gave Miami a 12-point lead. In all, 50 of Miami’s points came from undrafted players.
Rocky Mountain Monsters
Jokic and Murray are at their best when playing together and working in concert to create scoring opportunities seemingly at will. Their cat-and-mouse, two-man game is likely the best in the NBA, with Murray doing a reasonable impression of Steph Curry and Jokic playing the role of Draymond Green if the Golden State Warriors centre could shoot better than 40 per cent from three and score 30 points a game at will.
Heading into the series, ESPN.com reported that Murray and Jokic had created 24.5 points per game directly from handoffs and on-ball screens when working in tandem, more than any other duo in the past five years. But each player can lift the team alone, too.
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In the first quarter, it was Jokic turning up the offence as the rest of his teammates were slow to get into the game and it seemed like Miami might put the Nuggets in a deep hole early. He was 5-of-9 in the first quarter – Jokic took just one shot in the first quarter of Game 1 – while the rest of the Nuggets were 5-of-12 and Murray was 0-of-3.
But with Jokic on the bench in the second quarter, Murray began to heat up. In a two-minute stretch early in the second quarter, Murray hit a triple in transition, made a steal and scored a three-point play when he was fouled at the rim on his dunk and then hit an impossible fadeaway jumper over Adebayo at the end of the shot clock to put Denver up 12.
Not a lot of teams even have one player that can reliably raise their game in the post-season. Denver – in a sense – has three: Jokic and Murray together and then each of them on their own.
Murray’s playoff scoring average is 8.5 points more per game than his regular season average, the most of any player with at least 20 post-season games played, per ESPN.com. Second on that list is Jokic, who averages 7.1 points more per game in the playoffs than the regular season.
But give credit to Heat for adjusting. They stayed home on Denver’s shooters, taking away much of Jokic’s playmaking options and turning him into a scorer. By playing so much zone, a lot of Murray and Jokic’s two-man game was minimized — reflected by Murray’s reduced scoring and Jokic’s limited playmaking opportunities.
Random Jokic appreciation
There are almost no words to fully capture how good Jokic is at basketball. Whether he’s the best in the game now (I think so) or will end up one of the best of all time (he’s already on his way) is almost pointless to debate.
But what’s not an argument is how fun he is to watch figure out plays on the fly. In various sequences in the third quarter, he backed down Heat centre Adebayo – a perennial all-defence candidate – eventually winning a protracted, twisty, physical game of one-on-one with a delicate floater at the rim.
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A moment later, he surveyed the floor and calmly drained a triple and why not? He’s shooting 47 per cent from three in the playoffs.
Adebayo then said ‘not again’ and fouled Jokic on an overly aggressive close-out, sending him to the line for three points.
Then Jokic picked up a loose ball just over half, winning a race for it against Vincent, and won another twisty, turny game of one-on-one against a point guard in space, finishing with another floater.
His most prominent skill is passing, but Jokic’s real genius is he can beat you (on offence, at any rate) any way he decides he needs to. He scored in the post with fundamental jump hooks, he scored ambling up the floor going end-to-end as the world’s biggest, slowest, best point guard.
He scored 18 points in the third quarter as Denver started the fourth leading 83-75 and it was a joy to watch.
And some love for Lowry
The former Toronto Raptors star isn’t worth the $28 million the Heat are paying him this season or the $29 million his contract calls for next season, a big reason why it’s widely expected that the Heat will try to use his contract in a blockbuster trade – possibly including Tyler Herro – to add another star this off-season.
But it’s not like Lowry can’t play. He still can make plays that only someone with his combination of hustle and IQ would even think about: plowing into a crowd of Nuggets on a missed free throw to get his hands on the ball, allowing the Heat to score a much-needed three, or an expert pocket pass to Adebayo for a lay-up, or some clutch threes.
Lowry finished with nine points, added three assists and was on the floor and +11 in the fourth quarter.
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