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Bears at Lions predictions: Point spread, total, player props, trends for Thanksgiving opener in Week 12

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The Detroit Lions and Chicago Bears will get our three-game Thanksgiving slate rolling as these NFC North rivals go head-to-head from Ford Field. Both of these clubs are coming off losses in Week 11. For Detroit, they are still winless on the season at 0-9-1 and were without starting quarterback Jared Goff for their previous matchup with Cleveland due to an oblique injury. He has a chance to play Thursday, but if he’s unable to go, it’ll be Tim Boyle under center. Meanwhile, the Bears will be without rookie phenom Justin Fields after he suffered a rib injury in Sunday’s loss to the Ravens, meaning veteran Andy Dalton will get the nod

Below, we’ll specifically be looking at the different betting angles that this holiday matchup has in store for us. We’ll be taking a look at how the lines have moved throughout the week leading into Thursday and, of course, give you our picks for this game along with a handful of our favorite player props. 

All NFL odds via Caesars Sportsbook.

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How to watch

Date: Thursday, Nov. 25 | Time: 12:30 p.m. ET
Location: Ford Field (Detroit)
TV:
FOX | Stream: fuboTV (try for free)
Follow: CBS Sports App
Odds: Bears -3, O/U 41.5

Line movement

Latest Odds:

Detroit Lions
+3

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This spread originally had the Bears as a field-goal favorite over Detroit and briefly moved to Bears -3.5 on Monday before slotting back down to its opening number. 

The pick: Bears -3. Andy Dalton is more than capable of managing this Bears offense against a Lions defense that ranks 28th in the NFL in DVOA. So long as Dalton stays mistake-free, the defense should be able to negate either Tim Boyle or a hobbled Jared Goff in this matchup. Meanwhile, the Lions have largely been poor against the run this season and Chicago will roll out running back David Montgomery, who rushed for over 100 yards and two touchdowns against this team earlier this year. A defensive, ball-controlled win could be in order for the Bears here. 

Key trend: Bears are 4-1 ATS vs. teams with a losing record.

Over/Under total

The total for this game has taken a significant drop after opening at 45 prior to Week 11. In the aftermath of Justin Fields’ rib injury, this number has fallen all the way to 41.5. 

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The pick: Under 41.5. This is a very low number, but it’s hard to see these clubs lighting up the scoreboard Thursday. On the season, the Bears (16.3) and Lions (16) rank 29th and 30th in the NFL in points per game, respectfully. For the Bears, they’ve been an even worse offense on the road, averaging just 14 points per game (31st in the NFL). When taking those numbers into account along with the fact that both of these teams could be starting backups, it’s hard to not lean towards the under. 

Key trend: Over is 7-2 in Bears’ last nine overall games.

Player props to consider

David Montgomery total rushing yards: Over 77.5 (-115). Detroit is one of the worst run defenses in the NFL, averaging 140.5 yards per game on the ground. Those numbers are even worse when you look at the Lions’ last three games (188.3 yards rushing per game). This sets up Montgomery nicely to have a breakout performance since coming back from injured reserve. 

D’Andre Swift total receiving yards: Over 33.5 (-120). Swift has been a monster on the ground the past two weeks, averaging 133 yards rushing. That could be partially why his production in the passing game has faltered a bit. However, I expect him to get back into that role Thursday and go over a receiving yards prop that he’s eclipsed six times this season already. Last week, this Bears defense allowed Devonta Freeman to catch all six of his targets for 31 yards, and Swift is a much more lethal receiver at this stage in his career. 

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How to watch Appalachian State vs. James Madison: NCAA Football live stream info, TV channel, time, game odds

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Who’s Playing

James Madison @ Appalachian State

Current Records: James Madison 2-0; Appalachian State 2-1

What to Know

The James Madison Dukes watched the action from their couches last weekend, but are set to take to the field. James Madison and the Appalachian State Mountaineers will face off in a Sun Belt battle at 3:30 p.m. ET Saturday at Kidd Brewer Stadium. The odds don’t look promising for the Dukes, but the bigger the opponent is, the harder they fall.

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A well-balanced attack led James Madison over the Norfolk State Spartans every single quarter on their way to victory two weeks ago. James Madison claimed a resounding 63-7 win over Norfolk State at home. The game was pretty much decided by the half, when the score had already reached 35 to nothing.

Meanwhile, Appalachian State didn’t have too much breathing room in their contest with the Troy Trojans last week, but they still walked away with a 32-28 victory. Appalachian State QB Chase Brice was slinging it as he passed for two TDs and 279 yards on 34 attempts. Near the top of the highlight reel was Brice’s 53-yard TD bomb to WR Christan Horn in the fourth quarter.

Their wins bumped the Dukes to 2-0 and the Mountaineers to 2-1. Watch the matchup and check back on CBS Sports to find out who keeps up the positive energy and who hits a stumbling block.

How To Watch

  • When: Saturday at 3:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: Kidd Brewer Stadium — Boone, North Carolina
  • TV: ESPN Plus
  • Online streaming: fuboTV (Try for free. Regional restrictions may apply.)
  • Follow: CBS Sports App
  • Ticket Cost: $40.99

Odds

The Mountaineers are a solid 6.5-point favorite against the Dukes, according to the latest college football odds.

The oddsmakers had a good feel for the line for this one, as the game opened with the Mountaineers as a 7.5-point favorite.

Over/Under: -111

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See college football picks for every single game, including this one, from SportsLine’s advanced computer model. Get picks now.

Series History

This is the first time these teams have played each other within the last seven years.



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UTSA vs. Texas Southern: How to watch NCAA Football online, TV channel, live stream info, game time

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Who’s Playing

Texas Southern @ UTSA

Current Records: Texas Southern 1-2; UTSA 1-2

What to Know

The Texas Southern Tigers will take on the UTSA Roadrunners at 3:30 p.m. ET Saturday at Alamodome. Texas Southern isn’t favored, but they just beat the odds in their last game, so don’t count them out.

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The Tigers kept a clean sheet against the Southern University Jaguars last week and took the matchup 24 to nothing. The squad ran away with 21 points in the first half and mostly just sat on those in the second to pick up the victory.

Meanwhile, it was all tied up 17-17 at halftime, but UTSA was not quite the Texas Longhorns’ equal in the second half when they met last week. The Roadrunners suffered a grim 41-20 defeat to the Longhorns. This contest was a close 17-17 at the break, but unfortunately for UTSA it sure didn’t stay that way. A silver lining for them was the play of RB Brenden Brady, who threw one touchdown in addition to punching in one rushing touchdown.

Texas Southern’s win lifted them to 1-2 while UTSA’s loss dropped them down to 1-2. We’ll find out if the Tigers can add another positive mark to their record or if UTSA can shake off the defeat and take the spring out of Texas Southern’s step.

How To Watch

  • When: Saturday at 3:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: Alamodome — San Antonio, Texas
  • TV: STADIUM
  • Follow: CBS Sports App
  • Ticket Cost: $69.00

Odds

The Roadrunners are a big 42-point favorite against the Tigers, according to the latest college football odds.

Bettors have moved against the Roadrunners slightly, as the game opened with the Roadrunners as a 44-point favorite.

Over/Under: -110

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See college football picks for every single game, including this one, from SportsLine’s advanced computer model. Get picks now.

Series History

This is the first time these teams have played each other within the last seven years.



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North Carolina vs. Notre Dame live stream info, TV channel: How to watch NCAA Football on TV, stream online

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Who’s Playing

Notre Dame @ North Carolina

Current Records: Notre Dame 1-2; North Carolina 3-0

What to Know

The North Carolina Tar Heels will be returning home after a two-game road trip. They will take on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish at 3:30 p.m. ET Saturday at Kenan Memorial Stadium after a week off. UNC is expected to win — but not by much — so they will need to come into the game prepared for a fight.

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The Tar Heels beat the Georgia State Panthers 35-28 two weeks ago. Among those leading the charge for UNC was RB Omarion Hampton, who rushed for two TDs and 110 yards on 16 carries. Hampton put himself on the highlight reel with a 58-yard TD scramble in the third quarter.

Meanwhile, Notre Dame netted a 24-17 victory over the California Golden Bears last week. RB Audric Estime and RB Chris Tyree were among the main playmakers for Notre Dame as the former punched in one rushing touchdown and the latter snatched one receiving TD.

Notre Dame’s defense was a presence as well, as it embarrassed California’s offensive line to sack QB Jack Plummer six times for a total loss of 47 yards. It was a group effort with four guys contributing.

The wins brought the Tar Heels up to 3-0 and the Fighting Irish to 1-2. A pair of stats to keep an eye on: UNC enters the matchup with 310 passing yards per game on average, good for 21st best in the nation. But Notre Dame comes into the contest boasting the 34th fewest passing yards allowed per game in the nation at 184. These opposing strengths should make for an exciting matchup.

How To Watch

  • When: Saturday at 3:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: Kenan Memorial Stadium — Chapel Hill, North Carolina
  • TV: ABC
  • Online streaming: fuboTV (Try for free. Regional restrictions may apply.)
  • Follow: CBS Sports App
  • Ticket Cost: $110.00

Odds

The Tar Heels are a slight 2.5-point favorite against the Fighting Irish, according to the latest college football odds.

The line on this game has moved quite a bit since it opened, as it started out with the Fighting Irish as a 1.5-point favorite.

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Over/Under: -110

See college football picks for every single game, including this one, from SportsLine’s advanced computer model. Get picks now.

Series History

Notre Dame have won all of the games they’ve played against North Carolina in the last eight years.

  • Oct 30, 2021 – Notre Dame 44 vs. North Carolina 34
  • Nov 27, 2020 – Notre Dame 31 vs. North Carolina 17
  • Oct 07, 2017 – Notre Dame 33 vs. North Carolina 10



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