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Chiefs at Raiders predictions: Point spread, total, trends, player props for ‘Sunday Night Football’

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We have a pivotal AFC West matchup on deck for us when we put a bow on today’s action in Week 10 when the Kansas City Chiefs head to Las Vegas to face the Raiders for “Sunday Night Football.” The entire division enters this week with five wins on the season, while Kansas City is one game behind the Raiders and Chargers in the loss column for first place. With these teams all bunched up together, every game is going to carry some significant weight, especially when they go head-to-head, so this will certainly be appointment viewing as the playoff picture continues to crystalize. 

In this space, we’ll specifically be looking at the different betting angles that this prime-time matchup has in store for us. We’ll be taking a look at how the lines have shifted throughout the week leading into Sunday night and, of course, give you our picks along with a handful of our favorite player props. 

All NFL odds via Caesars Sportsbook.

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How to watch

Date: Sunday, Nov. 14 | Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
Location: Allegiant Stadium (Las Vegas)
TV:
NBC | Stream: fuboTV (try for free)
Follow: CBS Sports App
Odds: Chiefs -2.5, O/U 52

Line movement

Latest Odds:

Las Vegas Raiders
+2.5

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The spread initially opened at Chiefs -3 but fell below the field goal threshold coming out of Sunday following Kansas City’s win over the Packers and the Raiders’ loss to New York. Now, it sits at Chiefs -2.5 on the eve of this head-to-head. 

The pick: Raiders +2.5. The Raiders laid an egg against the Giants last week, but have been the better club on the season as a whole compared to Kansas City. Entering Week 10, the Chiefs defense is still struggling as it has allowed 6.3 yards per play. That unit will be put to the test Sunday when they face a Raiders offense that is averaging a league-best 7 yards per play over the last three weeks. With the offense rolling, getting 2.5 points with the Raiders at home seems like a solid lean. 

Key trend: The Chiefs are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games.

Which picks can you make with confidence, and which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Visit SportsLine now to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned almost $7,600 since its inception.

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Over/Under total

The early look on this total opened at 54 but took a noticeable drop last Sunday all the way to 51. It has since rebounded some, moving as high as 52.5, and now stands at 52. 

The pick: Over 52. Both of these offenses have the capability of putting up points, and each team will be throwing the kitchen sink out on the field to gain a pivotal win within the division. On the year, these clubs are averaging around 24 points per game. However, the Raiders have averaged nearly 27 points per game at home this season, while Kansas City has been able to find more scoring success on the road with 27.8 points per game away from Arrowhead Stadium. If those trends continue, that’ll get us over this number. 

Key trend: Over is 7-1 in Raiders’ last eight home games.

  • Passing touchdowns: 2.5 (Over +170, Under -210)
  • Passing yards: 285.5 (Over -115, Under -115)
  • Total interceptions: 0.5 (Over -110, Under -120)
  • Completions: 26.5 (Over -105, Under -125)
  • Passing attempts: 37.5 (Over -130, Under +100)
  • Longest passing completion: 35.5 (Over -110, Under -120)
  • Rushing yards: 23.5 (Over -115, Under -115)

This is a game where both quarterbacks will likely be asked to throw the ball a bunch. With the Raiders being a middle-of-the-road secondary (17th pass defense DVOA), I like the over on Mahomes’ 26.5 completions at -105. He’s gone over this total in five of his nine games played this season and the Raiders are allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 66% of their passes over the last three weeks. 

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  • Passing touchdowns: 1.5 (Over -180, Under +150)
  • Passing yards: 289.5 (Over -115, Under -115)
  • Total interceptions: 0.5 (Over -105, Under -125)
  • Completions: 25.5 (Over -120, Under -110)
  • Passing attempts: 36.5 (Over -125, Under -105)
  • Longest passing completion: 38.5 (Over -120, Under -110)
  • Rushing yards: 5.5 (Over -115, Under -115)

Carr has gone over this passing yards prop in his past three games and has gone over it in six of his eight games played on the season. He’ll take that into a game against a Kansas City defense that is allowing 7.8 yards per attempt entering Week 10 (30th in the NFL).

Player props to consider

Hunter Renfrow total receptions: Over 5.5 (-125). Renfrow continues to be a go-to option for Carr in the passing game, as the receiver has gone over this number in two straight games. In what is poised to be a pass-heavy game, Carr will certainly feed Renfrow plenty. 

Mecole Hardman total receiving yards: Over 39.5 (-115). Hardman has gone over this number in three of his last five games and is averaging seven targets per game over that stretch. That volume in the passing game makes this number feel a bit too low.

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Chase Elliott passes Ryan Blaney at Talladega to advance to Round of 8

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Chase Elliott rebounded from Texas to log a victory at Talladega and lock up his spot in NASCAR’s next round. Bob Pockrass has the takeaways.



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Raptors open pre-season with win in front of playoff-worthy Edmonton crowd

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Edmonton – They like them. They really like them.

After a week spent in Western Canada – first in Victoria where the Toronto Raptors held training camp and now in Alberta where they hosted the Utah Jazz in their first exhibition game Sunday evening – it’s safe to say the enthusiasm for Canada’s lone NBA team extends well beyond the boundaries of the GTA or Southern Ontario.

This isn’t breaking news – exploding TV ratings and the proliferation of Jurassic Parks across the country during the Raptors’ championship run in 2019 made the case pretty convincing.

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But it’s still interesting to get a flavour of it in person. The crowd at the intrasquad scrimmage in Victoria was as loud and enthusiastic as possible for the type of event it was – a live practice with a bit of goodwill and community building baked in.

In Edmonton, Rogers Place was jammed to the rafters, and it seemed like everyone in the building was wearing official team merchandise. A playoff worthy ‘let’s go Raptors’ chant broke out before the ball went up and every Raptors basket from the opening tip to the final horn was greeted like it meant something.

“It is always a great reception,” said Raptors head coach Nick Nurse on Sunday.

“That place couldn’t have been any more full for an intrasquad game out in Victoria the other day … normally for these [Canadian exhibition] games the reception is great, the crowd is into it. It’s their one chance to see some of the home talent in their home area. They usually bring it. It’s cool because there are a lot of pre-season games you have zero energy, almost tipping toward negative energy in some of those games. We don’t have to go through that. It’s fun. … I think it’s great for basketball in Canada as well.”

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What to glean from what turned out to be a 114-82 blowout?

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Well, not all that much. Nurse had said beforehand that the game would be light on minutes for starters and heavy on opportunities for those in the middle of his rotation.

The starters turned it over a lot and looked a little rusty – Pascal Siakam was 1-of-6 in the first quarter with four giveaways all on his own. But Scottie Barnes looks like he’s ready to pick up where his rookie-of-the-year season left off as he had eight points, five rebounds, three assists and two steals in 17:31 of floor time.

Precious Achiuwa looked quick off the dribble, and calm and collected in transition, suggesting he’s not about to regress to the early-season awkwardness he started with early last season. He led all Raptors scorers in the first half with 10.

But there was little for the established players to prove. More interesting was what was going on elsewhere on the roster.

“You could sit here and say a Wednesday practice at training camp is very low stakes,” said Nurse. “But when you’re fighting for position or fighting for rotation minutes, you’ve got to play well. You’ve got to play hard, and you’ve got to play well.

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“… We’ll see what translates from practice to the game floor. It’s the same things I always say: First and foremost are you going to give great effort? Are you going to compete? Are you going to play winning basketball? Are you going to do the schemes right? Are you going to fill a role? The list is pretty long, but those would be some broad-stroke ideas that would be helpful to guys to make the team.”

Early in the second quarter Raptors fans got their first glimpse of rookie big man Christian Koloko.

The seven-footer from Cameroon made a few nice plays: finishing off a clever pass from Siakam for his first bucket and looking comfortable shooting from the baseline on another, though the ball didn’t drop. He got to the free-throw line after making an adventurous drive to the rim from the perimeter, though only made 1-of-2 shots there. His highlight was a putback dunk off an Achiuwa lay-up late in the first half that sparked the Rogers Place crowd.

More interesting was that defensively – which will be his ticket to a steady role in the NBA – he was directing traffic, communicating, and consistently engaged. He looked comfortable guarding pick-and-roll actions on the perimeter as well.

“He’s handled things very well. He falls into the category of ‘you just don’t see him making very many mistakes’,” said Nurse. “He’ll block a shot, he’ll get a tip in, he’ll move the ball, he’ll get an extra possession with an offensive rebound; those things all add up and there’s not a whole lot of takeaways from what he does or things that take away from the team.

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“So to me, he’s looked very good, very solid, a guy we can use for sure.”

The Raptors led 50-49 at the half, setting the stage for a 31-point runaway in the second half.  But by then Nurse was committed to seeing new faces and combinations. Siakam, Fred VanVleet, and OG Anunoby were all done for the night. In their place, alongside Barnes and Gary Trent Jr., were Chris Boucher, Khem Birch, and Juancho Hernangomez. They pushed the lead to 12 before Barnes and Trent Jr. sat down in place of Malachi Flynn and Dalano Banton.

It would seem there is a path to some steady playing time for either one of Flynn or Banton, with the Raptors’ stated goal of cutting back on VanVleet’s minutes, especially since another stated goal is for Toronto to get to the rim more this season.

Flynn in particular is at a stage where he has to prove his worth as he heads into his third season. He opened some eyes in the summer as he put up some hard-to-miss stat lines in some pro-am games, including a 73-point outing in a game this July in a Seattle game hosted by Jamal Crawford.

“I just feel good,” said Flynn. “I put work in in the summer. So just going off of that. Just ready to compete and have a good year.”

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It looked like his night might be cut short when he briefly had to leave the floor after taking a hard knock to the side of the head from Jazz guard Colin Sexton. He was fine in the end and ended up chipping in eight points in the second-half route.

Banton was in good form too, as he galloped through the open court for nine points, three rebounds and two steals. The bench – even the deepest corners of it – overwhelmed the Jazz. Toronto took an 82-64 lead into the fourth quarter and was lifted to the finish line by the energy of the ‘home’ crowd whose enthusiasm never wavered.

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Ross Chastain after his fourth place finish at Talladega

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Ross Chastain after finishing fourth: “My stomach hurts just from agonizing in the car over the wreck that I knew was going to happen. It was incredible we all made it.”



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