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Bears at Lions predictions: Point spread, total, player props, trends for Thanksgiving opener in Week 12

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The Detroit Lions and Chicago Bears will get our three-game Thanksgiving slate rolling as these NFC North rivals go head-to-head from Ford Field. Both of these clubs are coming off losses in Week 11. For Detroit, they are still winless on the season at 0-9-1 and were without starting quarterback Jared Goff for their previous matchup with Cleveland due to an oblique injury. He has a chance to play Thursday, but if he’s unable to go, it’ll be Tim Boyle under center. Meanwhile, the Bears will be without rookie phenom Justin Fields after he suffered a rib injury in Sunday’s loss to the Ravens, meaning veteran Andy Dalton will get the nod

Below, we’ll specifically be looking at the different betting angles that this holiday matchup has in store for us. We’ll be taking a look at how the lines have moved throughout the week leading into Thursday and, of course, give you our picks for this game along with a handful of our favorite player props. 

All NFL odds via Caesars Sportsbook.

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How to watch

Date: Thursday, Nov. 25 | Time: 12:30 p.m. ET
Location: Ford Field (Detroit)
TV:
FOX | Stream: fuboTV (try for free)
Follow: CBS Sports App
Odds: Bears -3, O/U 41.5

Line movement

Latest Odds:

Detroit Lions
+3

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This spread originally had the Bears as a field-goal favorite over Detroit and briefly moved to Bears -3.5 on Monday before slotting back down to its opening number. 

The pick: Bears -3. Andy Dalton is more than capable of managing this Bears offense against a Lions defense that ranks 28th in the NFL in DVOA. So long as Dalton stays mistake-free, the defense should be able to negate either Tim Boyle or a hobbled Jared Goff in this matchup. Meanwhile, the Lions have largely been poor against the run this season and Chicago will roll out running back David Montgomery, who rushed for over 100 yards and two touchdowns against this team earlier this year. A defensive, ball-controlled win could be in order for the Bears here. 

Key trend: Bears are 4-1 ATS vs. teams with a losing record.

Over/Under total

The total for this game has taken a significant drop after opening at 45 prior to Week 11. In the aftermath of Justin Fields’ rib injury, this number has fallen all the way to 41.5. 

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The pick: Under 41.5. This is a very low number, but it’s hard to see these clubs lighting up the scoreboard Thursday. On the season, the Bears (16.3) and Lions (16) rank 29th and 30th in the NFL in points per game, respectfully. For the Bears, they’ve been an even worse offense on the road, averaging just 14 points per game (31st in the NFL). When taking those numbers into account along with the fact that both of these teams could be starting backups, it’s hard to not lean towards the under. 

Key trend: Over is 7-2 in Bears’ last nine overall games.

Player props to consider

David Montgomery total rushing yards: Over 77.5 (-115). Detroit is one of the worst run defenses in the NFL, averaging 140.5 yards per game on the ground. Those numbers are even worse when you look at the Lions’ last three games (188.3 yards rushing per game). This sets up Montgomery nicely to have a breakout performance since coming back from injured reserve. 

D’Andre Swift total receiving yards: Over 33.5 (-120). Swift has been a monster on the ground the past two weeks, averaging 133 yards rushing. That could be partially why his production in the passing game has faltered a bit. However, I expect him to get back into that role Thursday and go over a receiving yards prop that he’s eclipsed six times this season already. Last week, this Bears defense allowed Devonta Freeman to catch all six of his targets for 31 yards, and Swift is a much more lethal receiver at this stage in his career. 

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Analyst Names 1 Key Player In Raptors’ Pursuit Of Damian Lillard

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(Photo by Steph Chambers/Getty Images)

 

The Portland Trail Blazers continue to look for the best trade offer they can get for Damian Lillard, and with multiple teams jumping on board, it seems like the Miami Heat are no longer a lock to get him.

The latest reports show that the Toronto Raptors are heavily involved and interested in getting him to Canada, regardless of Lillard’s desire to play in South Florida’s warm weather.

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With that in mind, NBA insider Danny Marang reports that Masai Ujiri and the Raptors won’t even consider trading former Rookie of the Year Scottie Barnes to get Lillard (via Dru).

Instead, it’ll all depend on whether they’re willing to include O.G. Anunoby in the transaction, even if the Blazers don’t want to keep him and look to move him to another team instead.

Truth be told, it’s hard to think that Lillard would want to play for the Raptors.

The reason he wants to leave Portland is because they don’t have a championship-caliber team, and things wouldn’t be that much different up north.

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Pascal Siakam is entering the final year of his contract and seems unlikely to extend his stay in Canada, and Barnes regressed vastly last season.

They lost some depth and could be even more undermanned if they also part ways with Anunoby, who’s obviously going to be instrumental in getting Lillard in the first place.

At the end of the day, though, Lillard doesn’t have a say in where he’s traded to, and the Blazers will only take the best offer, regardless of how he feels.

The post Analyst Names 1 Key Player In Raptors’ Pursuit Of Damian Lillard appeared first on The Cold Wire.





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Steve Kerr Says He’s ‘Excited’ About 1 Warriors Player

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(Photo by Matthew Stockman/Getty Images)

 

The Golden State Warriors have had to give up on almost every single one of their youngsters.

They parted ways with James Wiseman and recently traded Jordan Poole.

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Still, they held onto Jonathan Kuminga, who has shown flashes of outstanding two-way play but has struggled to find consistent playing time, especially last season.

That might not be the case next year, as coach Steve Kerr recently raved about him, stating that he’s had a very positive summer and that all the coaches have given him rave reviews throughout the course of the offseason (Via 95.7 The Game).

Kuminga is an elite athlete and his defensive potential is through the roof.

He’s strong, physical, and can finish through contact, and while his shot is a work in progress, he has shown the ability to consistently knock down shots from mid range.

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Some analysts believe he’s in for a breakout season, granted that he’s likely to have Chris Paul running the second unit.

Paul has always been wonderful for young players on the verge of a breakout, and he’ll give him the ball in the spots he needs them to be more efficient.

Kuminga has reportedly been frustrated with his lack of playing time and there were even some rumors of a potential desire to be traded.

Also, there were reports of him not seeing eye-to-eye with Draymond Green.

But he’s still quite young, and while the Warriors don’t usually favor young players or player development, this might finally be his year.

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Analyst Says Joel Embiid Should Focus On 1 Team Ahead Of 2024 Olympics

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Philadelphia 76ers star Joel Embiid has a little less than two weeks to make up his mind about playing for France in the upcoming Olympics.

The French set an October 10th deadline for the star big man, who could also choose to play for Cameroon or the United States.

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However, NBA analyst Justin Termine believes Embiid shouldn’t even consider playing for any of those teams next summer, and he should focus solely on the Philadelphia 76ers instead (via SiriusXM NBA Radio).

Termine explained that Embiid isn’t going to be able to hold up for an entire season after playing in the Olympics, saying that he’s got the body of a 33-year-old player despite being 29 years old, and pointing out the fact that he’s never played 70 games in a season.

He stated that the Sixers organization, Daryl Morey, and everybody around him should be quite emphatic about this, urging him to stay focused on his NBA career.

Termine also pointed out that Embiid is often worn out and far from his best come playoff time, which is also a fact.

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Truth be told, Embiid would be a prime addition to every team’s roster, even if the French team might not need him as much as Cameroon or Team USA.

The reigning MVP could be replaced by Rudy Gobert or Victor Wembanyama, but there’s simply no way to fill in for him in Philadelphia.

Everybody wants to play in the Olympics, but Embiid’s injury history and proneness could force him to make an uncomfortable decision.

The post Analyst Says Joel Embiid Should Focus On 1 Team Ahead Of 2024 Olympics appeared first on The Cold Wire.





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