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2021 Houston Open odds, field: Surprising PGA picks, predictions from model that’s called seven majors

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The 2021-22 PGA Tour wraparound season is already several weeks in and we’ve already seen some huge stars like Rory McIlroy, Hideki Matsuyama and Viktor Hovland capture victories. On Thursday, a star-studded field will descend upon Memorial Park Golf Course in Texas for the 2021 Houston Open. The Houston Open field will include a handful of past major champions like Shane Lowry, Adam Scott, Patrick Reed and Gary Woodland.

However, it’s Sam Burns who is listed as the 16-1 favorite in the latest 2021 Houston Open odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Burns has two PGA Tour victories in his career and currently sits atop the FedEx Cup standings entering this week’s event. Other 2021 Houston Open contenders include Scottie Scheffler (18-1), Sungjae Im (22-1), Cameron Smith (25-1), Tony Finau (25-1) and Matthew Wolff (25-1). Before locking in your 2021 Houston Open picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed last June. In fact, it’s up almost $10,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

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Last week at the 2021 World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba, the model was all over Viktor Hovland (18-1) winning his third PGA Tour title. 

At the 2021 Open Championship, McClure’s best bets included Collin Morikawa winning outright even though he was listed as a massive 40-1 long shot. He was also all over Daniel Berger (+220) and Emiliano Grillo (+700) finishing inside the top-20. McClure’s best bets netted over $2,200 at the 2021 Open Championship.

In addition, McClure’s model was all over Jon Rahm’s (10-1) first career major championship victory at the 2021 U.S. Open. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner. And at the 2021 Masters, McClure nailed Rahm’s (+250) top-five finish in his best bets, as well as Corey Conners’ (+550) top-10 showing.  

This same model has also nailed a whopping seven majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Now that the 2021 Houston Open field is locked, SportsLine simulated the event 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected 2021 Houston Open leaderboard.

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The model’s top 2021 Houston Open predictions 

One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2021 Houston Open: Sungjae Im, a two-time PGA Tour champion and one of the top favorites, stumbles this week and barely cracks the top 10. The 23-year-old is off to a strong start this season, winning the Shriners Children’s Open and securing a top-10 finish at the CJ Cup. 

However, Im struggled mightily at the Houston Open in 2020, finishing T-50 after shooting three-over par. Plus, Im has been extremely inconsistent with his putter this season, entering this week’s tournament ranked 176th in total putting (262.7) and 106th in one-putt percentage (42.13). His inability to drain putts, coupled with his ineffectiveness at Memorial Park Golf Course doesn’t bode well for his chances to finish on top of the leaderboard this week. He’s not a strong pick to win it all and there are far better values in the Houston Open 2021 field.

Another surprise: Brooks Koepka, a 30-1 long shot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday.

The four-time major champion and eight-time winner on the PGA Tour has slipped to No. 15 in the Official World Golf Ranking after battling some knee issues recently, However, he was victorious at the Waste Management Phoenix Open in February and finished inside the top-six in three different major championships last season. And while he hasn’t been playing great since the 2021-22 season started, he has had some success in this event.

In fact, Koepka recorded a top-five finish at the Houston Open in 2020, shooting back-to-back 65s on the weekend. His proven ability to score well at Memorial Park, plus his long odds, makes him a strong value pick for 2021 Houston Open bets this week. 

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How to make 2021 Houston Open picks

The model is also targeting three other golfers with odds longer than 28-1 who will make surprising runs. Anyone who backs these long shots could hit it big. You can only see them here.

So who will win the Houston Open 2021? And which long shots stun the golfing world? Check out the odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2021 Houston Open leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed seven golf majors and is up almost $10,000 since the restart.

2021 Houston Open odds

Sam Burns 16-1
Scottie Scheffler 18-1
Sungjae Im 22-1
Cameron Smith 25-1
Matthew Wolff 25-1
Tony Finau 25-1
Tyrrell Hatton 28-1
Talor Gooch 30-1
Joaquin Niemann 30-1
Brooks Koepka 30-1
Patrick Reed 33-1
Carlos Ortiz 33-1
Adam Scott 33-1
Aaron Wise 33-1
Marc Leishman 25-1
Maverick McNealy 40-1
Russell Henley 45-1
Shane Lowry 45-1
Cameron Tringale 45-1
Max Homa 45-1
Mackenzie Hughes 50-1
Christiaan Bezuidenhout 50-1
Seamus Power 50-1
Lanto Griffin 50-1
Jason Kokrak 50-1
Harold Varner 55-1
Erik Van Rooyen 60-1
Mito Pereira 60-1
Branden Grace 66-1
Sebastian Munoz 70-1
Gary Woodland 80-1
Emiliano Grillo 80-1
Ian Poulter 80-1
Jason Day 80-1
Kevin Streelman 80-1
Joel Dahmen 80-1
Jhonattan Vegas 90-1
Russell Knox 90-1
Adam Long 90-1
Chad Ramey 90-1
Cameron Davis 90-1
Brian Harman 90-1
Charley Hoffman 90-1
Ryan Palmer 100-1
Taylor Pendrith 100-1
Danny Willett 100-1
Chez Reavie 100-1
C.T. Pan 100-1
Taylor Moore 100-1
Matthias Schwab 100-1
Lee Westwood 100-1
Adam Schenk 125-1
Luke List 125-1
Brian Stuard 125-1
Sepp Straka 125-1
Henrik Norlander 125-1
Scott Stallings 125-1
Harry Higgs 125-1
Martin Laird 125-1
Stewart Cink 125-1
Sahith Theegala 125-1
Keith Mitchell 125-1
Greyson Sigg 150-1
James Hahn 150-1
Denny McCarthy 150-1
Pat Perez 150-1
Robert Streb 150-1
Scott Piercy 150-1
Henrik Stenson 150-1
Aaron Rai 150-1
Andrew Landry 150-1
Hudson Swafford 150-1
Tom Hoge 150-1
Brice Garnett 150-1
Dylan Frittelli 150-1
J.J. Spaun 150-1
Wyndham Clark 175-1
Tyler Duncan 175-1
Andrew Putnam 175-1
Stephan Jaeger 175-1
Adam Svensson 175-1
J.T. Poston 200-1
Nick Taylor 200-1
Nate Lashley 200-1
Kyle Stanley 200-1
Graeme McDowell 200-1
Francesco Molinari 200-1
Brandt Snedeker 200-1
Anirban Lahiri 200-1
Peter Uihlein 200-1
Matthew NeSmith 200-1
David Lipsky 200-1
Davis Riley 200-1
Jason Dufner 200-1
Vincent Whaley 200-1
Doc Redman 200-1

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Watch Wolves vs. Fulham: How to live stream, TV channel, start time for Saturday’s Premier League game

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The Premier League returns to action on Saturday.

Who’s Playing

  • Fulham @ Wolverhampton
  • Current Records: Fulham 0-0-1; Wolverhampton 0-1
  • Last Season Records: Wolverhampton 15-17-6; Fulham 0-0

Want more soccer? Paramount+ is the only place to watch every minute of every Serie A match this season, not to mention select games in Italian. Sign up now with offer code ITALY to get a special one month free trial. A subscription also gives you access to other sports content including every UEFA Champions League and Europa League match, the NFL on CBS, and countless movies and shows. Get it all free for one month with promo code ITALY.

What to Know

Wolverhampton is 3-0-1 against Fulham since December of 2018, and they’ll have a chance to extend that success on Saturday. They are meeting up for their first leg of the season at 10 a.m. ET at Molineux Stadium.

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It was all tied up 1-1 at halftime, but Wolves were not quite Leeds United’s equal in the second half when they met on Saturday. Wolverhampton fell a goal short of Leeds United, losing 2-1. That was Wolverhampton’s second consecutive one-goal defeat against Leeds United.

Speaking of close games: Fulham and Liverpool ended up with a point apiece after a 2-2 draw.

Fulham is 0-0-1 (one point) and Wolverhampton is 0-1 (zero points), so if Wolverhampton wins they will leapfrog Fulham in the standings.

Craving even more coverage of the world’s game? Listen below and follow ¡Qué Golazo! A Daily CBS Soccer Podcast where we take you beyond the pitch and around the globe for commentary, previews, recaps and more.

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How To Watch

  • Who: Wolverhampton vs. Fulham
  • When: Saturday at 10 a.m. ET
  • Where: Molineux Stadium
  • Watch: Peacock
  • Caesars sportsbook odds: Wolves +135; Draw +230; Fulham+210

Featured Game | Wolverhampton vs. Fulham

Series History

Wolverhampton won three meetings and tied one meeting in their last four contests with Fulham.

  • Apr 09, 2021 – Wolverhampton 1 vs. Fulham 0
  • Oct 04, 2020 – Wolverhampton 1 vs. Fulham 0
  • May 04, 2019 – Wolverhampton 1 vs. Fulham 0
  • Dec 26, 2018 – Wolverhampton 1 vs. Fulham 1



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2022 St. Jude Championship leaderboard: J.J. Spaun maintains one-stroke lead heading into weekend action

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TPC Southwind is slowly drying out as fierce thunderstorms blew through the Memphis area on Tuesday. While players were able to take advantage of the soft conditions in the first round, Friday was a different story as the typically firm and fast conditions of the course began to bite back.

While the playing conditions may have changed, the man who was up to the task remained the same. Overnight leader J.J. Spaun will sleep on the lead once again, as the Texas Open winner will head into the weekend at 11 under and a one-stroke lead over Sepp Straka and Troy Merritt. Spaun backed up his scorching round of 8-under 62 to kick off the St. Jude Championship with a 3-under 67 Friday afternoon to maintain his edge over the field.

Straka was the man to climb the leaderboard in the morning hours of the second round, as he followed up an opening 6-under 64 with a second-round 66. A winner at the Honda Classic earlier this season, the former Georgia Bulldog has since struggled to find such quality and arrived in the FedEx Cup Playoffs, having missed the cut in his last six tournaments.

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Behind the three men in double-digits under par are some of the hottest players in the world. Tony Finau sits at 8 under and looks to become the first man since Dustin Johnson in 2017 to win in three straight starts. Also sitting at 8 under is the Champion Golfer of the Year Cameron Smith, who will look to avenge his 72nd-hole disappointment at TPC Southwind from a year ago.

The leader

1. J.J. Spaun (-11)

Some may believe the true lead of this tournament resides with those at 8 under, but Spaun should have some staying power on this leaderboard. Collecting his first career victory at TPC San Antonio in the spring, the Los Angeles native displayed serious resolve down the stretch and throughout his tenure on the PGA Tour.

He has gotten around TPC Southwind in a relatively stress-free fashion up to this point as well. Carding 13 birdies against just two bogeys, he has been able to limit the damage and understands when missing a fairway that par is a good score. Sitting fifth in strokes gained tee to green and fourth in strokes gained putting, it is no wonder he finds himself at the top of the leaderboard and in contention for his second trophy of the season.

Other contenders

T2. Sepp Straka, Troy Merritt (-10)

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4. Denny McCarthy (-9)

T5. Brian Harman, Tony Finau, Cameron Smith, Ryan Palmer (-8)

Technically, Finau is the defending champion, as he broke a five-year hiatus from the winner’s circle with a victory at The Northern Trust, but let’s change gears. Another player to have made headlines recently is Smith, who is rumored — to put it lightly — to be heading to the LIV Golf Series following the completion of the FedEx Cup Playoffs.

The Australian has been terrific in 2022 as he dueled Jon Rahm at the Tournament of Champions, grabbed the largest purse of the season at the Players Championship and captured the Claret Jug at St. Andrews. Smith will enter the weekend as the betting favorite as he catapulted himself to the first page of the leaderboard courtesy of an eagle on the par-5 16th. Having already collected just shy of $10 million in the regular season, he has now positioned himself to potentially triple that total with a strong postseason run. 

Scheffler, McIlroy lowlight those sent packing early

Beginning the week with more than a 1,000-point edge in the FedEx Cup, Scottie Scheffler is in danger of relinquishing the top spot in the standings. In possession of the lead for more than 20 weeks, the world No. 1 may see a different number next to his name at the BMW Championship after missing the cut at TPC Southwind.

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Last season saw Collin Morikawa enter the postseason as the top man, only for him to fall to 28th by the time the Tour Championship culminated. At the very worst, Scheffler will only drop to No. 2, and he may avoid such movement as his misstep was not the only one.

Fresh off a two-week break from golf, Rory McIlroy showed considerable rust around TPC Southwind. Signing for rounds of 70-69, the man who entered the week sixth in the FedEx Cup standings ultimately missed the cut by a single stroke and will have his work cut out for him next week if he is to enter the Tour Championship within reach of the leader.

The good news for McIlroy is world No. 1 and FedEx Cup regular-season leader Scheffler is not in a position to extend his lead. With potentially a new man atop the standings, the world No. 3 can take solace in his history at East Lake, where he has raised the FedEx Cup twice before.

In total, six players inside the top 20 of the FedEx Cup standings will not be around for the weekend, as Hideki Matsuyama (No. 11), Jordan Spieth (No. 15), Tom Hoge (No. 17) and Billy Horschel (No. 18) will head to Wilmington earlier than expected.

Biggest FedEx Cup movers from Friday

Lucas Glover

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121

60

Yes

Ryan Palmer

110

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57

Yes

Troy Merritt

64

17

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Yes

Tyler Duncan

118

75

No

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Sepp Straka

35

10

Yes

James Hahn

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108

83

No

Adam Scott

77

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53

Yes

Brian Harman

55

32

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Yes

J.J. Spaun

25

2

Yes

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Lee Hodges

99

77

No

2022 St. Jude Championship updated odds and picks

  • Cameron Smith: 23/4
  • Tony Finau: 13/2
  • J.J. Spaun: 17/2
  • Troy Merritt: 10-1
  • Denny McCarthy: 14-1
  • Justin Thomas: 14-1
  • Matt Fitzpatrick: 14-1
  • Sepp Straka: 16-1
  • Will Zalatoris: 18-1
  • Sam Burns: 20-1
  • Brian Harman: 20-1

With 26 players within five strokes of the lead, this remains anyone’s ballgame with 36 holes to be played. We saw last year with Bryson DeChambeau and Harris English that TPC Southwind can be a difficult golf course to close on, as the water hazards tend to get ever so slightly bigger when the pressure is on. Factor in the FedEx Cup Playoffs and this should be ramped up a touch. Because of this, it may be prudent to search among those names at 5 under — or maybe even 4 under. 

Jon Rahm is the obvious name, as he is one of those at 4 under and listed at 40-1. Ranking seventh in strokes gained tee to green, the Spaniard has been unable to get things rolling on the greens and has a trio of three putts to his name already. The putter has been an issue all season, but it could be worth an investment. If not Rahm, Rickie Fowler is still a name which is still intriguing at 300-1. He is a long shot for a reason, but his off-the-tee numbers have been incredible and his approach statistics are negatively skewed by two iron shots that found the water on Friday. Everything else looks good in his game, and he has shown a liking for TPC Southwind in the past.

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Trayce Thompson hits three-run home run in Dodgers' 8-3 victory over Royals

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Trayce Thompson hit a three-run home run in the Los Angeles Dodgers’ 8-3 victory over the Kansas City Royals.



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