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Cowboys vs. Falcons odds, spread, line, predictions: NFL picks, Week 10 best bets from model on 128-88 run

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The Atlanta Falcons (4-4) have won three of their last four games and will try to continue their road success in Week 10. On Sunday, they’ll visit the Dallas Cowboys (6-2) at AT&T Stadium in Arlington for an NFC matchup. Atlanta has managed to stay afloat without star wide receiver Calvin Ridley, but the Cowboys have one of the NFL‘s most well-rounded offenses and won’t be easy to beat at home.

Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET. Dallas is favored by 8.5 points in the latest Falcons vs. Cowboys odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is 54.5. Before locking in your Cowboys vs. Falcons picks, make sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,600 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 10 of the 2021 season on an incredible 128-88 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

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The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick ’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has simulated Falcons vs. Cowboys 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NFL picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Falcons vs. Cowboys: 

  • Cowboys vs. Falcons spread: Cowboys -8.5
  • Cowboys vs. Falcons over-under: 54.5 
  • Cowboys vs. Falcons money line: DAL -420, ATL +320 
  • ATL: Total has gone over in four of the Falcons’ last five games 
  • DAL: Cowboys are 7-1 against the spread in their previous eight games

Featured Game | Dallas Cowboys vs. Atlanta Falcons

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Why the Falcons can cover

Atlanta is .500 but has been exceptional against the spread on the road. The Falcons are 3-1 against the spread in road games, and only four teams have covered more away from home this year. The Cowboys have had close calls over the last three weekends and could be challenged by a Falcons team gaining momentum.

The Cowboys were upset by the Denver Broncos last week at home, and quarterback Dak Prescott struggled to get going following a one-week layoff caused by a calf injury. Dallas’ wins in the previous two weeks were by six points or fewer and the Cowboys have only notched double-digit wins against teams with losing records. The Falcons lost to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers by 23, but the rest of their road games have been decided by three points or fewer. Cordarrelle Patterson, Kyle Pitts, and others have been more than enough to compete without Calvin Ridley in the fold.

Why Cowboys can cover

The Cowboys were 3-0 against the spread and straight-up at home until their loss to the Broncos. Dallas won two of its previous three home games by at least 21 points, and quarterback Dak Prescott has the tools to dominate the NFL’s sixth-worst scoring defense.

The Cowboys have top-10 passing and rushing attacks in 2021. They rank first in yards per game (434.3), and only two teams can beat their scoring average of 30.1 points. Amari Cooper, CeeDee Lamb, Ezekiel Elliott, and Tony Pollard are capable of breaking games open, and Atlanta might not have enough playmakers to keep up with such a dynamic group of skill players.

How to make Cowboys vs. Falcons picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 58 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s Falcons vs. Cowboys picks at SportsLine.

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So who wins Falcons vs. Cowboys? And which side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Falcons vs. Cowboys spread to jump on Sunday, all from the advanced model that is up over $7,900 on its NFL picks, and find out.





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