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College football picks, games, odds for Week 13: Alabama, Oregon on upset alert in rivalry games

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The final week of the regular season has arrived, which means one thing for upset alerts: Rivalry Week. In these bitter matchups, throw out the record books and expect everything to change as rivals try to ruin seasons. 

Each week, potential upsets are picked based on favorable matchups, context (i.e. location, rivalries, look-ahead games) or just good ol’ fashion gut feel. For maximum effect, a spread of at least three points is required for consideration – the bigger, the better. 

We sincerely hope you followed our picks in Week 12 because they were money. Our upset alerts correctly predicted Colorado to shock Washington and Louisiana to demolish Liberty. Additionally, Nebraska kept things close against Wisconsin and Kansas very nearly upset TCU — it took a field goal at the buzzer to decide the game. 

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Let’s finish the regular season with a bang. 

Important disclaimer: “upset” is defined by the odds, not rankings. 

When: Friday, 12 p.m. ET | Where: Austin, Texas

Latest Odds:

Texas Longhorns
-3

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We’re doing this, Vegas? Texas has completely collapsed since starting 4-1, losing a historic six straight games for the first time since 1956. The Longhorns are fresh off a 31-23 loss against a West Virginia team that sits near the bottom of the conference standings. Granted, KSU quarterback Skylar Thompson could miss the game with an injury. The Wildcats lost three games as Thompson dealt with injuries in the season. But against a Texas team that seems to have quit, take the points. ATS: Kansas State, SU: Kansas State

When: Saturday, 2 p.m. ET | Where: Birmingham, Alabama

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Latest Odds:

UAB Blazers
-13.5

The Blazers lost an emotional game against No. 22 UTSA on a last-second touchdown pass to thwart their chances at a second consecutive Conference USA title. Now, UAB is playing for nothing except pride as the program has won at least two-thirds of their games every year since reinstating football in 2017. Conversely, UTEP can win eight games for the first time since 2005, and it has the kind of explosive offense and suffocating defense that can sneak up on unsuspecting opponents. ATS: UTEP, SU: UAB

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No. 3 Alabama at Auburn

When: Saturday, 3:30 p.m. ET | Where: Auburn, Alabama

Latest Odds:

Alabama Crimson Tide
-19.5

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On paper, the three-score line between the Iron Bowl rivals makes sense. But in the state of Alabama, games aren’t played on paper. The Crimson Tide won their last two SEC games against No. 25 Arkansas and LSU by a combined 13 points, hardly the kind of performances that portend crushing wins over rivals on the road. Granted, Auburn sputtered to a 21-17 loss to South Carolina without quarterback Bo Nix, but expect the Tigers to come out with some juice against the Tide. ATS: Auburn, SU: Alabama

When: Saturday, 3:30 p.m. ET | Where: Eugene, Oregon

Latest Odds:

Oregon Ducks
-7

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The Beavers beat Oregon in Corvallis last season for the first time since 2016 and followed it up with their first bowl season since 2013. Would there be any better story than following that up with a first win in Eugene since 2007? Oregon just suffered an embarrassing 38-7 loss against No. 19 Utah and primed for a letdown spot. Oregon State quarterback Connor Noland and running back B.J. Baylor make for one of the most underrated backfields in college football. The line is too big. ATS: Oregon State, SU: Oregon

When: Saturday, 3 p.m. ET | Where: Las Cruces, New Mexico

Latest Odds:

New Mexico State Aggies
-6.5

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Bizarre reports began circling this week that New Mexico State has already lined up its next head coach — while current head coach Doug Martin still has the job. To the contrary, UMass fired its head coach Walt Bell weeks ago, but hired Don Brown to resurrect the program. So what gets your players more prepared, being coached by an interim or being coached by a dead man walking? Here’s a tiebreaker: UMass actually has an FBS victory this year. NMSU’s only win is over South Carolina State. ATS: UMass, SU: UMass

Which college football picks can you make with confidence in Week 13, and which top College Football Playoff contender gets a huge scare? Visit SportsLine to see which teams will win and cover the spread — all from a proven computer model that has returned almost $3,700 in profit over the past five-plus seasons — and find out.

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How to watch Appalachian State vs. James Madison: NCAA Football live stream info, TV channel, time, game odds

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Who’s Playing

James Madison @ Appalachian State

Current Records: James Madison 2-0; Appalachian State 2-1

What to Know

The James Madison Dukes watched the action from their couches last weekend, but are set to take to the field. James Madison and the Appalachian State Mountaineers will face off in a Sun Belt battle at 3:30 p.m. ET Saturday at Kidd Brewer Stadium. The odds don’t look promising for the Dukes, but the bigger the opponent is, the harder they fall.

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A well-balanced attack led James Madison over the Norfolk State Spartans every single quarter on their way to victory two weeks ago. James Madison claimed a resounding 63-7 win over Norfolk State at home. The game was pretty much decided by the half, when the score had already reached 35 to nothing.

Meanwhile, Appalachian State didn’t have too much breathing room in their contest with the Troy Trojans last week, but they still walked away with a 32-28 victory. Appalachian State QB Chase Brice was slinging it as he passed for two TDs and 279 yards on 34 attempts. Near the top of the highlight reel was Brice’s 53-yard TD bomb to WR Christan Horn in the fourth quarter.

Their wins bumped the Dukes to 2-0 and the Mountaineers to 2-1. Watch the matchup and check back on CBS Sports to find out who keeps up the positive energy and who hits a stumbling block.

How To Watch

  • When: Saturday at 3:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: Kidd Brewer Stadium — Boone, North Carolina
  • TV: ESPN Plus
  • Online streaming: fuboTV (Try for free. Regional restrictions may apply.)
  • Follow: CBS Sports App
  • Ticket Cost: $40.99

Odds

The Mountaineers are a solid 6.5-point favorite against the Dukes, according to the latest college football odds.

The oddsmakers had a good feel for the line for this one, as the game opened with the Mountaineers as a 7.5-point favorite.

Over/Under: -111

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See college football picks for every single game, including this one, from SportsLine’s advanced computer model. Get picks now.

Series History

This is the first time these teams have played each other within the last seven years.



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UTSA vs. Texas Southern: How to watch NCAA Football online, TV channel, live stream info, game time

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Who’s Playing

Texas Southern @ UTSA

Current Records: Texas Southern 1-2; UTSA 1-2

What to Know

The Texas Southern Tigers will take on the UTSA Roadrunners at 3:30 p.m. ET Saturday at Alamodome. Texas Southern isn’t favored, but they just beat the odds in their last game, so don’t count them out.

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The Tigers kept a clean sheet against the Southern University Jaguars last week and took the matchup 24 to nothing. The squad ran away with 21 points in the first half and mostly just sat on those in the second to pick up the victory.

Meanwhile, it was all tied up 17-17 at halftime, but UTSA was not quite the Texas Longhorns’ equal in the second half when they met last week. The Roadrunners suffered a grim 41-20 defeat to the Longhorns. This contest was a close 17-17 at the break, but unfortunately for UTSA it sure didn’t stay that way. A silver lining for them was the play of RB Brenden Brady, who threw one touchdown in addition to punching in one rushing touchdown.

Texas Southern’s win lifted them to 1-2 while UTSA’s loss dropped them down to 1-2. We’ll find out if the Tigers can add another positive mark to their record or if UTSA can shake off the defeat and take the spring out of Texas Southern’s step.

How To Watch

  • When: Saturday at 3:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: Alamodome — San Antonio, Texas
  • TV: STADIUM
  • Follow: CBS Sports App
  • Ticket Cost: $69.00

Odds

The Roadrunners are a big 42-point favorite against the Tigers, according to the latest college football odds.

Bettors have moved against the Roadrunners slightly, as the game opened with the Roadrunners as a 44-point favorite.

Over/Under: -110

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See college football picks for every single game, including this one, from SportsLine’s advanced computer model. Get picks now.

Series History

This is the first time these teams have played each other within the last seven years.



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North Carolina vs. Notre Dame live stream info, TV channel: How to watch NCAA Football on TV, stream online

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Who’s Playing

Notre Dame @ North Carolina

Current Records: Notre Dame 1-2; North Carolina 3-0

What to Know

The North Carolina Tar Heels will be returning home after a two-game road trip. They will take on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish at 3:30 p.m. ET Saturday at Kenan Memorial Stadium after a week off. UNC is expected to win — but not by much — so they will need to come into the game prepared for a fight.

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The Tar Heels beat the Georgia State Panthers 35-28 two weeks ago. Among those leading the charge for UNC was RB Omarion Hampton, who rushed for two TDs and 110 yards on 16 carries. Hampton put himself on the highlight reel with a 58-yard TD scramble in the third quarter.

Meanwhile, Notre Dame netted a 24-17 victory over the California Golden Bears last week. RB Audric Estime and RB Chris Tyree were among the main playmakers for Notre Dame as the former punched in one rushing touchdown and the latter snatched one receiving TD.

Notre Dame’s defense was a presence as well, as it embarrassed California’s offensive line to sack QB Jack Plummer six times for a total loss of 47 yards. It was a group effort with four guys contributing.

The wins brought the Tar Heels up to 3-0 and the Fighting Irish to 1-2. A pair of stats to keep an eye on: UNC enters the matchup with 310 passing yards per game on average, good for 21st best in the nation. But Notre Dame comes into the contest boasting the 34th fewest passing yards allowed per game in the nation at 184. These opposing strengths should make for an exciting matchup.

How To Watch

  • When: Saturday at 3:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: Kenan Memorial Stadium — Chapel Hill, North Carolina
  • TV: ABC
  • Online streaming: fuboTV (Try for free. Regional restrictions may apply.)
  • Follow: CBS Sports App
  • Ticket Cost: $110.00

Odds

The Tar Heels are a slight 2.5-point favorite against the Fighting Irish, according to the latest college football odds.

The line on this game has moved quite a bit since it opened, as it started out with the Fighting Irish as a 1.5-point favorite.

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Over/Under: -110

See college football picks for every single game, including this one, from SportsLine’s advanced computer model. Get picks now.

Series History

Notre Dame have won all of the games they’ve played against North Carolina in the last eight years.

  • Oct 30, 2021 – Notre Dame 44 vs. North Carolina 34
  • Nov 27, 2020 – Notre Dame 31 vs. North Carolina 17
  • Oct 07, 2017 – Notre Dame 33 vs. North Carolina 10



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