Mike Tomlin and the Pittsburgh Steelers (5-3-1) play Brandon Staley and the Los Angeles Chargers (5-4) on Sunday Night Football. Both teams are looking to be victorious in this Week 11 matchup and keep pace within their divisions. The Steelers were without starting quarterback Ben Roethlisberger (Reserve/COVID-19 list) against the Detroit Lions last week and Pittsburgh’s game against Detroit ended in a 16-16 tie. Los Angeles dropped its matchup against the Minnesota Vikings 27-20.

Kickoff from SoFi Stadium is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. Los Angeles is favored by six points in the latest Chargers vs. Steelers odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under is 47.5. Before locking in your Steelers vs. Chargers picks, be sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model. 

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,500 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 11 of the 2021 season on an incredible 128-89 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has simulated Steelers vs. Chargers 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NFL picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s Chargers vs. Steelers picks. Here are several NFL odds and SNF betting lines for Steelers vs. Chargers:

• Chargers vs. Steelers spread: Los Angeles -6
• Chargers vs. Steelers over-under: 47.5 points 
• Chargers vs. Steelers money line: Los Angeles -270, Pittsburgh +220 
• LAC: Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss 
• PIT: Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings

Why the Chargers can cover

Running back Austin Ekeler is a reliable dual-threat weapon coming out for the backfield. He leads the team with 112 carries for 523 yards and five touchdowns. Ekeler is also third on the squad with 39 receptions for 340 yards with four receiving touchdowns. The West Colorado product averages 4.7 yards per rush and 8.7 yards per reception.

Ekeler has gone over 100 scrimmage yards in five games this season, including four straight from Weeks 2-5. In Week 5 against the Cleveland Browns, Ekeler had 17 carries for 66 yards and two scores. He also racked up five receptions for 53 yards and another score. The week prior against the Las Vegas Raiders, he finished with a season-high 117 rushing yards and a score. 

Why the Steelers can cover

Rookie Najee Harris is an all-purpose back for Pittsburgh. The Alabama product is second in the league in carries (176) and sixth in rushing yards (646). Harris is also the third leading pass-catcher for the Steelers with 44 receptions for 317 yards. The 2021 first-round pick has scored six total touchdowns.

Diontae Johnson leads Pittsburgh with 52 receptions for 613 yards and three touchdowns. The Toledo product has constantly made big plays for the Steelers’ offense with nine passes of 20-plus yards downfield. Johnson averages a team-high 76.6 receiving yards per game and has seen double-digit targets six times this year. 

How to make Chargers vs. Steelers picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 46 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s Steelers vs. Chargers picks at SportsLine. 

So who wins Steelers vs. Chargers on Sunday Night Football? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Steelers vs. Chargers spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up over $7,500 on its NFL picks, and find out.